Democrats Flip Texas Senate, Governorship and Attorney General in Historic Midterm Upset
James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa defeat Republicans Ken Paxton and Greg Abbott, while Nathan Johnson flips the attorney general's office.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 177 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 21:45 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Republican Party respond.
The story so far
31 publishers have covered this in 206 articles since 25 Sept 2026. Deadline published first, on 25 September at 15:00 UTC; The Hill followed 45h 35m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 6 November at 21:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), WIRED (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet) and 19 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Republican Party — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party controls the Texas House of Representatives after the 2026 elections. It resolves to No if they do not win that control. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about individual candidates rather than the party's overall seat count.
- James Talarico, ≥8% — the market puts it at 99%, with $367 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate election by a margin of 8% or more. The outcome is No if his margin of victory is less than 8%. Readers often mistake the linked headline about recent Democratic wins for the final result, but only the official margin in the 2026 election counts.
- James Talarico, 3+ pts — the market puts it at 100%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by a margin of at least 3 percentage points. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the headline's polling data for the final result, but only the official certified election results determine the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republican Party at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- DeadlineJames Talarico Leans Into Endorsement From Bill Nye To Launch New Teachers Group—
- The HillTalarico leads Paxton by 5 points in Texas Senate race poll—
- The HillManchin says 'if character means anything, you can't vote for Ken Paxton'—
- Just In NewsTalarico up 4 points in new Texas poll—
- Washington PostJasmine Crockett’s PAC released new endorsements. Talarico is still not on the list.—
- Washington PostFox News agrees to host Texas Senate debate; no word from Paxton yet—
- Fox News Politics‘F--- her’: Jasmine Crockett torched by ex-Dem colleague over who she left off endorsement list—
- The Guardian USKen Paxton’s Christian identity politics obscure a history of scandal | Sidney Blumenthal—
- The HillPaxton: Trump GOP midterm convention 'dropped our numbers'—
- Fox News PoliticsGOP fortress is under threat in one key red state, and these voters could decide whether it falls—
Show 196 later sources
- Fox News PoliticsUnearthed clip exposes the Talarico comment that triggered backlash from parents—
- The HillPaxton misses Vance rally; will stump with Trump on Thursday—
- CBS News PoliticsTrump deflects on audio of Paxton calling GOP convention a drag on polls—
- Just In NewsJennings on Paxton comments about Trump convention: 'Keep it to yourself'—
- Washington PostNebraska’s Dan Osborn responds to leaked audio commenting on Trump supporters—
- The HillKen Paxton reveals GOP polling 'dropped' after midterm convention: NYT—
- Fox News PoliticsFox News Poll: It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton—
- Roll Call‘Pain in the ass’: Trump again shows annoyance with Paxton after leaked audio—
- The HillTrump quips Paxton is ‘pain in the ass,’ ‘a little controversial’—
- The Guardian USIs James Talarico about to flip Texas for the Democrats? | Politics Weekly America—
- The HillTalarico leads Paxton by 2 points in tightening Texas Senate race: Survey—
- Fox News PoliticsSocialist streamer Hasan Piker faces fury after pressuring Talarico to enact far-left policy if elected—
- Washington PostTalarico, Paxton launch dueling ads amid heated Senate race in Texas—
- Just In NewsRove says if Paxton doesn't debate Talarico, 'he loses'—
- Fox News PoliticsGOP Senate candidate's estranged wife confirms who she's voting for amid divorce proceedings—
- NPR PoliticsTexas Senate race shatters state's campaign spending record—
- Just In NewsDemocrat drops 7-figure ad buy in Texas AG race—
- PoliticoCampaign ‘all coming from DC,’ Paxton says—
- The New York TimesTexas Pediatricians Face Paxton Investigations for Vaccinating Children—
- Rolling StoneKen Paxton Makes Excuses for Floundering Campaign in New Leaked Audio—
- The Guardian USRepublican Ken Paxton admits forces in DC control his Texas Senate campaign—
- Fox News PoliticsPaxton vents over lack of campaign control as DC establishment he once battled comes to his aid—
- Politico CongressPaxton reports $18M quarterly fundraising haul—
- The HillPaxton raises $18M in third quarter—
