Trump Accepts Midterm Results as Democrats Sweep to Victory

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Democrats, ≥8% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 30 Oct, 01:44BBC NewsMore than 43 million ballots cast so far in midterms early voting surge—
2. 30 Oct, 13:40FortuneMore than 43 million Americans have already voted in the midterms — nearly 10 million more than in 2022—
3. 31 Oct, 06:59Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterms: 3 days to go – What latest polls say as early voting surges—
4. 31 Oct, 16:13The GuardianMore than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms—
5. 31 Oct, 23:39Latest articlesU.S. midterm campaign enters final weekend as Alaska and California fights heat up—
6. 1 Nov, 13:32Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMore than 50 million votes cast in US midterm elections: What does it mean?75%
7. 1 Nov, 16:08BBC Politics‘My vote still matters’ - Americans weigh in on the power of their ballot75%
8. 1 Nov, 18:19The Guardian USThree key takeaways from early voting in midterm elections75%
9. 2 Nov, 09:22BBC NewsWhat are Americans voting for in this election?75%
10. 2 Nov, 14:00The Guardian ClimateICE, inflation and Trump: gen Z readers share their concerns heading into the voting both75%
11. Show 115 later sources

    1. 2 Nov, 16:17Times of IndiaUS midterms: Five flashpoints election officials are watching as America votes75%
    2. 2 Nov, 20:46The New York TimesAmerica Votes75%
    3. 2 Nov, 22:40Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterms 2026: What polls reveal about Democratic, Republican voters75%
    4. 3 Nov, 00:00News - South China Morning PostUS midterm elections 2026: all you need to know75%
    5. 3 Nov, 03:20Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesHow political disagreement with our neighbors relates to whether we bother casting a ballot77%▲2 points since the previous source
    6. 3 Nov, 04:52Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhat time do polls open and close in the US midterm elections 2026?77%
    7. 3 Nov, 05:00News FeedJudgement day for Trump’s Republican Party77%
    8. 3 Nov, 05:45France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Americans head to the polls to vote in US midterm elections77%
    9. 3 Nov, 07:00The GuardianAmericans head to polls in midterm elections seen as referendum on Trump77%
    10. 3 Nov, 07:27Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhen will we know the US midterm election results?77%
    11. 3 Nov, 08:00Fox News PoliticsThe battle for Congress is just the beginning. Here's what's at stake on Election Day77%
    12. 3 Nov, 08:05Deutsche WelleUS midterm election: How it works, why it's important and races to watch77%
    13. 3 Nov, 08:05Deutsche WelleThe US is holding its midterm elections — DW looks at how that works and which races to watch77%
    14. 3 Nov, 08:05Deutsche WelleUS midterm election: Why it's important and races to watch77%
    15. 3 Nov, 08:39The Guardian USUS midterm elections 2026 live: Americans go to the polls in referendum on Trump’s agenda77%
    16. 3 Nov, 09:00CBS News PoliticsHere's what the U.S. is voting on today for the 2026 midterm elections77%
    17. 3 Nov, 09:30CBS News PoliticsHere's when polls open and close for 2026 midterm elections today77%
    18. 3 Nov, 09:34Times of IndiaHow Indian-Americans plan to vote in the 2026 US midterms: Explained in 5 charts77%
    19. 3 Nov, 09:42NPR PoliticsElection expert confident about voting today, more concerned about what happens next77%
    20. 3 Nov, 10:00NPR PoliticsIt's Election Day. Control of Congress is on the line, and what else you need to know77%
    21. 3 Nov, 10:00The GuardianMidterm elections 2026: what time do the polls close today?77%
    22. 3 Nov, 10:00The Guardian USMidterm elections 2026: how are votes counted and when will we know the results?77%
    23. 3 Nov, 10:03AxiosCharted: Why early midterm results can be misleading77%
    24. 3 Nov, 10:10Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterm elections live: Polls due to open in test for Trump77%
    25. 3 Nov, 10:16Deutsche WelleUS voters head to polls for midterm elections set to define remainder of Trump's term77%
    26. 3 Nov, 10:16Deutsche WelleUS midterms: Americans vote in polls seen as referendum on Trump77%
    27. 3 Nov, 10:16Deutsche WelleUS midterms: Americans vote in elections seen as referendum on Trump77%
    28. 3 Nov, 10:16Deutsche WelleUS midterms: Polling stations have closed in five eastern states77%
    29. 3 Nov, 10:16Deutsche WelleUS midterms: Democrat wins North Carolina as first polls close77%
