Canelo Alvarez
Implied probability 99%+25
24-hour volume$3.4M
Total volume$4.5M
Liquidity$4.5M
Resolves15 Nov 2026
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Canelo Alvarez wins his scheduled boxing match against Christian Mbilli on October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific fight. Readers often mistake the linked news story about airport attacks in Riyadh for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%