Democrats Sweep Texas Elections, Flipping State Blue in Historic Midterm Win
Democrats win every statewide office in Texas, including the governorship and Senate, marking a historic shift in the state's political landscape.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 02:09 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 08:41 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 01:09 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 13:38 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 02:03 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 17% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? respond.
The story so far
18 publishers have covered this in 24 articles since 2 Nov 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 2 November at 10:43 UTC; All Content from Business Insider followed 43h 56m later. The most recent article, from KFF Health News, appeared on 6 November at 23:32 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg.com (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Economist (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, All Content from Business Insider, Times of India, Rolling Stone and 6 more, all listed under Sources below.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 36%, with $935 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Democrats win if their nominee receives the most statewide votes in Texas during the 2028 Presidential Election. The outcome depends on which candidate wins the popular vote in Texas, not on electoral college results or other races. Readers often mistakenly think the linked story about midterm elections affects this market, but only the 2028 presidential election results matter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines'A shift in the air': Can young voters turn Texas blue?—
- All Content from Business InsiderTexas just went blue, and the tech bros are sad17%
- Bloomberg.comDemocrats Win in Landslide, Texas Turns Blue, More17%
- NPR PoliticsTexas turns blue with U.S. Senate and gubernatorial wins17%
- Times of IndiaWhy Texas turning Blue is Elon Musk’s ‘biggest defeat’17%
- The Guardian US‘A win the size of Texas’: Democrats celebrate shrinking Republican dominance in a big state17%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterm elections: 'Maybe the best colour for Texas is purple'17%
- All Content from Business InsiderThese big companies moved to red Texas. Now the state's gone blue.17%
- Rolling Stone‘Euphoria’: What Election Night Felt Like in the Heart of Blue Texas17%
- NPR PoliticsWhat's the future of the Democratic party in Texas, amid historic midterm wins?17%
Show 14 later sources
- Latest articlesTexas turns blue in stunning rebuke of Donald Trump, Elon Musk and GOP17%
- NPR PoliticsDemocrats win big in Texas17%
- Inside Climate NewsDemocrats’ Victory in Texas Raises Potential for Environmental Reform17%
- The EconomistA political revolution in Texas17%
- The New York TimesThe Texas-size Political Tremor Rattling Big Business25%▲8 points since the previous source
- BillboardDoja Cat Tweaks ‘Paint the Town Red’ Lyrics After Texas Turns Blue Following Democrats’ Victory23%▼2 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg.comTexas Democrats’ Landslide Upends Money Along With Power in a GOP Bastion22%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhy one Republican won a redrawn Texas district despite blue tsunami38%▲16 points since the previous source
- politico.com‘We Took the Head of the Snake’: Democratic AGs Scored a Huge Victory in Texas32%▼6 points since the previous source
- Mother JonesDemocratic Sweep in Texas Could Usher in Environmental Reforms32%▲1 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsRed states have spent decades dominating a key corner of the economy — will the blue wave change that?32%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRepublicans redrew this Texas district to win – it narrowly worked32%
- The Hill News‘A Republican will never sniff the White House again’ if Texas stays blue: Jesse Watters32%
- KFF Health NewsTexas Democrats Swept Statewide Races. Now Comes the Hard Part of Solving Healthcare Angst.28%▼4 points since the previous source
- Current odds36%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘A Republican will never sniff the White House again’ if Texas stays blue: Jesse Watters The Hill News ·
- Republicans redrew this Texas district to win – it narrowly worked Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- ‘We Took the Head of the Snake’: Democratic AGs Scored a Huge Victory in Texas politico.com ·
- Why one Republican won a redrawn Texas district despite blue tsunami Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Texas Democrats’ Landslide Upends Money Along With Power in a GOP Bastion Bloomberg.com ·
- The Texas-size Political Tremor Rattling Big Business The New York Times ·
Show 18 more sources
- A political revolution in Texas The Economist ·
- Democrats win big in Texas NPR Politics ·
- What's the future of the Democratic party in Texas, amid historic midterm wins? NPR Politics ·
- ‘A win the size of Texas’: Democrats celebrate shrinking Republican dominance in a big state The Guardian US ·
- Texas turns blue with U.S. Senate and gubernatorial wins NPR Politics ·
- Democrats Win in Landslide, Texas Turns Blue, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Texas Democrats Swept Statewide Races. Now Comes the Hard Part of Solving Healthcare Angst. KFF Health News
- Red states have spent decades dominating a key corner of the economy — will the blue wave change that? Fox News Politics
- Democratic Sweep in Texas Could Usher in Environmental Reforms Mother Jones
- Doja Cat Tweaks ‘Paint the Town Red’ Lyrics After Texas Turns Blue Following Democrats’ Victory Billboard
- Democrats’ Victory in Texas Raises Potential for Environmental Reform Inside Climate News
- Texas turns blue in stunning rebuke of Donald Trump, Elon Musk and GOP Latest articles
- ‘Euphoria’: What Election Night Felt Like in the Heart of Blue Texas Rolling Stone
- These big companies moved to red Texas. Now the state's gone blue. All Content from Business Insider
- US midterm elections: 'Maybe the best colour for Texas is purple' France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Why Texas turning Blue is Elon Musk’s ‘biggest defeat’ Times of India
- Texas just went blue, and the tech bros are sad All Content from Business Insider
- 'A shift in the air': Can young voters turn Texas blue? France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? 36% −2
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In this story
- Jesse Watters
- James Talarico
- Gina Hinojosa
- Greg Abbott
- Democrats
- Republicans