    30. 3 Nov, 10:27News FeedWall Street braces as voters go to polls in high-stakes US midterm elections77%
    31. 3 Nov, 10:32Bloomberg.comElection Day in US, Control of House and Senate at Stake, More77%
    32. 3 Nov, 10:52News FeedAmericans begin voting in crucial midterm elections77%
    33. 3 Nov, 10:55BBC PoliticsVoter voices: Trump's influence on US midterm voters77%
    34. 3 Nov, 10:56Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWho decides the US midterms?77%
    35. 3 Nov, 11:00The Hill NewsYour hour-by-hour guide to 2026 midterm elections77%
    36. 3 Nov, 11:21CBS News PoliticsElection Day live updates with House and Senate control at stake77%
    37. 3 Nov, 11:21Bloomberg.comPolls Open as US Decides Control of House and Senate, More77%
    38. 3 Nov, 11:27Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPolls open in closely contested US midterm elections 202677%
    39. 3 Nov, 11:41Times of IndiaUS midterms: Polling open in 6 states; five things to watch as Americans vote77%
    40. 3 Nov, 12:00The Guardian USUS midterm elections 2026: live results from Senate, House and governor races in all 50 states77%
    41. 3 Nov, 12:10The Guardian USFirst Thing: US goes to polls in vote that will define the last years of Trump’s presidency77%
    42. 3 Nov, 13:24France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesWhat could happen if Donald Trump loses US midterm elections?77%
    43. 3 Nov, 13:56France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterm elections: A referendum on President Donald Trump?77%
    44. 3 Nov, 14:00Bloomberg.comEurope Braces for Results of US Midterm Elections77%
    45. 3 Nov, 14:05VarietyMidterm Elections: Americans Have Wagered $1.9 Billion on Prediction Markets on U.S. Races — With Democrats Favored to Win House and Senate77%
    46. 3 Nov, 14:18France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAmericans vote in key midterms set to upend Trump presidency77%
    47. 3 Nov, 14:26Deutsche WelleWhat US midterm elections mean for Ukraine, Iran and elsewhere77%
    48. 3 Nov, 14:42Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterm voting begins in high-stakes test of Trump’s presidency77%
    49. 3 Nov, 14:51politico.comElection Day in America77%
    50. 3 Nov, 15:07The Guardian USVoting begins in US midterm elections – in pictures77%
    51. 3 Nov, 15:39BBC PoliticsAmericans on the value of their votes77%
    52. 3 Nov, 15:46Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIn Pictures: US midterm elections in 20 photos77%
    53. 3 Nov, 15:52politico.comPolls close in elections that could reshape Washington77%
    54. 3 Nov, 16:46France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterm elections: Over 58 million Americans cast early ballots77%
    55. 3 Nov, 17:35ProtosLive: What stock traders are saying about US midterm elections77%
    56. 3 Nov, 17:35ProtosLIVE: What traders are saying about US midterm elections77%
    57. 3 Nov, 18:22The HillYoung voters could help shape the midterms. But will they turn out?77%
    58. 3 Nov, 20:08Bloomberg.comStrong Youth Voter Turnout, Midterms Break Records, More77%
    59. 3 Nov, 20:17AxiosElection night opens with Trump in battle mode77%
    60. 3 Nov, 20:45The Guardian USAmericans head to the polls to vote in critical midterm elections – video77%
    61. 3 Nov, 20:51The New York TimesMidterm Suspense77%
    62. 3 Nov, 21:31Bloomberg.comUS Elections Offer a Midterm Referendum on Trump77%
    63. 3 Nov, 22:01The New York TimesHow Will the Midterms Play Out? These Races May Provide Early Clues.77%
    64. 3 Nov, 22:02Bloomberg.comStrong Youth, Black Voter Turnout, Midterm Breaks Spend Records77%
    65. 3 Nov, 22:11Latest articlesAmericans vote with control of Congress at stake77%
    66. 3 Nov, 22:15CBS News PoliticsSee CBS News exit poll results for the 2026 midterm elections77%
    67. 3 Nov, 22:21The EconomistAmerica’s midterms: will it be a blue wave?77%
    68. 3 Nov, 22:30Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS midterm election results live: Polls to start closing in some states77%
    69. 3 Nov, 22:30The Guardian USUS midterm voters poised to deliver verdict on Trump’s second term77%
    70. 3 Nov, 22:49The Guardian USUS midterm elections 2026 live: key House and Senate races to determine control of Congress for remainder of Trump’s term77%
    71. 3 Nov, 23:00CBS News PoliticsHouse election results as Democrats and GOP vie for control77%
    72. 3 Nov, 23:00News - South China Morning PostTrump’s fate in balance as US midterm elections put House, Senate up for grabs77%
    73. 3 Nov, 23:02Bloomberg.comUS Midterm Polls Begin Closing, Early Voters Break Records, More77%
