Canelo Alvarez to fight in Riyadh despite airport attacks
The Mexican boxer confirms he will face Christian Mbilli on October 31, dismissing safety concerns following deadly strikes in the kingdom.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by www.espn.com, 1h 23m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 96% |
| 31 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 73% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 73% |
| 19 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 73% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 72% |
| 16 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 72% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 74% |
| 15 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 72% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 74% |
| 15 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 74% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 74% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 73% |
| 14 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 73% |
| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 73% |
| 14 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 73% |
| 14 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 74% |
| 13 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 75% |
| 12 Oct, 14:22 UTC | 74% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 11 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 11 October at 19:18 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 1h 23m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 13 October at 14:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SI Feed.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Canelo Alvarez — resolved “Yes” on 31 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Canelo Alvarez wins his scheduled boxing match against Christian Mbilli on October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific fight. Readers often mistake the linked news story about airport attacks in Riyadh for the actual resolution criteria.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Canelo Alvarez at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- www.espn.comAlvarez willing to fight in Riyadh despite airport attack, Saudi official says—
- The Guardian SportCanelo Álvarez ‘fears nothing’ and will fight in Riyadh despite deadly attacks, Al-Sheikh says—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAlvarez vs M’billi boxing bout to go ahead in Saudi Arabia despite attacks—
- SI FeedTurki Alalshikh Gives Update on Canelo vs Mbilli Fight Amid Riyadh Airport Attack74%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Alvarez vs M’billi boxing bout to go ahead in Saudi Arabia despite attacks Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Canelo Álvarez ‘fears nothing’ and will fight in Riyadh despite deadly attacks, Al-Sheikh says The Guardian Sport ·
- Alvarez willing to fight in Riyadh despite airport attack, Saudi official says www.espn.com ·
- Turki Alalshikh Gives Update on Canelo vs Mbilli Fight Amid Riyadh Airport Attack SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Canelo Alvarez Yes 6d ago
The market favoured Yes at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Canelo Álvarez
- Christian Mbilli
- Turki Al-Sheikh
- Saudi Arabia
- Riyadh