US Voters Reject Data Centers in Midterms, Fueling Democratic Blue Wave Hot: $54k traded on its market in 24 hours
Voters overwhelmingly rejected data center measures in the US midterms, boosting Democrats and challenging the AI industry's expansion plans.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by www.theregister.com, 1h 12m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 05:30 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Democrats, 12 to 14% respond.
The story so far
26 publishers have covered this in 34 articles since 4 Nov 2026. www.theregister.com published first, on 4 November at 13:15 UTC; Hacker News followed 1h 12m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 7 November at 03:22 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: WIRED (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), TechCrunch Startups (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.theregister.com, Hacker News and 14 more, all listed under Sources below.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Democrats, 12 to 14% — the market puts it at 10%, with $54k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House national popular vote is at least 12% but less than 14%. It resolves to No if the margin falls outside that range. Readers often mistake the upper bound as inclusive, but the rule excludes 14% exactly.
- Democrats, ≥8% — the market puts it at 99%, closing 3 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points over Republicans in the November 3, 2026 general election. The outcome is No if that margin falls below 8 percentage points or if Republicans lead. Readers often mistake this for a Senate race or confuse the date with the 2024 elections.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Democrats, 12 to 14% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- www.theregister.comAmerica unites on one issue: Reining in datacenters69%
- Hacker NewsUS voters roundly reject data centers in ballot measures69%
- QuartzVoters rejected AI data centers across America63%▼6 points since the previous source
- WIREDThe Results Are In: Voters Hate Data Centers63%
- 404 MediaAmerican Voters Overwhelmingly Reject AI Data Centers71%▲8 points since the previous source
- decrypt.coUS Voters Back AI Data Center Restrictions in At Least 29 Communities65%▼6 points since the previous source
- The New York TimesVoters Rejected A.I. in the Midterms. Now Comes an Era of Scrutiny.59%▼6 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneThe Votes Are In: Americans Don’t Want Data Centers59%
- Ars TechnicaBig Tech claims voters’ AI backlash is “anti-Trump” not “anti-tech”58%▼1 points since the previous source
- Inc.Voters Rejected Data Centers Across America. This 1 State Just Fired the Loudest Warning Shot62%▲4 points since the previous source
Show 24 later sources
- South China Morning PostData centre dissent: why American voters aren’t buying Trump’s China AI pitch62%
- Scientific American2026 election results show widespread opposition to AI data centers62%
- All Content from Business InsiderThis tiny North Dakota town was the only place to vote against restricting data centers53%▼9 points since the previous source
- cnet.comData Center Backers Suffer Near-Total Midterm Defeats Across the Country62%▲9 points since the previous source
- theinformation.comVoters’ Gift to Big Tech62%
- TechCrunchAfter the midterms, a bigger clash over data centers could be coming62%
- The Guardian USDatacenters were on the ballot. US voters rejected them68%▲6 points since the previous source
- Latest articles‘We’re not for sale’: Americans want to pump brakes on data centers72%▲4 points since the previous source
- The HillVoters fiercely reject data centers77%▲5 points since the previous source
- FortuneAmericans hate data centers. Tech needs them77%
- Mother JonesMidterm Rout for Data Centers: Voters in Nearly 40 Towns Rejected Projects77%
- Inc.Wall Street Doesn’t Care That Voters Don’t Want Data Centers77%
- Bloomberg MarketsThe Data Center Fight Is Just Beginning71%▼6 points since the previous source
- QuartzBernie Sanders is demanding a national data center moratorium after Democrats' election wins69%▼2 points since the previous source
- BBC NewsDid a data centre revolt affect the US mid-term election results?43%▼26 points since the previous source
- All Content from Business InsiderData center builders met during the midterms. Here's what they said.17%▼26 points since the previous source
- cnet.comWill Democrats Rein in Big Tech? It Starts With Privacy and Data Centers27%▲10 points since the previous source
- The VergeBig Tech lost big in the 2026 election25%▼2 points since the previous source
- TechCrunchAfter the midterms, is the AI industry in for a rough two years?20%▼5 points since the previous source
- CBS News PoliticsData center backlash fuels votes for change, stock market swing20%
- TechCrunch StartupsHow a Blue Wave midterm might reshape the AI industry20%
- CBS News PoliticsExit polls show data centers weren't winners in 2026 elections19%▼1 points since the previous source
- The GuardianSeveral Democrats renew calls for datacenter pauses after blue wave24%▲5 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHow the US midterm elections reflected resistance to data centres15%▼9 points since the previous source
- Current odds10%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- How the US midterm elections reflected resistance to data centres Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Several Democrats renew calls for datacenter pauses after blue wave The Guardian ·
- Exit polls show data centers weren't winners in 2026 elections CBS News Politics ·
- How a Blue Wave midterm might reshape the AI industry TechCrunch Startups ·
- Data center backlash fuels votes for change, stock market swing CBS News Politics ·
- After the midterms, is the AI industry in for a rough two years? TechCrunch ·
Show 28 more sources
- Big Tech lost big in the 2026 election The Verge ·
- The Data Center Fight Is Just Beginning Bloomberg Markets ·
- Voters fiercely reject data centers The Hill ·
- Datacenters were on the ballot. US voters rejected them The Guardian US ·
- After the midterms, a bigger clash over data centers could be coming TechCrunch ·
- Big Tech claims voters’ AI backlash is “anti-Trump” not “anti-tech” Ars Technica ·
- Voters Rejected A.I. in the Midterms. Now Comes an Era of Scrutiny. The New York Times ·
- The Results Are In: Voters Hate Data Centers WIRED ·
- Will Democrats Rein in Big Tech? It Starts With Privacy and Data Centers cnet.com
- Data center builders met during the midterms. Here's what they said. All Content from Business Insider
- Did a data centre revolt affect the US mid-term election results? BBC News
- Bernie Sanders is demanding a national data center moratorium after Democrats' election wins Quartz
- Wall Street Doesn’t Care That Voters Don’t Want Data Centers Inc.
- Midterm Rout for Data Centers: Voters in Nearly 40 Towns Rejected Projects Mother Jones
- Americans hate data centers. Tech needs them Fortune
- ‘We’re not for sale’: Americans want to pump brakes on data centers Latest articles
- Voters’ Gift to Big Tech theinformation.com
- Data Center Backers Suffer Near-Total Midterm Defeats Across the Country cnet.com
- This tiny North Dakota town was the only place to vote against restricting data centers All Content from Business Insider
- 2026 election results show widespread opposition to AI data centers Scientific American
- Data centre dissent: why American voters aren’t buying Trump’s China AI pitch South China Morning Post
- Voters Rejected Data Centers Across America. This 1 State Just Fired the Loudest Warning Shot Inc.
- The Votes Are In: Americans Don’t Want Data Centers Rolling Stone
- US Voters Back AI Data Center Restrictions in At Least 29 Communities decrypt.co
- American Voters Overwhelmingly Reject AI Data Centers 404 Media
- Voters rejected AI data centers across America Quartz
- America unites on one issue: Reining in datacenters www.theregister.com
- US voters roundly reject data centers in ballot measures Hacker News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Democrats, 12 to 14% 10% −28
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Democrats, ≥8% 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Democrats
- Bernie Sanders
- Donald Trump
- Elon Musk