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Weekly report card

The week's biggest stories, the markets that swung hardest on them, and how the markets called what resolved.

2 Nov – 8 Nov 2026 so far this week

Markets resolved9,210
Favourite won74%
On contested calls 69% 5104 of 7407

Biggest stories

  1. Democrats Win House and Senate in US Midterms 37 publishers · 4 Nov
  2. Democrats Win Blue Wave in US Midterms, Taking Control of Congress 36 publishers · 2 Nov
  3. Cyberattacks Target Supermarket Fridges Across Europe and Beyond 28 publishers · 2 Nov
  4. US Voters Reject Data Centers in Midterms, Fueling Democratic Blue Wave 26 publishers · 4 Nov
  5. Publishers Drop Russell Brand Titles After Rape Conviction 24 publishers · 2 Nov
  6. Tesla to Wind Down Cybertruck Production in 2027 for Cybercab 24 publishers · 6 Nov
  7. Elon Musk’s $446m Midterm Spending Fails to Stop Democratic Sweep 24 publishers · 2 Nov
  8. Trump Names Stephen Miller Chief of Staff, Replacing Susie Wiles 23 publishers · 5 Nov

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

Close calls the market got right

Favourites that lost

By category

Category Resolved Favourite won Contested calls Won when contested
Sports 7026 70% 6334 67%
Politics & world 619 95% 242 88%
Weather 452 85% 278 75%
Crypto 332 91% 128 77%
Economy 157 63% 135 59%
Culture 94 90% 38 76%
Tech & science 26 85% 11 64%