- The HillCrockett says she supports 'all Democrats:' 'Yes, that includes James Talarico'—
- PoliticoKen Paxton’s secret weapon: Ted Cruz—
- The Hill NewsAbbott not joining Trump at San Antonio campaign stop—
- AxiosExclusive: Paxton privately blames campaign woes on Iran war, gas prices—
- The HillTrump heads to Texas as GOP worries mount over Paxton, Talarico—
- The HillTrump's onslaught tests Talarico’s momentum in Texas—
- Politico‘He is welcome to raise his own money’: GOP confronts its Paxton woes—
- The HillPaxton: Iran war a drag on Texas Senate campaign—
- The Guardian USPaxton admits Trump’s Iran war and US gas prices are plaguing Republicans in leaked audio—
- The Hill NewsTalarico steps off Texas Senate campaign trail after flu diagnosis—
- Bloomberg.comTrump Campaigns and MAGA Inc. Spends Big in Texas Paxton-Talarico Senate Race—
- Fox News PoliticsKen Paxton calls out James Talarico's 11-day absence at Trump rally, prompting response from campaign—
- The HillTrump: Where is Talarico?—
- Washington PostTrump calls for Paxton-Talarico debate as Texas Senate race heats up—
- Washington PostTalarico vowed to back an LGBTQ rights bill. Now, his stance isn’t so clear.—
- Fox News PoliticsTalarico disappearance has Dem volunteers worrying and Trump asking, 'What is going on?'—
- Rolling StoneWillie Nelson Endorses James Talarico in Texas Senate Race—
- Washington PostTexas Senate nominee James Talarico makes first public appearance this month—
- Fox News PoliticsJames Talarico resurfaces after extended absence as his campaign pushes back—
- The Hill NewsTalarico makes first appearance in 13-days at music festival after flu absence—
- The Guardian US‘When you look at the numbers, we win’: the prophetic Texas pastor poised to take Jasmine Crockett’s House seat—
- The Hill NewsChair of Texas Democratic Party says ‘we’re full steam ahead’ after Talarico’s flu recovery—
- Rolling StoneThe Right’s Desperate Conspiracy Theory About James Talarico Goes Up In Flames—
- ConsequenceDon Henley Is Spending Big to Help Democrats Win in Texas—
- Mother JonesElon Musk Is the Midterms’ Biggest Disinformation Risk—
- CBS News PoliticsTalarico was at home in Texas during campaign trail absence, photos indicate—
- Washington PostKen Paxton took campaign funds from donors with interests before his office—
- politico.com‘Oil field trash’ tries to pull off Texas shocker—
- MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansFact Check: Posts Falsely Claim Senate Candidate Talarico Was at a Mental Facility—
- Rolling Stone‘Abbott Is Struggling’: Ken Paxton Gripes About Texas GOP and Campaign Woes in New Leaked Audio—
- The Guardian USKen Paxton stirs vaccines skpeticism to ingratiate himself with Maha movement—
- Fox News PoliticsJames Talarico torches Biden border policies in stunning attack ad as progressive tries to flip Texas blue—
- The HillIn Texas, 3 new polls show Talarico with slight lead—
- Just In NewsTalarico takes questions solo in CNN-Jubilee town hall amid tight Senate race—
- The GuardianTexas Democrat James Talarico faces grilling from voters at town hall in tight Senate race—
- The Guardian USAnatomy of a lie: how misinformation is spreading through US midterm campaigns—
- The Hill NewsTalarico on ‘God is nonbinary’ remark: ‘I was being provocative’—
- The HillTalarico on 'crazy' conspiracy theories: 'I learned ... that I had died'—
- The Hill NewsTalarico says Biden ‘failed’ Texas by not securing border—
- QuartzTexas Democratic Senate candidate says $64 million quarter set a fundraising record—
- CBS News Politics10/15: The Takeout with Major Garrett—
- The HillTrump berates Cornyn, Rove for not backing Paxton: 'They are hurting Texas'—
- PoliticoTrump lashes out at Republicans as Ken Paxton struggles in Texas—
- AxiosTrump names scapegoats as Republicans sweat in Texas—
- AxiosDemocrats post "mind-blowing" numbers ahead of 2026 midterms—
- The GuardianTrump attacks fellow Republicans for ‘hurting Texas’ during senate election race – US politics live—
- Just In NewsTrump: No regrets endorsing Paxton because 'Cornyn would have lost'—
- The Hill NewsTalarico compares campaign to biblical David—
- The Guardian USCan Ken Paxton outrun a trail of scandal to win US Senate seat in ruby-red Texas?—
- CBS News PoliticsCBS News poll: Talarico-Paxton Senate race is a Texas toss-up—
- Just In NewsWith Ken Paxton's race faltering, GOP looks for someone to blame—
- Just In NewsUS Chamber of Commerce endorses Paxton over Talarico—
- Mother JonesPlease Don’t Film the Breakfast Buffet at Ken Paxton’s “Come and Take It” Bus Tour—
- Rolling StoneThe Hottest Special Guest in Country Music Right Now? James Talarico—
- CBS News PoliticsTexas Senate race close to tied between James Talarico, Ken Paxton, CBS News poll finds—
- Fox News PoliticsTalarico skips Bernie Sanders rally in Texas, campaigns separately as Senate race heats up—
- Fox News PoliticsBush family royalty backs Democrat in battle to flip Texas blue—
