Stevens withdraws from GWU event after endorsing Rogers in Michigan Senate race

The Michigan representative cancels her appearance at a post-election analysis panel following backlash for switching her support to Republican Mike Rogers.

21 publishers · 88 articles · first seen 1 Nov 2026 · updated 37h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by The Hill, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6%

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 69 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	3%
6 Nov, 05:10 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 10:39 UTC	1%
5 Nov, 06:11 UTC	2%
5 Nov, 02:39 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 00:16 UTC	4%
4 Nov, 21:58 UTC	3%
4 Nov, 18:27 UTC	2%
4 Nov, 16:13 UTC	1%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC	4%
4 Nov, 13:46 UTC	1%
4 Nov, 12:40 UTC	2%
4 Nov, 11:32 UTC	1%
4 Nov, 10:21 UTC	6%
4 Nov, 09:07 UTC	19%
4 Nov, 07:56 UTC	3%
4 Nov, 06:43 UTC	13%
4 Nov, 05:31 UTC	42%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC	48%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC	51%
4 Nov, 02:12 UTC	42%
3 Nov, 02:00 UTC	17%

The story so far

21 publishers have covered this in 88 articles since 1 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 1 November at 18:45 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 5 November at 18:36 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Live Feed (major outlet), Mother Jones and 9 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6% — the market puts it at 3%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by a margin between 4% and 6%. The outcome is No if his victory margin falls outside that range or if he loses. Readers often mistake the deadline for Election Day, but the resolution depends on the final certified vote count.
El-Sayed, 5+ pts — the market puts it at 99%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Michigan Senate election by a margin of at least five percentage points. It resolves to No if the victory margin is less than five percentage points or if the candidate loses. Readers often mistake the required margin for a simple win, overlooking that the party must exceed the opponent by five points specifically.
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, closing 8 Nov 2028. Mike Johnson wins if he secures and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. The market resolves to No if he does not win the nomination or if another candidate replaces him before election day.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1 Nov, 18:45The Hill Stevens staff resign over Rogers endorsement—
1 Nov, 18:51Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Michigan Dem Haley Stevens endorses Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers—
1 Nov, 19:27Mother Jones Here Are Some Things Haley Stevens Said About Mike Rogers Before Endorsing Him—
1 Nov, 19:38Mother Jones Haley Stevens Abandons Fellow Democrats in Opposition to Abdul El-Sayed—
1 Nov, 19:39Axios "Petty, selfish, unhinged": Haley Stevens' staff and colleagues erupt at her "betrayal"—
1 Nov, 19:48The Hill Schumer calls Stevens's Rogers endorsement 'a despicable betrayal'—
1 Nov, 19:49NPR Politics Haley Stevens endorses GOP candidate in Michigan Senate race, spurning Abdul El-Sayed—
1 Nov, 19:52The Hill Trump commends Stevens' 'bravery' for endorsing Rogers—
1 Nov, 20:00The Hill RNC says 'Michigan should take notice' of Stevens endorsing Rogers—
1 Nov, 20:01politico.com ‘Extremely disappointed’: Michigan Democrats rage over Haley Stevens' last-minute endorsement of Mike Rogers—
Show 78 later sources
1. 1 Nov, 20:48Roll Call Democrat Haley Stevens endorses GOP Senate nominee in Michigan—
2. 1 Nov, 21:00News - South China Morning Post Democratic divisions shake up pivotal Michigan Senate race as congresswoman breaks ranks—
3. 1 Nov, 21:00Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Why did Democrat Haley Stevens just endorse a Republican for US Senate?—
4. 1 Nov, 21:29Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Democrat Haley Stevens heckled as she backs El-Sayed rival—
5. 1 Nov, 22:37The Hill Trump says he would ‘love to have’ Haley Stevens join Republican Party—
