Week of 12 Oct 2026

Biggest stories

1. Anthropic IPO Valuation Drops to $1.2 Trillion Amid Tech Rout 41 publishers · 14 Oct
2. OpenAI Faces Lawsuit from Texas AG and Investigation Over AI Safety Incidents 34 publishers · 12 Oct
3. You Can See Everything Grosses $45.1 Million Domestically as Surprise Box Office Hit 32 publishers · 14 Oct
4. Tesla Unveils Flying Roadster Prototype and Sets Cybercab Launch for Year-End 27 publishers · 14 Oct
5. Cyberattack on French Supermarket Fridges Spoils Food and Hits Profits 23 publishers · 12 Oct
6. DR Congo Ebola Cases Surpass 10,000 as Death Toll Tops 5,000 22 publishers · 13 Oct
7. Trump Calls for Ilhan Omar's Resignation Amid Federal Raid and Immigration Probe 22 publishers · 12 Oct
8. Netflix Cuts 1,000 Jobs Amid Growth Concerns and Competition 20 publishers · 12 Oct

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? Between 2% and 97%
• Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? Between 3% and 97% · On: Katie Zacharia Exits White House Press Secretary Role After Five Days
• Before Oct 20, 2026 Between 3% and 97% · On: Jimmy Kimmel Roasts Trump’s New Press Secretary After Awkward First Day
• $90,000 or above Between 3% and 97%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? Between 3% and 97%
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? Between 4% and 98%
• Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13? Between 4% and 98%
• Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula Between 2% and 96%

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itLos Angeles D Favourite a day out: No at 94% · Result: No · 16 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itBuffalo Favourite a day out: Yes at 68% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026On: Bills Prepare for Monday Night Football Clash Against the Rams
• ✓Called itWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? Favourite a day out: Yes at 65% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itArsenal Favourite a day out: Yes at 60% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026On: Palace beat Forest on Glasner's Selhurst Park return
• ✓Called itBarcelona Favourite a day out: Yes at 78% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026On: Barcelona Faces Potential Title Forfeiture in Negreira Case
• ✓Called itNew York J Favourite a day out: No at 75% · Result: No · 18 Oct 2026On: Jets' Cooper to play vs. Patriots; Hall, Mitchell out
• ✓Called itWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? Favourite a day out: Yes at 75% · Result: Yes · 14 Oct 2026On: Liverpool face LASK in Champions League clash as they seek back-to-back European wins
• ✓Called itWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? Favourite a day out: Yes at 71% · Result: Yes · 17 Oct 2026

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedNew England: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedNew England: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedPittsburgh: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedTennessee: 1+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedCarolina: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedChicago: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedHouston: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAt least 3 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 18 Oct 2026

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