- The Hill NewsCrockett says she’s helping Talarico: ‘I’ve endorsed him 100 times’—
- The HillMusk endorses Paxton in Texas Senate race—
- The DispatchWhat Texas Media Outlets Aren’t Telling Voters About James Talarico—
- CBS News PoliticsGeorge W. Bush's brother says he voted for Talarico in Senate race—
- The HillTalarico cheers on Matthew McConaughey: 'I think he'd be a great candidate'—
- The GuardianBush’s brother crosses party lines to vote for James Talarico for Senate—
- The HillNeil Bush, brother of George W. Bush, says he voted for Talarico—
- Fox News PoliticsFox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraBrother of George Bush endorses Democratic Senate candidate in Texas—
- The HillTalarico, Paxton in dead heat for Texas Senate, Abbott leads governor's race: Poll—
- The HillTalarico challenges 'Low T' Paxton to debate—
- The HillTalarico accuses Musk of buying his own ‘personal U.S. Senator’—
- The HillProminent Texas lawyer who donated over 600K to pro-Paxton PAC endorses Talarico—
- Mother JonesPutin Is Meddling in the Midterms to Help Trump by Spreading False Sex Abuse Claims—
- The Guardian USA Democratic win in Texas is a long shot – but Ken Paxton’s weakness is obvious | Moira Donegan—
- Politico CongressJohn Barrasso to campaign with Ken Paxton—
- QuartzTexas Senate candidate's new ad calls Elon Musk's $190M push an attempt to "buy" a senator—
- The Guardian USDemocrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’—
- Fox News PoliticsBush dynasty delivers another blow to GOP in Texas Senate battle as family member breaks ranks—
- The HillLibertarian Texas Senate candidate says he's not taking votes away from Paxton, Talarico—
- The HillAbbott says opponent Hinojosa supports Sharia law—
- Politico CongressAsian voters are swinging toward Talarico in Texas. Dems still say more outreach is needed.—
- CBS News PoliticsHigh gas prices could put Texas in play for Democrats—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump won this reliably red state by double digits. Now a deadlocked race is bringing him back—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUSA: Could a Democrat win a statewide election in Texas?—
- The HillJennings concerned about multiple states: 'A lot of bad vibes out there'—
- The HillWatch live: Trump makes final pitch to Texas voters—
- Roll CallTrump does Texas two-step to close deal for Ken Paxton—
- Roll CallIn Texas, ‘everything is bigger, including politics’—
- CBS News PoliticsTalarico and Paxton hold dueling rallies in Texas—
- Energy & EnvironmentAbbott taps tech cash for closing push in Texas governor’s race—
- The Hill NewsTrump and Talarico hold dueling Texas rallies—
- Fox News PoliticsDeep in Trump country, a new generation reveals the divide behind Texas' tight Senate race—
- QuartzTrump und Talarico setzen konkurrierende Kundgebungen in Texas für den 27. Oktober vor den Zwischenwahlen am 3. November an.—
- FortuneTrump heads to Texas to keep its 32 year red-streak—joining Elon Musk’s $158 million effort to keep ‘lunatic’ Dem candidate Talarico out of office—
- Fox News PoliticsDueling rallies thrust deep-red Lone Star town into the center of the political universe—
- The HillThe race for Texas governor will decide control of the House—
- The HillWatch live: Vance returns to Texas as GOP's Senate stakes rise—
- The HillVance makes fiery closing pitch for Paxton: 'Texas is not surrendering a damn thing'—
- WIREDElon Musk’s Ties to Texas Republicans Go Much Deeper Than the Midterms—
- Fox News PoliticsThe red wall facing its biggest threat in decades as Republicans scramble to defend Texas—
- The HillChris Sununu: 'Texas is in trouble for Republicans'—
- The HillCruz warns GOP could lose 8 Senate seats, get swept in Texas—
- politico.comGreg Abbott Runs the GOP’s Top Political Machine. Can It Keep Texas Red?—
- The VergeHere’s why you can’t shake those unhinged political texts—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTalarico draws a packed campus rally, but can he win over young voters?—
- BBC NewsDemocrats are used to heartbreak in Texas - could Talarico turn the tide?—
- The Guardian US‘There’s a lot of hate’: rightwing racism stirs south Asian mobilization in Texas—
- CBS News PoliticsThe issue that could tip the scales in the Texas Senate race—
- CBS News PoliticsKen Paxton campaign no longer has Alamo event scheduled—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Could Senate candidate James Talarico turn Texas blue?—
- The Guardian US‘Smart, articulate and guided by his heart’: James Talarico’s journey from teacher to potential Texas senator—
- Fox News PoliticsTalarico campaigns alongside Democrat who called ICE 'new KKK' and demanded its abolition—
- The HillTalarico says he wants to work with Trump on bipartisan MAGA agenda—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTexas Senate candidates Paxton and Talarico make final appeals—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesCould Texas turn blue? Democrat James Talarico takes on Republican establishment—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Talarico seeks to break Democrats' 30-year losing streak in Texas—
