Hong Kong, China
Implied probability 49%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Aug 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Hong Kong qualifies for the Men's Lacrosse competition at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it is tied to the end of the qualification period rather than the official announcement of Olympic participation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 49%
- No 51%