6. 1 Nov, 22:45Bloomberg.com Stevens Backs Rogers in MI, Alaska Ballot Suit Tossed, More—
7. 1 Nov, 23:45Bloomberg.com Stevens Backs GOP's Rogers, Alaska Election Suit Dismissed, More—
8. 2 Nov, 00:38politico.com Rogers touts Stevens endorsement in new ad—
9. 2 Nov, 01:24The Hill News Newsom on Stevens: Obviously it’s ‘sub-optimal’—
10. 2 Nov, 01:25Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump invites Michigan Democrat Stevens to join the Republican Party—
11. 2 Nov, 01:44Bloomberg.com Stevens Endorses Rogers, Alaska Election Suit Tossed, More—
12. 2 Nov, 01:54The Hill News Democrats blast Stevens over Michigan ‘betrayal’—
13. 2 Nov, 01:55CBS News Politics Madness in Michigan after Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens endorses GOP candidate Mike Rogers—
14. 2 Nov, 02:41Axios Haley Stevens faces push for removal from House Dem caucus—
15. 2 Nov, 02:41Bloomberg.com Stevens Throws Support to Rogers, Alaska Election Suit Dismissed—
16. 2 Nov, 03:53The Hill News Stevens defends endorsing Rogers during tense CNN interview—
17. 2 Nov, 04:07The Hill News Dingell says Stevens defending Rogers endorsement on CNN was ‘one of the most painful interviews I’ve ever watched’—
18. 2 Nov, 04:07Just In News Dingell says Stevens defending Rogers endorsement was 'painful'—
19. 2 Nov, 04:23Bloomberg.com Stevens Endorses Rogers, Judge Tosses DOJ Alaska Lawsuit, More—
20. 2 Nov, 05:31Variety Haley Stevens’ Unsettling CNN Interview Proves Why She’s Unfit for Public Office—
21. 2 Nov, 07:55France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines Michigan Democrat's endorsement of Republican ruffles critical Senate race—
22. 2 Nov, 08:20France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines Michigan Democrat stuns party to back Republican candidate in critical Senate race—
23. 2 Nov, 09:50rss.politico.com Stevens mess tests Jeffries, Schumer—
24. 2 Nov, 11:00The Guardian ‘A despicable betrayal’: Democrats incensed by Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Mike Rogers—
25. 2 Nov, 11:18The Guardian Democrats condemn Haley Stevens’ ‘betrayal’ following endorsement of Republican Mike Rogers – US politics live—
26. 2 Nov, 11:18Bloomberg Markets Bloomberg News Now—
27. 2 Nov, 11:23Fox News Politics Michigan Dem claims Stevens shot down Rogers endorsement rumor hours before turning on El-Sayed—
28. 2 Nov, 11:34The Dispatch A Democratic Governor Majority?—
29. 2 Nov, 11:52France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines US Midterms: Michigan Democrat Haley Stevens defects from party—
30. 2 Nov, 12:06Just In News Stevens shocks Democrats with last-minute Rogers endorsement—
31. 2 Nov, 12:19NPR World Haley Stevens backs Mike Rogers. And, Gulf states brace for potential attack on Iran—
32. 2 Nov, 12:31The Guardian First Thing: Stevens defects to back El-Sayed’s Michigan opponent as Trump delivers anti-Muslim tirade—
33. 2 Nov, 13:54France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines Sour grapes? Dems shocked as Haley Stevens breaks ranks—
34. 2 Nov, 14:07Fox News Politics Haley Stevens' endorsement stunt backfires with El-Sayed setting single-day fundraising record—
35. 2 Nov, 14:07Fox News Politics El-Sayed scores single-day fundraising record after Haley Stevens endorses rival—
36. 2 Nov, 15:15Fox News Politics Mamdani, Hasan Piker among radical left-wing voices erupting over Haley Stevens' endorsement switch—
37. 2 Nov, 15:50The Hill Carville rips Stevens over Rogers endorsement: 'Your political career is over'—
38. 2 Nov, 15:50The Hill What happens in the lame-duck? Will a November surprise sink Democrats in Michigan?—
39. 2 Nov, 16:20Rolling Stone What the Hell Is Going on With the Michigan Senate Race?—
40. 2 Nov, 16:47The Hill News Jeffries: Democrats will discuss ‘next steps’ on Stevens when Congress returns—
41. 2 Nov, 17:31Fox News Politics House Dems demand Haley Stevens' exile as Jeffries reveals deadline on deciding her fate—
42. 2 Nov, 17:41The Hill News Stevens ‘flushed herself down the toilet’: Van Jones—
43. 2 Nov, 18:27Just In News Haley Stevens endorses Mike Rogers, ditches far-left Abdul El-Sayed—
44. 2 Nov, 18:29Fox News Politics Mike Rogers dishes on how shock Haley Stevens endorsement unfolded hours before Election Day—