- QuartzTexas governor's race might be the biggest midterm test for wobbling AI stocks—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS Midterms: Texas Democrat Talarico holds last rally ahead of vote—
- The Hill NewsTexas live results: 2026 Senate election—
- The HillAbbott: Hinojosa 'makes Talarico look almost conservative'—
- The HillPaxton: Review of Harris County voting claims 'won't be resolved by the time the election is over'—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTexans vote in most expensive Senate race in US history—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump's gamble on Ken Paxton backfires as Democrat pulls off historic Texas Senate upset—
- Bloomberg.comDemocrat Talarico Wins Texas Senate Race, DDHQ Projects—
- The HillTalarico flips Texas Senate seat, beating Paxton in blow to Trump—
- Fox News PoliticsDemocrat Gina Hinojosa stuns Abbott, makes history as first Latina Texas governor—
- Bloomberg.comBREAKING: Democrat Talarico Projected to Win Texas Senate Race—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraNervous Republicans await results at Paxton’s Texas election party—
- CBS News PoliticsJames Talarico wins Texas Senate race, flipping seat for Democrats—
- Mother JonesElon Musk Loses Texas Senate Race—
- Rolling StoneTexas Goes Blue: James Talarico Triumphs Over Ken Paxton—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTalarico wins Texas Senate race, ending decades of Republican dominance—
- politico.comDemocrat James Talarico just flipped Texas blue—
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat—
- The Guardian USJames Talarico wins Texas Senate race in historic victory for Democrats—
- AxiosTalarico flips Texas Senate seat in historic Democratic breakthrough—
- The Hollywood ReporterTexas Turns Blue: How James Talarico, Gina Hinojosa Broke Dems’ Three-Decade Losing Streak—
- FortuneJames Talarico wasn’t born the last time a Democrat won a Texas Senate race. At 37, he won one despite $200 million from Elon Musk to stop him—
- Deutsche WelleUS midterms: Democrat Talarico wins Texas Senate seat—
- Mother JonesGina Hinojosa Wins Texas Governor’s Race in Political Earthquake—
- The HillAbbott concedes to Hinojosa in Texas—
- CBS News PoliticsGina Hinojosa wins Texas gubernatorial race against Greg Abbott—
- Times of IndiaDemocrat James Talarico breaks Republican stronghold in Texas: Why it's a big deal—
- South China Morning PostUS voters unleash blue wave, handing Congress to Democrats and rebuking Trump—
- News FeedJames Talarico’s historic Texas Senate victory deals blow to Elon Musk—
- BBC NewsJames Talarico becomes first Democrat to win Texas Senate seat since 19881%
- All Content from Business InsiderElon Musk's Texas-sized midterms failure1%
- The Guardian USJames Talarico wins Senate race in Texas, securing historic victory – video1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTalarico says 'power belongs to the people' as Democrats win big in Texas1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Democrat James Talarico wins Senate race in deep-red Texas1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera‘We defeated Goliath’: Texas Democrat James Talarico wins Senate seat1%
- AxiosHow Texas went Democratic1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRepublicans fuming after Democrat Talarico flips Texas Senate blue1%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoJames Talarico se convierte en el primer senador demócrata por Texas tras 38 años1%
- South China Morning PostMeet Texas Senator-elect James Talarico’s vegan girlfriend, Brianna Menard1%
- The HillDemocrat Nathan Johnson flips Texas attorney general's office2%▲1 points since the previous source
- CBS News PoliticsTalarico says victory sends message to Musk: "Texas is not for sale"2%
- The HillTrump: Abbott would have won if he 'hadn't become a RINO'2%
- FortuneJames Talarico was a 23-year-old middle school teacher when an 11-year-old inspired him to run for office—now he’s making history in Texas as Senator2%
- Deadline‘Red, White & Royal Blue’ Author Responds To Texas Going Blue In Midterms: “It Was All In The Binder”2%
- The Hill NewsTalarico: I want to work with Republicans ‘who said some mean things about me’2%
- MIT Technology ReviewTexas was the new epicenter of the AI data center buildout. That might be kaput.2%
- The HillCornyn says GOP 'forgot how to win' under Trump2%
- The HillDemocrats just broke GOP’s grip on Texas. What comes next?2%
- politico.com‘We Touched a Nerve’: Talarico Gets Candid About His Stunning Win2%
- DeadlineMidterm Elections: What Stood Out In Media Coverage Of Democrats’ Rout Of Trump & Republicans2%
- CBS News11/4: CBS Evening News2%
- CBS News PoliticsTalarico, Hinojosa win Texas for Democrats amid wide discontent over ICE tactics, more2%
