Democrats Win Midterms; Trump Faces New Legislative Landscape
Democrats secure a historic majority, forcing Republicans to abandon agenda items while Big Tech pivots its political strategy.
Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%Republicans
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Markets on Republicans
- Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%
- Kalshi Republicans win 0%
- Polymarket Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 68%
- Kalshi Democratic Sweep 63% −1
- Polymarket Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections? 78%
- Kalshi Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? 99%
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Republicans each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
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| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 21:02 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 09:04 UTC | 0% |
Stories
Democrats Win House and Senate in US Midterms
Democrats secure majorities in the House and Senate, setting up a legislative battle with President Trump over policy priorities.
- Bloomberg.com
- NPR Politics
- NPR Health
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- The Hill
- +32 more
Democrats Win Blue Wave in US Midterms, Taking Control of Congress Hot: $240k traded on its market in 24 hours
Democrats secure a historic majority in the House and Senate, driven by young voters and rural swing areas, while markets react to potential policy shifts.
Kalshi Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? 99%Democrats sweep US midterms as voters reject Trump's economy
Democrats win control of Congress in midterm elections, citing voter frustration with inflation and high prices under President Donald Trump.
Kalshi During his presidential term 26%Elon Musk’s $446m Midterm Spending Fails to Stop Democratic Sweep Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours
The tech billionaire contributed nearly half a billion dollars to Republican campaigns, but Democrats won every key race he targeted.
Kalshi Above $800 billion 51% +18Democrats Sweep Texas Elections, Flipping State Blue in Historic Midterm Win
Democrats win every statewide office in Texas, including the governorship and Senate, marking a historic shift in the state's political landscape.
- The Hill News
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- politico.com
- Bloomberg.com
- The New York Times
- +13 more
Trump Accepts Midterm Results as Democrats Sweep to Victory
Donald Trump accepts the US midterm election results despite prior interference efforts, as Democrats secure control of Congress and key governorships.
- ABC News
- The Economist
- The world this week
- The Guardian US
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- +20 more
NBC Leads TV Ratings as Democrats Win Midterms; Bluesky Sees Surge
NBC topped primetime viewership with over 31 million watchers as Democrats swept the midterms, while Fox News trailed and Bluesky hit peak usage.
Democrats Win Key Races in Georgia, Retaining Senate Seat and Gaining Governorship
Jon Ossoff retains his US Senate seat while Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes Georgia's first Democratic governor in over two decades.
- Axios
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- NPR Politics
- The Hill
- The Guardian US
- +6 more
Democrats Sweep US Midterms, Exceeding 250 House Seats in Blue Wave
Democrats expand their majority in the House of Representatives while key Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi remain undecided.
- The Guardian US
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- CoinDesk
- Nature
- The Verge
- +10 more
Voter Frustration With Health Costs Fuels Democratic Midterm Victory
Democratic control of Congress follows voter anger over healthcare prices, setting up a legislative test on affordability relief.
Kalshi Republicans win 0%Trump faces lame-duck period amid fears of aggressive foreign policy
Analysts predict the embattled president will pivot to international affairs and executive orders to maintain influence after losing congressional control.
- The Guardian US
- The Economist
- News Feed
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- South China Morning Post