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Apple
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Markets on Apple
- Resolved Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes 16h ago
- Polymarket Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? 71% −6
- Polymarket Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 32% +11
- Polymarket Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 64% −4
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Apple each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 06:12 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Nov, 14:11 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 13:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 10:35 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 09:58 UTC | 65% |
| 6 Nov, 09:23 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 08:41 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 08:27 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 05:38 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 03:44 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 73% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 13:45 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 11:03 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 08:21 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 03:16 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 12:09 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 10:44 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 09:14 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 02:41 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 15:07 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 11:13 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:16 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 08:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 12:12 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 08:29 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 03:04 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 44% |
Stories
Apple iPhone Duo Supply Constraints Persist With No Timeline For Relief
Apple CEO John Ternus states the company cannot predict when supply will meet demand for the foldable phone, with delays extending into next year.
Apple, Meta Reject OKX–ICE Tokenized Stock Plans
The tech giants joined 90% of issuers in opting out of the venture, leaving only six initial companies to proceed with the tokenization project.
Apple Launches Touchscreen MacBook Pro With OLED Display Hot: Odds moved 11 points in 24 hours
The new M6 MacBook Pro features an OLED touchscreen and slimmer design, with Best Buy offering a $100 gift card for preorders.
Resolved Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes 16h agoApple Posts Record Revenue Under New CEO John Ternus Amid AI Costs Hot: Odds moved 11 points in 24 hours
Apple reported record fiscal year revenue and earnings per share, exceeding analyst estimates despite warnings of narrower profit margins due to rising memory costs and Siri AI expenses.
Polymarket Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 32% +11Apple Rolls Out iOS and watchOS Betas With Siri AI Audio Intelligence Features
The new developer betas introduce always-listening Siri Recap and Live Rewind tools for the Apple Watch, alongside expanded third-party app integration.
Retailers Launch Early Black Friday Deals on TVs, Tech and Home Goods
Major retailers including Best Buy, Costco, and Home Depot have launched early Black Friday sales featuring discounts on electronics and household items.
Apple Cuts Internal AI Spending Budgets for Engineers
The company is reducing daily spending caps for engineering teams as part of a wider cost-cutting effort.
Apple Blocks Over 100,000 Phrases From iOS Autocomplete
A researcher found that Apple has blocked over 100,000 words and phrases from appearing as predictive text suggestions in iOS keyboards.
Apple to Scan Public iCloud Links for Harmful Content Starting With iOS 27.3
The company will scan items accessible via public links for harmful content in the upcoming iOS 27.3 update.
Apple iMac M6 and MacBook Pro M6 reviews praise performance despite design stagnation
Reviews of the new Apple hardware highlight significant speed gains from the M6 chip while noting the lack of physical design updates.
Resolved Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes 16h ago