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US Carries Out New Strikes on Iran Near Strait of Hormuz Hot: $292k traded on its market in 24 hours

The US military conducts limited strikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz, including an air defense system on Qeshm Island, as diplomatic efforts continue.

34 sources Priced in

Polymarket Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 11% −2

Ukraine Raises Death Toll From Russian Strike on Aid Center to 50

Ukraine reports at least 50 dead in a Russian strike on an aid hub while Kyiv intensifies drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure.

31 sources

Polymarket Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? 11% −1

Israel’s President Tasks Candidate to Form Government After Inconclusive Election Hot: Odds moved 20 points in 24 hours

President Isaac Herzog is negotiating with party leaders, including Gadi Eisenkot and Arab-led blocs, to form a coalition following an inconclusive vote.

25 sources

Polymarket Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? 64% +20

Hundreds of Thousands Protest in France Over Cost of Living and Wages Hot: $56k traded on its market in 24 hours

Strikes and demonstrations across the country draw record crowds as unions demand higher pay amid stalled budget talks.

29 sources Priced in

Polymarket France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? 4% −2

Europe Alarmed by US Security Plans With Russia Amid Ukraine Tensions

European leaders fear a US-led security deal with Moscow could undermine NATO and restore Russia's influence, prompting military preparations in Poland.

26 sources

Polymarket Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? 2%

Qatar Urges US and Iran to Pursue Peace Deal Amid Trump's War Threats Hot: $292k traded on its market in 24 hours

Qatari mediators push for an agreement as President Trump weighs a decision on further military action against Iran.

31 sources Priced in

Polymarket Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 11% −2

Thousands Rally in New Delhi Demanding India Election Chief Resign Over Voter Rolls Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours

Opposition leaders and citizens march in the capital to demand the resignation of the election chief over controversial voter list changes.

17 sources

Kalshi Rahul Gandhi 33% +3

China Vows to Hit Back as US Urges Fulfilment of Busan Trade Deal

Beijing warns it will take necessary measures against new US sanctions while Washington demands immediate compliance with rare earth supply commitments.

24 sources

Kalshi By 2030 20% +2

Taiwan to Close Representative Office in Papua New Guinea Amid China Pressure Hot: Odds moved 14 points in 24 hours

Taiwan will shut its diplomatic mission in Port Moresby and halt liquefied natural gas purchases, citing Chinese efforts to diminish its international status.

22 sources

Polymarket China x Japan military clash before 2027? 3%

New Zealand Election Too Close to Call as Vote Counting Begins Hot: Odds moved 24 points in 24 hours

Counting is underway in New Zealand's tight election, with no coalition expected to secure a majority and minor parties poised to act as kingmakers.

8 sources

Polymarket Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? 9% −3

China Pledges Support for Hong Kong's Open Economy Amid Growth Optimism

Vice Premier He Lifeng vows to maintain a free economic environment in Hong Kong as officials forecast robust annual growth.

9 sources

Kalshi Hong Kong, China 49%

Hong Kong Activist Joshua Wong Sentenced to 10 Years in Prison

The UK and US condemn the sentence handed to pro-democracy activist Joshua Wong for colluding with foreign entities under Beijing's national security law.

13 sources

Coordinated Bomb Hoaxes Disrupt European Flights and Media Outlets

Security agencies probe pro-Kremlin links as hoax threats disrupt dozens of flights across Europe and target newsrooms in Ireland and Bulgaria.

16 sources

Zelenskyy Hopes Abu Dhabi Talks Will Open Path to Meeting Putin

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy anticipates a future meeting with Vladimir Putin following trilateral negotiations in Abu Dhabi, while also seeking increased US support after Democratic election victories.

32 sources

Polymarket Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? 3%

China Unveils Lunar Landing Plan, NASA Seeks Hubble Rescue Ideas

China discloses a plan to land on the Moon by 2030 while NASA solicits proposals to reboost the Hubble Space Telescope before its orbit decays.

14 sources

Kalshi Before 2030 17% +1

UK PM Andy Burnham pledges structured dialogue on slavery apology in Antigua

Prime Minister Andy Burnham launches a structured dialogue with former colonies to shape Britain's first formal state apology for the slave trade during the Commonwealth summit.

12 sources

North Korea Denies Binance Hack as US Sanctions IT Workers

Pyongyang dismisses FBI accusations regarding the $6.3 billion theft while Washington imposes sanctions on individuals facilitating the cybercrime scheme.

16 sources

Lula Wins Brazil Election as Flávio Bolsonaro Flees to US

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva defeats Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil's presidential election, while the defeated candidate escapes to the United States with alleged help from a Javier Milei adviser.

34 sources

Kalshi Before Dec 1, 2026 1%

Spanish Transport Minister Resigns After Deadly High-Speed Rail Crash

Óscar Puente steps down following a collision that killed 69 people, damaging public trust ahead of snap elections.