45. 2 Nov, 18:34Mother Jones Haley Stevens Turned Michigan’s Senate Race Into a Soap Opera—
46. 2 Nov, 18:42The Hill News ‘Despicable’: Haley Stevens blasted by Dems after endorsing Mike Rogers—
47. 2 Nov, 18:51The Guardian US Why did a Democrat endorse a rival Republican in Michigan? - The Latest—
48. 2 Nov, 19:15The Guardian How Israel is at the heart of Haley Stevens’s extraordinary reversal—
49. 2 Nov, 20:35The Hill Haley Stevens on Mike Rogers: 'Maybe he can be a McCain-type person or a Lisa Murkowski'—
50. 2 Nov, 20:35The Hill Who is Jason Turkish, Haley Stevens' El-Sayed-bashing fiancé—
51. 2 Nov, 21:20News Feed Democrats close ranks after shock Michigan defection—
52. 2 Nov, 22:00CBS News Politics 11/2: The Takeout with Major Garrett—
53. 2 Nov, 22:13National Review Podcasts ‘Twas the Night Before Midterms—
54. 2 Nov, 22:37The Dispatch Why Haley Stevens Endorsed Mike Rogers—
55. 2 Nov, 23:06CBS News Politics Dingell: Stevens' GOP endorsement is "galvanizing" voters behind El-Sayed—
56. 2 Nov, 23:22The Hill The Memo: Michigan Senate chaos may preview Democratic clashes ahead—
57. 3 Nov, 00:06politico.com Michigan Republicans wish Haley Stevens had flipped earlier—
58. 3 Nov, 00:39Fox News Politics JD Vance says Haley Stevens' endorsement of GOP's Mike Rogers will 'certainly' help Michigan Senate race—
59. 3 Nov, 00:43Mother Jones A Democratic Betrayal and GOP Panic: The Wild Finale of the Midterms—
60. 3 Nov, 03:53The Hill News Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed17%
61. 3 Nov, 04:15Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera El-Sayed, Rogers hold dueling rallies as bitter campaign comes to a close17%
62. 3 Nov, 04:43Variety Jon Stewart Slams Haley Stevens’ Mike Rogers Endorsement Ahead of Election Day17%
63. 3 Nov, 08:22Live Feed Jon Stewart, Jimmy Kimmel, Seth Meyers Take Aim at Trump, Michigan’s Haley Stevens on Eve of Election Day17%
64. 3 Nov, 10:00South China Morning Post Meet Jason Turkish, Haley Stevens’ fiancé embroiled in Senate storm17%
65. 3 Nov, 13:27Fox News Politics 'Big difference': Dem's last-minute endorsement gives GOP new hope in crucial Senate battle17%
66. 3 Nov, 15:04The Hill Haley Stevens: Rogers endorsement ‘absolutely’ worth it despite backlash17%
67. 3 Nov, 15:15France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines US midterms: All eyes on crucial Michigan Senate race17%
68. 3 Nov, 15:34The Hill Election Day prognosis: Will Dems win the House and Senate? What's happening in Florida?17%
69. 3 Nov, 16:29The Hill A lot of people are ‘feeling betrayed’ by Stevens's reversal: Jamie Harrison17%
70. 3 Nov, 16:58The Hill Hillary Clinton: Stevens endorsement of Rogers could end up helping El-Sayed17%
71. 3 Nov, 17:00The Guardian US What made Haley Stevens turn on el-Sayed? | Judith Levine17%
72. 3 Nov, 20:55Axios Haley Stevens requests U.S. marshals' protection after death threats17%
73. 3 Nov, 22:05The Hill Crockett: Stevens did El-Sayed 'a favor' among Black voters17%
74. 4 Nov, 01:12The Hill Democrat Jeremy Moss wins Michigan race to succeed Haley Stevens17%
75. 4 Nov, 10:11Deadline Hannah Einbinder Debuts “Perfect” Haley Stevens Impression After Abdul El-Sayed Takes Michigan19%▲2 points since the previous source
76. 4 Nov, 14:41The A.V. Club Hannah Einbinder has a pretty solid Haley Stevens impression, as it happens1%▼18 points since the previous source
77. 4 Nov, 21:58The Hill Haley Stevens triples down on Rogers endorsement after El-Sayed's victory3%▲2 points since the previous source
78. 5 Nov, 18:36The Hill Stevens pulls out of election analysis event at DC university1%▼2 points since the previous source
NowCurrent odds3%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

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Kalshi Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6% 3% $0 24hends 3 Nov 2027
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Kalshi El-Sayed, 5+ pts 99% $15k 24hends 3 Nov 2027
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Polymarket Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 0% ends 8 Nov 2028
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In this story

Haley Stevens
Mike Rogers
Abdul El-Sayed
George Washington University
Jeremy Moss

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