OpenAI Valued at $1.25 Trillion in New Funding Round
The AI firm raises $11 billion as rival Anthropic nears its initial public offering.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg.com, 50 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 02:02 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 00:37 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 23:33 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 11:38 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 09:44 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:40 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 12:00 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 5% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 6 Nov 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 6 November at 22:02 UTC; TechCrunch followed 51 min later. The most recent article, from The Verge, appeared on 6 November at 23:46 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg.com (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? — the market puts it at 10%, with $967 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. The market resolves based on OpenAI's implied equity valuation at its IPO, calculated by multiplying the final share price by the total fully diluted shares outstanding as stated in the SEC prospectus. The outcome is Yes if this valuation falls between $1.0 trillion and $1.25 trillion, and No otherwise.
- Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? — the market puts it at 73%, with $845 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on OpenAI's private valuation reported by Nasdaq Private Market for the last trading day of November 2026. If OpenAI goes public before that date, the resolution uses its public market capitalization calculated from the final closing price and total shares outstanding on that same day.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? — the market puts it at 20%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of $1.5 trillion or higher on any trading day by December 31, 2026. If Nasdaq stops publishing data before that date, the resolution relies on the last available private data plus public market capitalization after an IPO.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg.comMiller New Chief of Staff, OpenAI Ends Funding at $1.25T Value10%
- TechCrunchOpenAI reportedly raises an additional $11 billion at a $1.25 trillion valuation10%
- Bloomberg.comMiller New Chief of Staff, OpenAI Closes Funding at $1.25T Value10%
- The VergeOpenAI valued at $1.25 trillion, as rival Anthropic nears its IPO10%
- Current odds10%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- OpenAI valued at $1.25 trillion, as rival Anthropic nears its IPO The Verge ·
- Miller New Chief of Staff, OpenAI Closes Funding at $1.25T Value Bloomberg.com ·
- OpenAI reportedly raises an additional $11 billion at a $1.25 trillion valuation TechCrunch ·
- Miller New Chief of Staff, OpenAI Ends Funding at $1.25T Value Bloomberg.com ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? 10%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? 73% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? 20% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls