Week of 26 Oct 2026

Biggest stories

1. Binance Reveals North Korean Hackers Used Fake Interviews for $6.3 Billion Heist 37 publishers · 29 Oct
2. Patrick Stewart dies aged 86, tributes pour in from Star Trek and X-Men co-stars 28 publishers · 29 Oct
3. California Voters Reject Billionaire Tax Proposal in Midterm Election 26 publishers · 26 Oct
4. US Tech Rout Spreads Globally Amid AI Bubble Fears Post-Midterms 25 publishers · 29 Oct
5. Trump Accepts Midterm Results as Democrats Sweep to Victory 25 publishers · 30 Oct
6. Jay-Z to Headline 2027 Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show at SoFi Stadium 23 publishers · 27 Oct
7. Alphabet Erases $500bn as AI Fears Hit Search Sales 22 publishers · 28 Oct
8. Stevens withdraws from GWU event after endorsing Rogers in Michigan Senate race 21 publishers · 1 Nov

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Between 2% and 98%
• Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Between 2% and 98%
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Between 2% and 98%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? Between 2% and 98%
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026? Between 3% and 97%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31? Between 3% and 97%
• Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Between 3% and 97%
• Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? Between 4% and 98%

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Favourite a day out: Yes at 95% · Result: Yes · 28 Oct 2026On: Crypto Week Ahead: Fed, BOE, BOJ Interest-Rate Decisions
• ✓Called itWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: Yes at 70% · Result: Yes · 27 Oct 2026On: Kane, Mbappe and Messi headline Ballon d'Or shortlist as ceremony moves to London
• ✓Called itKylian Mbappe Favourite a day out: No at 82% · Result: No · 26 Oct 2026On: Yamal vs Mbappe Battle for Ballon d'Or Glory
• ✓Called itWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: No at 82% · Result: No · 27 Oct 2026On: Real Madrid players face backlash for partially covering Ceuta solidarity shirt
• ✓Called itWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: No at 89% · Result: No · 27 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itDetroit Favourite a day out: Yes at 62% · Result: Yes · 26 Oct 2026On: Lions Announce Starting Center Against Packers With Branch Return
• ✓Called itHarry Kane Favourite a day out: Yes at 71% · Result: Yes · 26 Oct 2026On: Harry Kane Equals England Appearance Record in 3-0 Win Over Czechia
• ✓Called itCanelo Alvarez Favourite a day out: Yes at 74% · Result: Yes · 31 Oct 2026On: Canelo Alvarez to fight in Riyadh despite airport attacks

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedOpenAI Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 1 Nov 2026
• ✕MissedMaplebear Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 30 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAmerican Dream Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAmerica First Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedDrill / Drilling Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedManufacture / Manufacturing Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAfford / Affordable / Affordability Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedBiden Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026

By category