Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 15:49 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 08:03 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican candidate wins the 2028 presidential election. The No outcome applies if a Democratic or other party candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for when news outlets call the race, but the market only resolves once Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all agree on the winner, or by the January 20, 2029 inauguration date if they do not.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 68%
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