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Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?

Implied probability 73%−6
24-hour volume$845
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?
0%50%100%73%31 Oct, 08:07 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now73%
7 Nov, 07:07 UTC74%
7 Nov, 06:53 UTC74%
7 Nov, 06:25 UTC75%
7 Nov, 05:57 UTC74%
7 Nov, 05:23 UTC74%
7 Nov, 04:12 UTC75%
7 Nov, 02:02 UTC74%
7 Nov, 01:41 UTC76%
7 Nov, 01:27 UTC75%
6 Nov, 22:14 UTC77%
6 Nov, 21:59 UTC76%
6 Nov, 21:16 UTC70%
6 Nov, 20:46 UTC71%
6 Nov, 18:27 UTC74%
6 Nov, 17:35 UTC75%
6 Nov, 17:20 UTC76%
6 Nov, 16:50 UTC75%
6 Nov, 16:28 UTC75%
6 Nov, 15:36 UTC75%
6 Nov, 15:29 UTC84%
6 Nov, 14:56 UTC84%
6 Nov, 14:04 UTC82%
6 Nov, 09:44 UTC81%
6 Nov, 09:16 UTC80%
6 Nov, 08:20 UTC80%
6 Nov, 07:59 UTC81%
6 Nov, 07:10 UTC79%
6 Nov, 02:44 UTC73%
6 Nov, 02:07 UTC73%
6 Nov, 01:45 UTC73%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC75%
5 Nov, 23:44 UTC77%
5 Nov, 23:15 UTC74%
5 Nov, 19:29 UTC64%
5 Nov, 18:43 UTC65%
5 Nov, 18:28 UTC64%
5 Nov, 17:28 UTC64%
5 Nov, 16:21 UTC64%
5 Nov, 15:25 UTC65%
4 Nov, 23:25 UTC65%
4 Nov, 19:49 UTC65%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC65%
4 Nov, 18:50 UTC64%
4 Nov, 18:27 UTC60%
4 Nov, 17:49 UTC59%
4 Nov, 15:28 UTC55%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC63%
4 Nov, 13:46 UTC63%
4 Nov, 13:17 UTC63%
4 Nov, 12:54 UTC64%
4 Nov, 12:02 UTC63%
4 Nov, 11:54 UTC63%
3 Nov, 22:34 UTC62%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC62%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC62%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC62%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC60%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC61%
3 Nov, 19:06 UTC61%
3 Nov, 18:44 UTC60%
3 Nov, 18:13 UTC60%
3 Nov, 17:58 UTC61%
3 Nov, 17:26 UTC63%
3 Nov, 16:04 UTC52%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC51%
3 Nov, 15:14 UTC52%
3 Nov, 14:53 UTC54%
3 Nov, 13:18 UTC55%
3 Nov, 12:36 UTC56%
3 Nov, 12:28 UTC55%
3 Nov, 10:52 UTC63%
3 Nov, 09:06 UTC64%
3 Nov, 08:59 UTC64%
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC60%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC60%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC59%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC59%
3 Nov, 01:54 UTC54%
3 Nov, 00:19 UTC56%
2 Nov, 22:02 UTC65%
2 Nov, 20:30 UTC65%
2 Nov, 20:08 UTC65%
2 Nov, 19:40 UTC65%
2 Nov, 19:04 UTC65%
2 Nov, 18:34 UTC66%
2 Nov, 18:11 UTC65%
2 Nov, 17:56 UTC66%
2 Nov, 17:26 UTC65%
2 Nov, 14:33 UTC66%
2 Nov, 13:56 UTC66%
2 Nov, 13:04 UTC65%
2 Nov, 12:49 UTC66%
2 Nov, 11:57 UTC67%
2 Nov, 11:22 UTC68%
2 Nov, 10:57 UTC68%
2 Nov, 07:47 UTC70%
2 Nov, 06:14 UTC69%
1 Nov, 09:42 UTC69%
1 Nov, 09:28 UTC69%
1 Nov, 08:54 UTC70%
1 Nov, 07:31 UTC74%
1 Nov, 07:25 UTC73%
1 Nov, 06:43 UTC72%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC71%
1 Nov, 03:47 UTC71%
1 Nov, 03:04 UTC71%
1 Nov, 01:10 UTC63%
1 Nov, 00:56 UTC63%
1 Nov, 00:28 UTC69%
31 Oct, 23:53 UTC63%
31 Oct, 22:50 UTC64%
31 Oct, 22:28 UTC66%
31 Oct, 21:39 UTC67%
31 Oct, 21:10 UTC66%
31 Oct, 20:50 UTC65%
31 Oct, 20:14 UTC64%
31 Oct, 19:46 UTC63%
31 Oct, 19:24 UTC57%
31 Oct, 18:55 UTC55%
31 Oct, 18:19 UTC56%
31 Oct, 17:49 UTC57%
31 Oct, 17:13 UTC57%
31 Oct, 16:58 UTC68%
31 Oct, 14:08 UTC79%
31 Oct, 13:46 UTC78%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC74%
31 Oct, 10:45 UTC74%
31 Oct, 08:07 UTC75%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves based on OpenAI's private valuation reported by Nasdaq Private Market for the last trading day of November 2026. If OpenAI goes public before that date, the resolution uses its public market capitalization calculated from the final closing price and total shares outstanding on that same day.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 73%
  • No 27%

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