Yamal vs Mbappe Battle for Ballon d'Or Glory
Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé lead a tight contest for soccer's top individual prize.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 28% |
| 26 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 37% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 30% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 28% |
| 26 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 09:32 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 09:50 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 09:18 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 12:46 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 17:37 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 14:17 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 05:30 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 03:38 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 23:22 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 07:01 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 19 October at 12:29 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Kylian Mbappe — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Kylian Mbappé wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked injury story as relevant, but only the award result matters.
- Kylian Mbappé — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappé finishes in the top three of the official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026. It resolves to No if he does not place in that top three. Readers often mistake the shortlist announcement for the final result, but only the official final ranking counts.
- Kylian Mbappé — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Kylian Mbappé finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. The outcome is No if he does not reach that position. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Yamal for the actual ranking source.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Kylian Mbappe No 11d ago
The market favoured No at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Kylian Mbappé Yes 11d ago
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Kylian Mbappé Yes 12d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?