- The HillTexas state rep calls on Abbott to curb Hinojosa's power before inauguration2%
- All Content from Business InsiderJames Talarico says he'll 'work with anyone' in Texas — including Elon Musk1%▼1 points since the previous source
- The HillRove: Paxton 'drew down the entire Republican ticket' in Texas1%
- Fox News Politics'We didn't expect this': Texas Democrats stunned as blue wave topples GOP stronghold1%
- News FeedJames Talarico: the Democrats’ rising star who turned Texas blue1%
- The Guardian USTexas v Musk: how southern state Democrats won against the billionaire – explainer1%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Texas v Musk: how southern state Democrats won against the billionaire – explainer The Guardian US ·
- James Talarico: the Democrats’ rising star who turned Texas blue News Feed ·
- Rove: Paxton 'drew down the entire Republican ticket' in Texas The Hill ·
- Texas state rep calls on Abbott to curb Hinojosa's power before inauguration The Hill ·
- Talarico, Hinojosa win Texas for Democrats amid wide discontent over ICE tactics, more CBS News Politics ·
- 11/4: CBS Evening News CBS News ·
Show 200 more sources
- ‘We Touched a Nerve’: Talarico Gets Candid About His Stunning Win politico.com ·
- Democrats just broke GOP’s grip on Texas. What comes next? The Hill ·
- Cornyn says GOP 'forgot how to win' under Trump The Hill ·
- Talarico: I want to work with Republicans ‘who said some mean things about me’ The Hill News ·
- Trump: Abbott would have won if he 'hadn't become a RINO' The Hill ·
- Talarico says victory sends message to Musk: "Texas is not for sale" CBS News Politics ·
- Democrat Nathan Johnson flips Texas attorney general's office The Hill ·
- Republicans fuming after Democrat Talarico flips Texas Senate blue Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- How Texas went Democratic Axios ·
- ‘We defeated Goliath’: Texas Democrat James Talarico wins Senate seat Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- James Talarico wins Senate race in Texas, securing historic victory – video The Guardian US ·
- James Talarico’s historic Texas Senate victory deals blow to Elon Musk News Feed ·
- Gina Hinojosa wins Texas gubernatorial race against Greg Abbott CBS News Politics ·
- Abbott concedes to Hinojosa in Texas The Hill ·
- Texas Turns Blue: How James Talarico, Gina Hinojosa Broke Dems’ Three-Decade Losing Streak The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Talarico flips Texas Senate seat in historic Democratic breakthrough Axios ·
- James Talarico wins Texas Senate race in historic victory for Democrats The Guardian US ·
- Democrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat NPR Politics ·
- Democrat James Talarico just flipped Texas blue politico.com ·
- Talarico wins Texas Senate race, ending decades of Republican dominance Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- James Talarico wins Texas Senate race, flipping seat for Democrats CBS News Politics ·
- Nervous Republicans await results at Paxton’s Texas election party Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- BREAKING: Democrat Talarico Projected to Win Texas Senate Race Bloomberg.com ·
- Talarico flips Texas Senate seat, beating Paxton in blow to Trump The Hill ·
- Democrat Talarico Wins Texas Senate Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
- Texans vote in most expensive Senate race in US history Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Paxton: Review of Harris County voting claims 'won't be resolved by the time the election is over' The Hill ·
- Abbott: Hinojosa 'makes Talarico look almost conservative' The Hill ·
- Texas live results: 2026 Senate election The Hill News ·
- Texas Senate candidates Paxton and Talarico make final appeals Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Talarico says he wants to work with Trump on bipartisan MAGA agenda The Hill ·
- ‘Smart, articulate and guided by his heart’: James Talarico’s journey from teacher to potential Texas senator The Guardian US ·
- Ken Paxton campaign no longer has Alamo event scheduled CBS News Politics ·
- The issue that could tip the scales in the Texas Senate race CBS News Politics ·
- ‘There’s a lot of hate’: rightwing racism stirs south Asian mobilization in Texas The Guardian US ·
- Talarico draws a packed campus rally, but can he win over young voters? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Here’s why you can’t shake those unhinged political texts The Verge ·
- Greg Abbott Runs the GOP’s Top Political Machine. Can It Keep Texas Red? politico.com ·
- Cruz warns GOP could lose 8 Senate seats, get swept in Texas The Hill ·
- Chris Sununu: 'Texas is in trouble for Republicans' The Hill ·
- Elon Musk’s Ties to Texas Republicans Go Much Deeper Than the Midterms WIRED ·
- Vance makes fiery closing pitch for Paxton: 'Texas is not surrendering a damn thing' The Hill ·
- Watch live: Vance returns to Texas as GOP's Senate stakes rise The Hill ·
