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Pennsylvania election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Pennsylvania's governor and House races. Democrats won the governor race · House: 17 of 17 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 11.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Pennsylvania governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 99% and Kalshi 99%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Pennsylvania House districts
17 of 17 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 11.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 11, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 6.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| PA-02 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Brendan Boyle v Jessica Arriaga |
| PA-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | |
| PA-04 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Madeleine Dean v Aurora Stuski |
| PA-05 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Mary Gay Scanlon v Nicholas Manganaro |
| PA-06 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Chrissy Houlahan v Marty Young |
| PA-07 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| PA-08 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| PA-09 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Rachel Wallace v Dan Meuser |
| PA-10 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| PA-11 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Nancy Mannion v Lloyd Smucker |
| PA-12 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Summer Lee v James Hayes |
| PA-13 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Beth Farnham v John Joyce |
| PA-14 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Alan Bradstock v Guy Reschenthaler |
| PA-15 | R 98% | D 0% | D 5% | Ray Bilger v Glenn Thompson |
| PA-16 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 6% | Justin Wagner v Mike Kelly |
| PA-17 | Democrats won | D 100% | – |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.