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Ohio election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Ohio's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Democrats won the governor race · House: 15 of 15 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 7.7. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Ohio Senate race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 72% and Kalshi –. Polymarket called it.
Kalshi
No market for this race.
Ohio governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 84% and Kalshi 83%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Ohio House districts
15 of 15 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 7.7 of the priced seats; favoured in 8, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 7.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH-01 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| OH-02 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Jennifer Mazzuckelli v David Taylor |
| OH-03 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Joyce Beatty v Cleophus Dulaney |
| OH-04 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 3% | Joshua Kolasinski v Jim Jordan |
| OH-05 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 3% | Brian Shaver v Bob Latta |
| OH-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Elizabeth Kirtley v Michael Rulli |
| OH-07 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 84% | Brian Poindexter v Max Miller |
| OH-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 7% | Vanessa Enoch v Warren Davidson |
| OH-09 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| OH-10 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 100% | Kristina Knickerbocker v Mike Turner |
| OH-11 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Shontel Brown v Mike Kirchner |
| OH-12 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Jerrad Christian v Troy Balderson |
| OH-13 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| OH-14 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Maria Jukic v David Joyce |
| OH-15 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 37% | Don Leonard v Mike Carey |
Ohio in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.