Rahul Gandhi
Why it moved: +3 points at 16:05 UTC, after Times of India: 'Don't confuse Modi ji, convince him to debate SIR': Rahul mocks Shah, shares video — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Nov, 09:36 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Rahul Gandhi becomes Prime Minister of India due to government formation after the next general election and meets all constitutional requirements before April 30, 2030. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the final resolution date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%