Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Implied probability 71%−6
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 71% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 71% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 71% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 71% |
| 7 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 22:14 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 14:33 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 09:58 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 77% |
| 6 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 77% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 75% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 78% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 79% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 78% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 78% |
| 5 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 09:12 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 08:51 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 07:38 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 23:03 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Nov, 06:37 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Nov, 05:12 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Apple must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on November 30, 2026, for the Yes outcome to trigger. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that top spot at that specific time. Readers often mistake current news about sales or temporary price changes for the final resolution data.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 71%
- No 29%
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