Will Miguel Prieto win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 02:53 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Nov, 01:21 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Miguel Prieto wins the next Paraguayan presidential election, including any second round. The No outcome applies if he does not win. Readers often mistake the April 30, 2029 deadline for the election date rather than the resolution cutoff, or they rely on unofficial reports instead of official results from Paraguay's electoral tribunal.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 83%
Trade this market on Polymarket →