Week of 5 Oct 2026

Biggest stories

1. Starlink Dispute Highlights Musk's Global Influence and Ukraine's Vulnerability 34 publishers · 5 Oct
2. Trump Cancels Livestream of Fort Hood Shooter's Execution Amid Backlash 31 publishers · 6 Oct
3. Abdul El-Sayed becomes first Muslim elected to US Senate in historic Michigan victory 30 publishers · 5 Oct
4. Katie Zacharia Exits White House Press Secretary Role After Five Days 27 publishers · 9 Oct
5. Trump Forces Out Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle Amid Misconduct Allegations 26 publishers · 8 Oct
6. Apple iPhone Duo Supply Constraints Persist With No Timeline For Relief 25 publishers · 10 Oct
7. Tesla to Wind Down Cybertruck Production Next Year for Robotaxi Focus 25 publishers · 6 Oct
8. US Suspends Microsoft, Adobe From Green Card Sponsorship Over Visa Abuse Claims 25 publishers · 8 Oct

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7? Between 2% and 98%
• Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Between 3% and 98%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? Between 2% and 97%
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Between 2% and 97%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? Between 3% and 98%
• Above $250K Between 3% and 97% · On: Hermès Faces Rare Sell Calls as Goldman, UBS Warn of Slowing Growth
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 8? Between 2% and 96%
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 8? Between 2% and 95%

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itNebraska Favourite a day out: No at 74% · Result: No · 10 Oct 2026On: Nebraska Seeks First Win Over Ranked Opponent in Decade Against No. 7 Indiana
• ✓Called itTexas A&M Favourite a day out: No at 60% · Result: No · 10 Oct 2026On: Elko Stands by Reed as Texas A&M Faces Arkansas
• ✓Called itWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Favourite a day out: No at 95% · Result: No · 9 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? Favourite a day out: Yes at 72% · Result: Yes · 10 Oct 2026On: How to Watch Real Madrid vs. Villarreal on TV and Live Stream
• ✓Called itWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? Favourite a day out: Yes at 91% · Result: Yes · 10 Oct 2026On: Barcelona Host Getafe As Hansi Flick Selects Raphinha Stand-In
• ✓Called itSan Diego Favourite a day out: No at 91% · Result: No · 8 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11? Favourite a day out: Yes at 61% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itCagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5 Favourite a day out: Over at 74% · Result: Over · 11 Oct 2026

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedNew England: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedNew York J: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedNew England: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedNew York J: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedPittsburgh: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedCincinnati: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedHouston: 1+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedJacksonville: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 11 Oct 2026

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