Anthropic and OpenAI Expand AI Capabilities Amid Market Competition
Anthropic launches finance tools with Plaid while Perplexity releases work agents, as both firms compete for market share against rivals.
Kalshi Information Technology 99%OpenAI
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Markets on OpenAI
- Kalshi Information Technology 99%
- Polymarket Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 31% −1
- Polymarket Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? 39% +2
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? 10%
- Polymarket Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? 75% +1
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? 20% +2
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about OpenAI each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 22:06 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 19:11 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 13:13 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 08:27 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 05:38 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 12:52 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 00:51 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 23:54 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 09:43 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 09:14 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 07:13 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 15:07 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 01:10 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 21:05 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 14:45 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 00:14 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 07:39 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 5% |
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