- The race for Texas governor will decide control of the House The Hill ·
- Trump and Talarico hold dueling Texas rallies The Hill News ·
- Abbott taps tech cash for closing push in Texas governor’s race Energy & Environment ·
- Talarico and Paxton hold dueling rallies in Texas CBS News Politics ·
- Watch live: Trump makes final pitch to Texas voters The Hill ·
- Jennings concerned about multiple states: 'A lot of bad vibes out there' The Hill ·
- High gas prices could put Texas in play for Democrats CBS News Politics ·
- Asian voters are swinging toward Talarico in Texas. Dems still say more outreach is needed. Politico Congress ·
- Abbott says opponent Hinojosa supports Sharia law The Hill ·
- Libertarian Texas Senate candidate says he's not taking votes away from Paxton, Talarico The Hill ·
- Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’ The Guardian US ·
- John Barrasso to campaign with Ken Paxton Politico Congress ·
- A Democratic win in Texas is a long shot – but Ken Paxton’s weakness is obvious | Moira Donegan The Guardian US ·
- Prominent Texas lawyer who donated over 600K to pro-Paxton PAC endorses Talarico The Hill ·
- Talarico accuses Musk of buying his own ‘personal U.S. Senator’ The Hill ·
- Talarico challenges 'Low T' Paxton to debate The Hill ·
- Talarico, Paxton in dead heat for Texas Senate, Abbott leads governor's race: Poll The Hill ·
- Brother of George Bush endorses Democratic Senate candidate in Texas Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Neil Bush, brother of George W. Bush, says he voted for Talarico The Hill ·
- Bush’s brother crosses party lines to vote for James Talarico for Senate The Guardian ·
- Talarico cheers on Matthew McConaughey: 'I think he'd be a great candidate' The Hill ·
- George W. Bush's brother says he voted for Talarico in Senate race CBS News Politics ·
- Musk endorses Paxton in Texas Senate race The Hill ·
- Crockett says she’s helping Talarico: ‘I’ve endorsed him 100 times’ The Hill News ·
- Texas Senate race close to tied between James Talarico, Ken Paxton, CBS News poll finds CBS News Politics ·
- US Chamber of Commerce endorses Paxton over Talarico Just In News ·
- With Ken Paxton's race faltering, GOP looks for someone to blame Just In News ·
- CBS News poll: Talarico-Paxton Senate race is a Texas toss-up CBS News Politics ·
- Can Ken Paxton outrun a trail of scandal to win US Senate seat in ruby-red Texas? The Guardian US ·
- Talarico compares campaign to biblical David The Hill News ·
- Trump: No regrets endorsing Paxton because 'Cornyn would have lost' Just In News ·
- Trump attacks fellow Republicans for ‘hurting Texas’ during senate election race – US politics live The Guardian ·
- Democrats post "mind-blowing" numbers ahead of 2026 midterms Axios ·
- Trump names scapegoats as Republicans sweat in Texas Axios ·
- Trump lashes out at Republicans as Ken Paxton struggles in Texas Politico ·
- Trump berates Cornyn, Rove for not backing Paxton: 'They are hurting Texas' The Hill ·
- 10/15: The Takeout with Major Garrett CBS News Politics ·
- Talarico says Biden ‘failed’ Texas by not securing border The Hill News ·
- Talarico on 'crazy' conspiracy theories: 'I learned ... that I had died' The Hill ·
- Talarico on ‘God is nonbinary’ remark: ‘I was being provocative’ The Hill News ·
- Anatomy of a lie: how misinformation is spreading through US midterm campaigns The Guardian US ·
- Texas Democrat James Talarico faces grilling from voters at town hall in tight Senate race The Guardian ·
- Talarico takes questions solo in CNN-Jubilee town hall amid tight Senate race Just In News ·
- In Texas, 3 new polls show Talarico with slight lead The Hill ·
- Ken Paxton stirs vaccines skpeticism to ingratiate himself with Maha movement The Guardian US ·
- Ken Paxton took campaign funds from donors with interests before his office Washington Post ·
- ‘Oil field trash’ tries to pull off Texas shocker politico.com ·
- Talarico was at home in Texas during campaign trail absence, photos indicate CBS News Politics ·
- Chair of Texas Democratic Party says ‘we’re full steam ahead’ after Talarico’s flu recovery The Hill News ·
- ‘When you look at the numbers, we win’: the prophetic Texas pastor poised to take Jasmine Crockett’s House seat The Guardian US ·
- Talarico makes first appearance in 13-days at music festival after flu absence The Hill News ·
- Texas Senate nominee James Talarico makes first public appearance this month Washington Post ·
- Talarico vowed to back an LGBTQ rights bill. Now, his stance isn’t so clear. Washington Post ·
- Trump calls for Paxton-Talarico debate as Texas Senate race heats up Washington Post ·
- Trump: Where is Talarico? The Hill ·
- Trump Campaigns and MAGA Inc. Spends Big in Texas Paxton-Talarico Senate Race Bloomberg.com ·
- Talarico steps off Texas Senate campaign trail after flu diagnosis The Hill News ·
- Paxton admits Trump’s Iran war and US gas prices are plaguing Republicans in leaked audio The Guardian US ·