    74. 3 Nov, 23:03Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraFirst polls close in pivotal US midterm elections77%
    75. 3 Nov, 23:42Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhere have there been technical issues so far during US midterm elections?77%
    76. 3 Nov, 23:57South China Morning PostUS midterms: what happened while Asia slept, and when to expect results77%
    77. 4 Nov, 00:00NPR PoliticsElection Day 2026: Photos from around the country77%
    78. 4 Nov, 00:03The Guardian USUS midterm voting goes smoothly with only a handful of issues nationwide77%
    79. 4 Nov, 00:10CBS News PoliticsAmericans disappointed with state of economy as midterm voting underway77%
    80. 4 Nov, 00:30CBS News PoliticsWhat the latest exit polls say as midterm voting wraps77%
    81. 4 Nov, 00:30CBS News PoliticsHere are the races to watch in the House and Senate as midterm voting wraps77%
    82. 4 Nov, 01:04News FeedUS delivers its judgement on Trump in midterm elections77%
    83. 4 Nov, 01:10Deutsche WelleUS midterm election results: How Americans voted and what the data tells us77%
    84. 4 Nov, 02:48NPR PoliticsTens of millions cast ballots for midterms despite worries of Trump's interference77%
    85. 4 Nov, 04:47BBC NewsHow America voted in maps and charts77%
    86. 4 Nov, 04:50Deutsche WelleUS midterm election results: Democrats win crucial seats. Here's what else the data tells us77%
    87. 4 Nov, 05:00The Guardian USTell us: what do you want to know about the midterm election results?77%
    88. 4 Nov, 05:20France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMidterms: Why is California slower at counting its votes?77%
    89. 4 Nov, 05:43NPR PoliticsHere's how some key demographic groups voted in the midterms98%▲21 points since the previous source
    90. 4 Nov, 06:55politico.comMAGA and non-MAGA Trump voters are divided over what comes next79%▼19 points since the previous source
    91. 4 Nov, 08:05BBC NewsTears, celebrations and selfies: US midterms in pictures98%▲19 points since the previous source
    92. 4 Nov, 08:27Times of IndiaMidterm results: Americans get tired of president, 'vote out' Republicans98%
    93. 4 Nov, 09:24France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Will Trump stick to his word and accept results?98%
    94. 4 Nov, 09:51NPR PoliticsVoters share what issues drove them to the polls98%
    95. 4 Nov, 09:53The Guardian USTell us: how do you feel about the US midterm election results?98%
    96. 4 Nov, 10:25All Content from Business InsiderWinners and losers from the 2026 midterm elections98%
    97. 4 Nov, 11:42NPR PoliticsMidterm results become a referendum on Trump's record98%
    98. 4 Nov, 11:43NPR PoliticsA look at results for state legislatures around the country98%
    99. 4 Nov, 12:03The GuardianUS midterm elections 2026: live results from Senate, House and governor races in all 50 states98%
    100. 4 Nov, 15:28NPR PoliticsTrump reacts to midterm election results98%
    101. 4 Nov, 17:44The Guardian US‘Thrilled, scared but hopeful’: readers react to historic Democratic victory in US midterms99%▲1 points since the previous source
    102. 4 Nov, 20:21The New York TimesA Trump Reckoning99%
    103. 4 Nov, 20:49NPR PoliticsDemocratic leaders reflect on midterm results and what's next for the party99%
    104. 4 Nov, 21:31South China Morning PostAsian-American voters, younger turnout fuel blue wave for Democrats in midterms99%
    105. 4 Nov, 22:06MarketWatchHow do Americans feel about the midterm results? It depends on how much money they make.98%▼1 points since the previous source
    106. 5 Nov, 00:43CBS News PoliticsAmericans share what voting in the midterms meant to them98%
    107. 5 Nov, 04:41Latest articlesAmerica’s midterms: History rhymes half a century later98%
    108. 5 Nov, 09:00The GuardianTrump accepts midterm results as system holds up against election interference efforts99%▲1 points since the previous source
    109. 5 Nov, 09:46NPR PoliticsDemocrats and Republicans reflect on midterm results and the message sent by voters99%
    110. 5 Nov, 10:00NPR PoliticsThe South flexes political power in midterms, sets regional influence in 2028 election99%
    111. 5 Nov, 11:09Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraVisualising how the US midterms turned the map blue99%
    112. 5 Nov, 12:35The Guardian USTrump accepts election results as Republicans face midterm reckoning | First Thing99%
    113. 5 Nov, 13:58The world this weekCartoon: The results of the midterms99%
    114. 6 Nov, 16:18The EconomistIs this the end of the Trump era?99%
    115. 6 Nov, 19:48ABC NewsPope 'proud to be an American' after US elections, credits God, doctors with rebound99%
12. NowCurrent odds99%