Democrats Win Midterms; Trump Faces New Legislative Landscape
Democrats secure a historic majority, forcing Republicans to abandon agenda items while Big Tech pivots its political strategy.
Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%22 stories · 27 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about Democrats each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 21:52 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 21:01 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 20:46 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 23:10 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 09:39 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 10:14 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 09:42 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 08:39 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 17% |
Democrats secure a historic majority, forcing Republicans to abandon agenda items while Big Tech pivots its political strategy.
Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%Qatari mediators push for an agreement as President Trump weighs a decision on further military action against Iran.
Voters overwhelmingly rejected data center measures in the US midterms, boosting Democrats and challenging the AI industry's expansion plans.
Democrats secure majorities in the House and Senate, setting up a legislative battle with President Trump over policy priorities.
Democrats secure a historic majority in the House and Senate, driven by young voters and rural swing areas, while markets react to potential policy shifts.
Kalshi Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? 99%Democrats win control of Congress in midterm elections, citing voter frustration with inflation and high prices under President Donald Trump.
Kalshi During his presidential term 26%Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket accurately predicted the Democratic sweep before polls closed, though a New York Times analysis found their overall accuracy matched traditional forecasts.
Kalshi Democrats, 12 to 14% 10% −28Global markets plunge as investors fear Democratic victories will curb the AI boom, wiping trillions from tech valuations.
Tech stocks led a global rout as investors feared tighter AI regulation following the Democratic midterm victory, prompting Donald Trump to blame his political opponents.
The tech billionaire contributed nearly half a billion dollars to Republican campaigns, but Democrats won every key race he targeted.
Kalshi Above $800 billion 51% +18Democrats win every statewide office in Texas, including the governorship and Senate, marking a historic shift in the state's political landscape.
Prominent figures including Bill Gates and Geoffrey Hinton warn that artificial intelligence poses severe risks ranging from bioweapons to infrastructure collapse.
Donald Trump accepts the US midterm election results despite prior interference efforts, as Democrats secure control of Congress and key governorships.
NBC topped primetime viewership with over 31 million watchers as Democrats swept the midterms, while Fox News trailed and Bluesky hit peak usage.
Young voters, including men who previously backed Donald Trump, shifted heavily toward the Democratic Party, driven by concerns over housing affordability and economic pressures.
Jon Ossoff retains his US Senate seat while Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes Georgia's first Democratic governor in over two decades.
Democrats expand their majority in the House of Representatives while key Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi remain undecided.
Democratic control of Congress follows voter anger over healthcare prices, setting up a legislative test on affordability relief.
Kalshi Republicans win 0%Democrats' control of Congress shifts focus to energy affordability, boosting renewable sector confidence after years of hostility from the Trump administration.
Polymarket Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 68%Analysts predict the embattled president will pivot to international affairs and executive orders to maintain influence after losing congressional control.
European leaders and officials warn that Donald Trump remains a significant global threat, rejecting the notion that his electoral defeat signals a return to traditional US foreign policy.
Democrats seize control of Congress, prompting Republican infighting over the Iran war while Trump prepares to use his veto power.
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