NewsMarkets

Markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Implied probability 20%+2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$131k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves5 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
0%50%100%20%31 Oct, 10:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now20%
7 Nov, 06:25 UTC20%
7 Nov, 05:50 UTC19%
7 Nov, 04:40 UTC20%
7 Nov, 04:26 UTC20%
7 Nov, 03:59 UTC20%
7 Nov, 03:01 UTC18%
7 Nov, 02:46 UTC19%
7 Nov, 02:24 UTC20%
7 Nov, 01:48 UTC19%
7 Nov, 01:13 UTC20%
7 Nov, 00:52 UTC19%
7 Nov, 00:01 UTC19%
6 Nov, 23:33 UTC19%
6 Nov, 23:26 UTC20%
6 Nov, 22:49 UTC19%
6 Nov, 21:59 UTC19%
6 Nov, 21:16 UTC19%
6 Nov, 20:46 UTC19%
6 Nov, 20:17 UTC21%
6 Nov, 19:54 UTC21%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC23%
6 Nov, 17:57 UTC22%
6 Nov, 16:05 UTC23%
6 Nov, 15:51 UTC23%
6 Nov, 15:13 UTC23%
6 Nov, 14:56 UTC23%
6 Nov, 14:26 UTC22%
6 Nov, 13:49 UTC22%
6 Nov, 13:20 UTC21%
6 Nov, 12:44 UTC21%
6 Nov, 12:22 UTC22%
6 Nov, 09:09 UTC16%
6 Nov, 08:34 UTC17%
6 Nov, 06:00 UTC18%
6 Nov, 05:38 UTC18%
6 Nov, 05:03 UTC18%
6 Nov, 04:49 UTC18%
6 Nov, 04:13 UTC18%
6 Nov, 03:30 UTC18%
6 Nov, 03:15 UTC17%
6 Nov, 02:52 UTC17%
6 Nov, 02:29 UTC18%
5 Nov, 23:58 UTC17%
5 Nov, 23:15 UTC17%
5 Nov, 22:32 UTC17%
5 Nov, 22:11 UTC18%
5 Nov, 21:42 UTC18%
5 Nov, 20:56 UTC19%
5 Nov, 19:29 UTC18%
5 Nov, 17:58 UTC18%
5 Nov, 17:28 UTC19%
5 Nov, 16:58 UTC22%
5 Nov, 08:14 UTC24%
5 Nov, 07:52 UTC23%
5 Nov, 05:02 UTC24%
5 Nov, 04:47 UTC24%
5 Nov, 04:19 UTC24%
5 Nov, 03:37 UTC23%
5 Nov, 03:23 UTC20%
5 Nov, 02:54 UTC20%
5 Nov, 02:24 UTC20%
5 Nov, 01:56 UTC20%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC20%
5 Nov, 00:51 UTC18%
4 Nov, 23:25 UTC19%
4 Nov, 21:42 UTC20%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC20%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC22%
4 Nov, 20:14 UTC19%
4 Nov, 19:57 UTC20%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC20%
4 Nov, 18:50 UTC20%
4 Nov, 15:50 UTC22%
4 Nov, 09:21 UTC21%
4 Nov, 08:53 UTC22%
4 Nov, 06:57 UTC21%
4 Nov, 05:31 UTC20%
4 Nov, 05:02 UTC20%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC19%
4 Nov, 02:34 UTC20%
4 Nov, 02:19 UTC19%
4 Nov, 01:42 UTC19%
4 Nov, 01:13 UTC20%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC19%
4 Nov, 00:00 UTC20%
3 Nov, 23:46 UTC20%
1 Nov, 23:36 UTC16%
1 Nov, 23:29 UTC15%
1 Nov, 22:32 UTC14%
1 Nov, 22:24 UTC14%
1 Nov, 20:57 UTC14%
1 Nov, 20:29 UTC14%
1 Nov, 19:52 UTC14%
1 Nov, 19:23 UTC14%
1 Nov, 17:42 UTC14%
1 Nov, 17:27 UTC15%
1 Nov, 16:58 UTC14%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC15%
1 Nov, 15:53 UTC15%
1 Nov, 15:24 UTC15%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC14%
1 Nov, 14:23 UTC15%
1 Nov, 13:54 UTC15%
1 Nov, 13:24 UTC14%
1 Nov, 12:55 UTC15%
1 Nov, 10:21 UTC14%
1 Nov, 09:50 UTC15%
1 Nov, 09:28 UTC14%
1 Nov, 08:54 UTC14%
1 Nov, 07:59 UTC14%
1 Nov, 07:18 UTC14%
1 Nov, 06:57 UTC14%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC14%
1 Nov, 05:54 UTC14%
1 Nov, 05:11 UTC15%
1 Nov, 04:57 UTC15%
1 Nov, 04:29 UTC15%
1 Nov, 03:54 UTC15%
1 Nov, 03:26 UTC15%
1 Nov, 02:43 UTC14%
1 Nov, 02:15 UTC15%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC14%
1 Nov, 00:21 UTC15%
31 Oct, 22:28 UTC15%
31 Oct, 21:39 UTC15%
31 Oct, 21:24 UTC15%
31 Oct, 20:57 UTC14%
31 Oct, 19:24 UTC14%
31 Oct, 18:48 UTC14%
31 Oct, 18:11 UTC14%
31 Oct, 16:51 UTC14%
31 Oct, 16:29 UTC14%
31 Oct, 14:53 UTC15%
31 Oct, 14:08 UTC14%
31 Oct, 13:53 UTC14%
31 Oct, 13:23 UTC14%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC13%
31 Oct, 12:25 UTC14%
31 Oct, 11:57 UTC14%
31 Oct, 10:59 UTC15%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of $1.5 trillion or higher on any trading day by December 31, 2026. If Nasdaq stops publishing data before that date, the resolution relies on the last available private data plus public market capitalization after an IPO.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 20%
  • No 80%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market