- Paxton: Iran war a drag on Texas Senate campaign The Hill ·
- ‘He is welcome to raise his own money’: GOP confronts its Paxton woes Politico ·
- Trump's onslaught tests Talarico’s momentum in Texas The Hill ·
- Trump heads to Texas as GOP worries mount over Paxton, Talarico The Hill ·
- Exclusive: Paxton privately blames campaign woes on Iran war, gas prices Axios ·
- Abbott not joining Trump at San Antonio campaign stop The Hill News ·
- Ken Paxton’s secret weapon: Ted Cruz Politico ·
- Crockett says she supports 'all Democrats:' 'Yes, that includes James Talarico' The Hill ·
- Paxton raises $18M in third quarter The Hill ·
- Paxton reports $18M quarterly fundraising haul Politico Congress ·
- Republican Ken Paxton admits forces in DC control his Texas Senate campaign The Guardian US ·
- Texas Pediatricians Face Paxton Investigations for Vaccinating Children The New York Times ·
- Campaign ‘all coming from DC,’ Paxton says Politico ·
- Democrat drops 7-figure ad buy in Texas AG race Just In News ·
- Texas Senate race shatters state's campaign spending record NPR Politics ·
- Rove says if Paxton doesn't debate Talarico, 'he loses' Just In News ·
- Talarico, Paxton launch dueling ads amid heated Senate race in Texas Washington Post ·
- Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in tightening Texas Senate race: Survey The Hill ·
- Is James Talarico about to flip Texas for the Democrats? | Politics Weekly America The Guardian US ·
- Trump quips Paxton is ‘pain in the ass,’ ‘a little controversial’ The Hill ·
- Ken Paxton reveals GOP polling 'dropped' after midterm convention: NYT The Hill ·
- Nebraska’s Dan Osborn responds to leaked audio commenting on Trump supporters Washington Post ·
- Jennings on Paxton comments about Trump convention: 'Keep it to yourself' Just In News ·
- Trump deflects on audio of Paxton calling GOP convention a drag on polls CBS News Politics ·
- Paxton misses Vance rally; will stump with Trump on Thursday The Hill ·
- Paxton: Trump GOP midterm convention 'dropped our numbers' The Hill ·
- Ken Paxton’s Christian identity politics obscure a history of scandal | Sidney Blumenthal The Guardian US ·
- Fox News agrees to host Texas Senate debate; no word from Paxton yet Washington Post ·
- Jasmine Crockett’s PAC released new endorsements. Talarico is still not on the list. Washington Post ·
- Talarico up 4 points in new Texas poll Just In News ·
- Manchin says 'if character means anything, you can't vote for Ken Paxton' The Hill ·
- Talarico leads Paxton by 5 points in Texas Senate race poll The Hill ·
- 'We didn't expect this': Texas Democrats stunned as blue wave topples GOP stronghold Fox News Politics
- James Talarico says he'll 'work with anyone' in Texas — including Elon Musk All Content from Business Insider
- Midterm Elections: What Stood Out In Media Coverage Of Democrats’ Rout Of Trump & Republicans Deadline
- Texas was the new epicenter of the AI data center buildout. That might be kaput. MIT Technology Review
- ‘Red, White & Royal Blue’ Author Responds To Texas Going Blue In Midterms: “It Was All In The Binder” Deadline
- James Talarico was a 23-year-old middle school teacher when an 11-year-old inspired him to run for office—now he’s making history in Texas as Senator Fortune
- Meet Texas Senator-elect James Talarico’s vegan girlfriend, Brianna Menard South China Morning Post
- James Talarico se convierte en el primer senador demócrata por Texas tras 38 años France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- US midterms: Democrat James Talarico wins Senate race in deep-red Texas France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Talarico says 'power belongs to the people' as Democrats win big in Texas France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Elon Musk's Texas-sized midterms failure All Content from Business Insider
- James Talarico becomes first Democrat to win Texas Senate seat since 1988 BBC News
- US voters unleash blue wave, handing Congress to Democrats and rebuking Trump South China Morning Post
- Democrat James Talarico breaks Republican stronghold in Texas: Why it's a big deal Times of India
- Gina Hinojosa Wins Texas Governor’s Race in Political Earthquake Mother Jones
- US midterms: Democrat Talarico wins Texas Senate seat Deutsche Welle
- James Talarico wasn’t born the last time a Democrat won a Texas Senate race. At 37, he won one despite $200 million from Elon Musk to stop him Fortune
- Texas Goes Blue: James Talarico Triumphs Over Ken Paxton Rolling Stone
- Elon Musk Loses Texas Senate Race Mother Jones
- Democrat Gina Hinojosa stuns Abbott, makes history as first Latina Texas governor Fox News Politics
- Trump's gamble on Ken Paxton backfires as Democrat pulls off historic Texas Senate upset Fox News Politics
- US Midterms: Texas Democrat Talarico holds last rally ahead of vote France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Texas governor's race might be the biggest midterm test for wobbling AI stocks Quartz
