Democrats Sweep US Midterms, Exceeding 250 House Seats in Blue Wave
Democrats expand their majority in the House of Representatives while key Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi remain undecided.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by National Review, 3h 29m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
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|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 18:34 UTC | 0% |
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| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 6% |
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Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Republicans win respond.
The story so far
15 publishers have covered this in 22 articles since 1 Nov 2026. National Review published first, on 1 November at 11:30 UTC; CoinDesk followed 3h 30m later. The most recent article, from BBC News, appeared on 6 November at 16:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Economist (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), Nature (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), National Review, cnet.com, Scientific American, Cointelegraph.com News, All Content from Business Insider and 3 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Republicans win — the market puts it at 0%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House national popular vote falls between -100 and 0 percentage points. This means Democrats must win at least a tie in the total national vote count, or Republicans must win by any amount. Readers often mistake this for a seat-count resolution or confuse it with other election metrics.
- Democrats, ≥8% — the market puts it at 99%, closing 3 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points over Republicans in the November 3, 2026 general election. The outcome is No if that margin falls below 8 percentage points or if Republicans lead. Readers often mistake this for a Senate race or confuse the date with the 2024 elections.
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 33%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican candidate wins the 2028 presidential election. The No outcome applies if a Democratic or other party candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for when news outlets call the race, but the market only resolves once Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all agree on the winner, or by the January 20, 2029 inauguration date if they do not.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republicans win at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- National Review2026 Midterm Elections: Live Updates5%
- CoinDeskThe key races to watch for the 2026 election5%
- CoinDeskThe crypto reader's guide to the 2026 midterm election: State of Crypto5%
- cnet.comHow to Keep Track of the 2026 General Election Results in Key States5%
- CoinDeskCrypto's Washington playbook is working. Don't abandon it now.5%
- News FeedLive US midterm elections results — in charts and maps4%▼1 points since the previous source
- Scientific AmericanThe 2026 midterms are today—here’s what scientists say is at stake4%
- The EconomistUS midterms 2026: live results6%▲2 points since the previous source
- Cointelegraph.com NewsWhat’s at stake for crypto as the US votes in the 2026 midterms?6%
- The VergeMidterm elections 2026: all the news6%
Show 12 later sources
- All Content from Business InsiderThe midterm races to watch if you care about money, Musk, and the AI boom4%▼2 points since the previous source
- Cointelegraph.com NewsUS midterms election 2026 live: What they mean for crypto5%▲1 points since the previous source
- CoinDeskElection 2026: CoinDesk live blog4%▼1 points since the previous source
- Nature‘Historic change’: what the 2026 US mid-term election results mean for science4%
- Cointelegraph.com News1inch lawyer sees agencies driving US crypto regulation as midterms unfold4%▼1 points since the previous source
- CoinDeskThe election changes Washington. The work on crypto continues0%▼4 points since the previous source
- EosHow Science and the Environment Fared in the 2026 U.S. Midterms0%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterms 2026: What key races remain undecided?0%
- Scientific AmericanThese are the doctors and scientists elected in the 2026 midterms0%
- Fox News PoliticsMidterms and 2028: Join America's conversation here!0%
- The Guardian USUS midterm elections 2026 live: Democrats exceed 250 House seats as blue wave sweeping Congress grows0%
- BBC NewsFour midterms takeaways for 2028 White House race0%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- US midterm elections 2026 live: Democrats exceed 250 House seats as blue wave sweeping Congress grows The Guardian US ·
- US midterms 2026: What key races remain undecided? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- The election changes Washington. The work on crypto continues CoinDesk ·
- Election 2026: CoinDesk live blog CoinDesk ·
- ‘Historic change’: what the 2026 US mid-term election results mean for science Nature ·
- Midterm elections 2026: all the news The Verge ·
Show 16 more sources
- US midterms 2026: live results The Economist ·
- Live US midterm elections results — in charts and maps News Feed ·
- Crypto's Washington playbook is working. Don't abandon it now. CoinDesk ·
- The crypto reader's guide to the 2026 midterm election: State of Crypto CoinDesk ·
- The key races to watch for the 2026 election CoinDesk ·
- Four midterms takeaways for 2028 White House race BBC News
- Midterms and 2028: Join America's conversation here! Fox News Politics
- These are the doctors and scientists elected in the 2026 midterms Scientific American
- How Science and the Environment Fared in the 2026 U.S. Midterms Eos
- 1inch lawyer sees agencies driving US crypto regulation as midterms unfold Cointelegraph.com News
- US midterms election 2026 live: What they mean for crypto Cointelegraph.com News
- The midterm races to watch if you care about money, Musk, and the AI boom All Content from Business Insider
- What’s at stake for crypto as the US votes in the 2026 midterms? Cointelegraph.com News
- The 2026 midterms are today—here’s what scientists say is at stake Scientific American
- How to Keep Track of the 2026 General Election Results in Key States cnet.com
- 2026 Midterm Elections: Live Updates National Review
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Republicans win 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 33%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Democrats
- Republicans
- Ted Cruz