2 Nov – 8 Nov 2026 so far this week
Markets resolved9,210
Favourite won74%
On contested calls 69% 5104 of 7407
Biggest stories
- Democrats Win House and Senate in US Midterms
- Democrats Win Blue Wave in US Midterms, Taking Control of Congress
- Cyberattacks Target Supermarket Fridges Across Europe and Beyond
- US Voters Reject Data Centers in Midterms, Fueling Democratic Blue Wave
- Publishers Drop Russell Brand Titles After Rape Conviction
- Tesla to Wind Down Cybertruck Production in 2027 for Cybercab
- Elon Musk’s $446m Midterm Spending Fails to Stop Democratic Sweep
- Trump Names Stephen Miller Chief of Staff, Replacing Susie Wiles
Biggest swings
Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.
Close calls the market got right
- Called itRepublican Party Favourite a day out: No at 94% · Result: No · 4 Nov 2026On: House GOP Braces for Leadership Battle If They Lose Majority
- Called itKen Paxton Favourite a day out: No at 73% · Result: No · 4 Nov 2026On: Paxton's Wife Urges GOP Women to Vote Republican Despite Strain
- Called itRepublican Party Favourite a day out: No at 75% · Result: No · 4 Nov 2026On: Senate Committee Advances Chris Klomp for HHS Deputy Secretary Role
- Called itMike Rogers Favourite a day out: No at 80% · Result: No · 4 Nov 2026On: GOP Michigan Senate Candidate Rogers Calls for End to Trade War with Canada
- Called itRepublicans sweep Favourite a day out: No at 93% · Result: No · 4 Nov 2026On: How to Watch Live 2026 Midterm Election Results on CBS News
- Called itDemocratic Party Favourite a day out: Yes at 94% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026On: Five DSA Candidates Elected to House in Historic Win for Movement
- Called itDemocrats sweep Favourite a day out: Yes at 75% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026On: Midterm Elections Bring Social Security Funding Crisis to Forefront
- Called itDemocratic Party Favourite a day out: Yes at 76% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026
Favourites that lost
- MissedAny player to record 20+ rebounds in a game Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 6 Nov 2026
- MissedAbove 265 million Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 5 Nov 2026On: Monster Beverage Tops Estimates on Global Energy Drink Demand
- MissedAt least 12 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 5 Nov 2026
- MissedAt least 13 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 5 Nov 2026
- MissedFlorida Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026
- MissedArizona Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026
- MissedUConn Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026
- MissedDuke Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 4 Nov 2026
By category
| Category | Resolved | Favourite won | Contested calls | Won when contested |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7026 | 70% | 6334 | 67% |
| Politics & world | 619 | 95% | 242 | 88% |
| Weather | 452 | 85% | 278 | 75% |
| Crypto | 332 | 91% | 128 | 77% |
| Economy | 157 | 63% | 135 | 59% |
| Culture | 94 | 90% | 38 | 76% |
| Tech & science | 26 | 85% | 11 | 64% |