- US midterms: Talarico seeks to break Democrats' 30-year losing streak in Texas France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Could Texas turn blue? Democrat James Talarico takes on Republican establishment France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Talarico campaigns alongside Democrat who called ICE 'new KKK' and demanded its abolition Fox News Politics
- US midterms: Could Senate candidate James Talarico turn Texas blue? France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Democrats are used to heartbreak in Texas - could Talarico turn the tide? BBC News
- The red wall facing its biggest threat in decades as Republicans scramble to defend Texas Fox News Politics
- Dueling rallies thrust deep-red Lone Star town into the center of the political universe Fox News Politics
- Trump heads to Texas to keep its 32 year red-streak—joining Elon Musk’s $158 million effort to keep ‘lunatic’ Dem candidate Talarico out of office Fortune
- Trump und Talarico setzen konkurrierende Kundgebungen in Texas für den 27. Oktober vor den Zwischenwahlen am 3. November an. Quartz
- Deep in Trump country, a new generation reveals the divide behind Texas' tight Senate race Fox News Politics
- Trump does Texas two-step to close deal for Ken Paxton Roll Call
- In Texas, ‘everything is bigger, including politics’ Roll Call
- USA: Could a Democrat win a statewide election in Texas? France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump won this reliably red state by double digits. Now a deadlocked race is bringing him back Fox News Politics
- Bush dynasty delivers another blow to GOP in Texas Senate battle as family member breaks ranks Fox News Politics
- Texas Senate candidate's new ad calls Elon Musk's $190M push an attempt to "buy" a senator Quartz
- Putin Is Meddling in the Midterms to Help Trump by Spreading False Sex Abuse Claims Mother Jones
- Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish Fox News Politics
- What Texas Media Outlets Aren’t Telling Voters About James Talarico The Dispatch
- Bush family royalty backs Democrat in battle to flip Texas blue Fox News Politics
- Talarico skips Bernie Sanders rally in Texas, campaigns separately as Senate race heats up Fox News Politics
- The Hottest Special Guest in Country Music Right Now? James Talarico Rolling Stone
- Please Don’t Film the Breakfast Buffet at Ken Paxton’s “Come and Take It” Bus Tour Mother Jones
- Texas Democratic Senate candidate says $64 million quarter set a fundraising record Quartz
- James Talarico torches Biden border policies in stunning attack ad as progressive tries to flip Texas blue Fox News Politics
- ‘Abbott Is Struggling’: Ken Paxton Gripes About Texas GOP and Campaign Woes in New Leaked Audio Rolling Stone
- Fact Check: Posts Falsely Claim Senate Candidate Talarico Was at a Mental Facility MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
- Elon Musk Is the Midterms’ Biggest Disinformation Risk Mother Jones
- Don Henley Is Spending Big to Help Democrats Win in Texas Consequence
- The Right’s Desperate Conspiracy Theory About James Talarico Goes Up In Flames Rolling Stone
- James Talarico resurfaces after extended absence as his campaign pushes back Fox News Politics
- Willie Nelson Endorses James Talarico in Texas Senate Race Rolling Stone
- Talarico disappearance has Dem volunteers worrying and Trump asking, 'What is going on?' Fox News Politics
- Ken Paxton calls out James Talarico's 11-day absence at Trump rally, prompting response from campaign Fox News Politics
- Paxton vents over lack of campaign control as DC establishment he once battled comes to his aid Fox News Politics
- Ken Paxton Makes Excuses for Floundering Campaign in New Leaked Audio Rolling Stone
- GOP Senate candidate's estranged wife confirms who she's voting for amid divorce proceedings Fox News Politics
- Socialist streamer Hasan Piker faces fury after pressuring Talarico to enact far-left policy if elected Fox News Politics
- ‘Pain in the ass’: Trump again shows annoyance with Paxton after leaked audio Roll Call
- Fox News Poll: It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton Fox News Politics
- Unearthed clip exposes the Talarico comment that triggered backlash from parents Fox News Politics
- GOP fortress is under threat in one key red state, and these voters could decide whether it falls Fox News Politics
- ‘F--- her’: Jasmine Crockett torched by ex-Dem colleague over who she left off endorsement list Fox News Politics
- James Talarico Leans Into Endorsement From Bill Nye To Launch New Teachers Group Deadline
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Republican Party No 10h ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi James Talarico, ≥8% 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi James Talarico, 3+ pts 100%
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In this story
- James Talarico
- Gina Hinojosa
- Ken Paxton
- Greg Abbott
- Nathan Johnson