20 sources

Protesters Storm Microsoft Data Center Site in Amsterdam Amid AI Backlash

Over 100 activists breached the construction site of a new Microsoft data center in Amsterdam, part of coordinated protests across Europe against AI infrastructure's environmental impact.

10 sources

Israel tightens control in West Bank and Gaza as tensions rise

Israeli forces close a holy site, settlers seize homes in Jericho, and attacks continue in Gaza, deepening regional instability.

22 sources

Polymarket Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? 31% −6

Hong Kong Leader Apologizes for Deadly Fire as Housing Chief Quits

John Lee apologizes for the Wang Fuk Court blaze that killed 168 people, while housing secretary Winnie Ho steps down amid sweeping safety reforms.

8 sources

Yemen War Intensifies as Siege of Taiz Continues and Regional Alliances Shift Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours

The conflict in Yemen deepens with a prolonged siege on Taiz, new defense pacts involving Turkey and potential Syrian entry, and ongoing missile exchanges between Houthi rebels and the Saudi-led coalition.

22 sources Odds +18

Polymarket Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? 77% +18

Carney unveils budget to diversify Canada's economy amid US trade tensions

Prime Minister Mark Carney presents a budget aimed at reducing economic dependence on the United States as trade negotiations with President Donald Trump continue.

12 sources

Kalshi Canada 2% −1

Pope Leo Begins 12-Day South America Tour Weeks After Cancer Surgery

The pontiff arrives in Uruguay to start a three-nation journey through Argentina and Peru, his first major trip since lung surgery.

9 sources

China Bans Real Madrid Matches Despite Mbappe Apology Over Mao Remarks Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours

Chinese state media continues to blacklist Real Madrid games despite Kylian Mbappé's apology for comments about Mao Zedong.

20 sources

Kalshi Kylian Mbappe 20%

Meghan Markle's Father Arrested in Florida on Child Sex Abuse Material Charges

Thomas Markle Sr. was taken into custody by US federal agents near Tampa, following allegations that surfaced during an investigation in the Philippines.

11 sources

Stampede, Protests, Massacre and Encounter Mark Recent Events in India

A stampede kills 17 in Kolkata, women protest sexual violence in New Delhi, a family massacre occurs in Bengaluru, and three suspects are killed in Patna.

6 sources

Kalshi Rahul Gandhi 33% +3

Malaysia's Najib Razak moves to house arrest after UMNO pays fine

The former prime minister transitions from prison to house arrest after his party raised the required funds to settle a $12 million penalty.

6 sources

Serbia Detains Police and Bank Owner Following Vučić's Ouster

Authorities arrest police officers for alleged abuse and the owner of Alta Bank as Serbia transitions power after Aleksandar Vučić steps down.

15 sources

Kalshi Aleksandar Vučić 1%

Diwali Celebrations Begin Across India as Trump Marks Festival at White House

Millions celebrate the festival of lights with traditional rituals and eco-friendly innovations while US President Donald Trump hosts events for the Indian diaspora.

5 sources

Kalshi By 2030 67%

El Salvador's Bukele Deploys Troops to Haiti in Gang Crackdown

Nayib Bukele sends 2,000 troops to Haiti while a gang leader seeks UN mediation as clashes intensify.

4 sources

Kalshi Haiti 18%

Stranded MV Odyssey Cruise Ship Departs Cambodia With No Passengers

The MV Odyssey leaves Cambodia after fuel costs and debt forced its cancellation, with creditors now taking control of the vessel.

18 sources

Kenyan Cult Leader Paul Mackenzie Sentenced to 200 Years for Mass Murders

Paul Mackenzie receives the sentence after a Kenyan court convicts him of ordering followers to starve themselves to death in Shakahola Forest.

12 sources

Bangladesh garment workers clash with police in wage protests

Thousands of Bangladeshi garment workers have clashed with police and shut factories while demanding a minimum wage increase to match rising inflation.

5 sources

India’s Rupee Rallies as Oil Prices Fall and Foreign Investors Return

The Indian rupee hits a six-month high as falling crude prices ease inflation risks and foreign investors return to equities, while the World Bank reports 496 million people escaped poverty since 2011.

4 sources

Delhi Activates GRAP III as Air Quality Turns Hazardous Ahead of Diwali

New Delhi has invoked Stage III of the Graded Response Action Plan to curb hazardous pollution levels reaching severe categories just days before the Diwali festival.

7 sources

Iran Offers to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid US Pressure and Regional Diplomacy

Tehran proposes reopening the vital shipping lane in exchange for sanctions relief, while South Korea expands naval patrols under US pressure.

25 sources

Nordic Nations and Canada Boycott Ice Hockey World Championship Over Russia's Return

Several countries refuse to play Russian teams after the Court of Arbitration for Sport ordered their reinstatement in international competition.

10 sources