Trump Calls for Ilhan Omar's Resignation Amid Federal Raid and Immigration Probe

President Trump demands Rep. Ilhan Omar resign over alleged immigration fraud, while she cites safety threats after a federal raid on her home.

22 publishers · 118 articles · first seen 12 Oct 2026 · updated 14d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Fox News Politics, 1h 12m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 56 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	19%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC	18%
25 Oct, 21:36 UTC	19%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC	20%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC	21%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC	22%
25 Oct, 18:25 UTC	21%
25 Oct, 17:10 UTC	22%
25 Oct, 15:03 UTC	21%
25 Oct, 14:19 UTC	20%
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24 Oct, 11:19 UTC	19%
24 Oct, 10:51 UTC	19%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC	19%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC	20%
24 Oct, 03:51 UTC	19%
24 Oct, 01:25 UTC	19%
24 Oct, 00:34 UTC	22%
23 Oct, 23:57 UTC	21%
23 Oct, 19:57 UTC	18%
23 Oct, 19:04 UTC	20%
23 Oct, 18:40 UTC	20%
23 Oct, 18:22 UTC	21%
23 Oct, 15:13 UTC	27%
23 Oct, 11:06 UTC	26%
23 Oct, 10:46 UTC	27%
23 Oct, 09:00 UTC	26%
23 Oct, 08:39 UTC	26%
22 Oct, 18:56 UTC	22%
22 Oct, 18:20 UTC	21%
22 Oct, 17:38 UTC	20%
22 Oct, 17:24 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 16:47 UTC	16%
22 Oct, 16:19 UTC	24%
22 Oct, 15:50 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 15:08 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 14:46 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 14:24 UTC	17%
22 Oct, 13:56 UTC	17%
20 Oct, 19:21 UTC	9%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	8%
18 Oct, 14:34 UTC	13%
18 Oct, 12:55 UTC	12%
18 Oct, 11:40 UTC	13%
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18 Oct, 06:30 UTC	12%
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18 Oct, 03:23 UTC	11%
17 Oct, 18:10 UTC	17%
17 Oct, 17:35 UTC	16%
17 Oct, 17:28 UTC	14%
17 Oct, 16:52 UTC	13%
17 Oct, 16:16 UTC	12%
15 Oct, 16:07 UTC	16%
15 Oct, 15:45 UTC	14%
15 Oct, 13:17 UTC	14%
14 Oct, 13:17 UTC	10%

The story so far

22 publishers have covered this in 118 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 12 October at 11:37 UTC; The Guardian US followed 1h 13m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 24 October at 09:16 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Sky News, BBC News and 10 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 19%, with $765 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome triggers if Ilhan Omar is taken into physical custody by law enforcement before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This requires her to be criminally booked, held for court proceedings, or transported to a police station. Readers often mistake the issuance of an arrest warrant or being named in an indictment as sufficient, but these events do not count without actual physical custody.
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? — the market puts it at 31%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if federal authorities formally charge or indict Ilhan Omar by 11:59 PM ET on December 31. It resolves to No if no such action occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake a raid or investigation for an actual criminal charge.
Ilhan Omar — the market puts it at 34%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if federal agents arrest Ilhan Omar before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she avoids arrest by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a home raid for an arrest, but only a formal arrest counts toward resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

12 Oct, 11:37Fox News Politics Immigration enforcement officials search Ilhan Omar's home in pre-dawn raid—
12 Oct, 11:37Fox News Politics Federal agents raid Ilhan Omar’s DC home amid immigration fraud investigation—
12 Oct, 12:50The Guardian US Federal agents search Ilhan Omar’s home as part of fraud investigation – reports—
12 Oct, 12:53The Hill News Federal agents search Omar home in criminal investigation—
12 Oct, 12:53Bloomberg.com Ilhan Omar’s Home Reportedly Searched, Zelenskyy on Energy Truce—
12 Oct, 12:57The Hill Live updates: FBI searches Ilhan Omar's home; Trump faces Russia diesel deal blowback—
12 Oct, 12:59Axios Feds search Rep. Ilhan Omar's home in immigration probe: reports—
12 Oct, 13:43CBS News Politics Ilhan Omar's D.C. home raided by Homeland Security investigators, sources say—
12 Oct, 13:47politico.com DHS agents search Rep. Ilhan Omar's home—
12 Oct, 14:11Sky News Congresswoman insists she will not be 'silenced' after federal agents raid her home—
Show 108 later sources
1. 12 Oct, 14:21BBC News Immigration agents search Congresswoman Ilhan Omar's home—
2. 12 Oct, 14:59Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump critic Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home searched by federal agents—
3. 12 Oct, 15:12Deutsche Welle US federal agents search home of Trump critic Omar—
4. 12 Oct, 15:12Deutsche Welle US federal agents search home of Trump critic Ilhan Omar—
5. 12 Oct, 15:13France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines US federal agents raid home of Democratic congresswoman and Trump critic Ilhan Omar—
6. 12 Oct, 15:32News Feed US agents raid home of Trump critic Ilhan Omar—
7. 12 Oct, 15:51Rolling Stone Trump’s Vendetta Against Ilhan Omar Now Involves Federal Agents Raiding Her Home—
8. 12 Oct, 16:53News - South China Morning Post US federal agents search Democrat Ilhan Omar’s home as part of a criminal investigation—
9. 12 Oct, 17:17NPR Politics Agents search Rep. Omar's D.C. home; DOJ says it's part of criminal investigation—
10. 12 Oct, 17:47Mother Jones Homeland Security Raids Ilhan Omar’s Residence—
11. 12 Oct, 17:57The Guardian Democrats rebuke federal raid of Ilhan Omar’s home: ‘rogue abuse of power’—
12. 12 Oct, 18:18The Hill Democrat rips 'insanely corrupt' raid on Omar's home—
13. 12 Oct, 18:55The Hill Democrats hammer Trump for late-election raid on Omar’s home—
14. 12 Oct, 19:37Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera US Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home searched by immigration agents—
15. 12 Oct, 21:45The Hill Trump calls Omar 'totally crooked' in first remarks on raid—
16. 12 Oct, 22:38The Hill News The Memo: Trump critics allege abuse of power as Ilhan Omar’s home is raided—
17. 12 Oct, 23:53CBS News Politics Ilhan Omar raid concerns immigration paperwork from when she was a child, sources say—
18. 13 Oct, 01:05Latest articles U.S. immigration authorities raid home of Democratic Trump critic Ilhan Omar—
19. 13 Oct, 01:48The Hill Trump repeatedly attacks Minnesota, Omar during Ohio campaign stop—
20. 13 Oct, 01:56The Hill News Mamdani: citizenship ‘should not be weaponized’ against Omar—
21. 13 Oct, 09:57France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines US immigration authorities raid home of Democratic Trump critic Ilhan Omar—
22. 13 Oct, 10:08The Guardian US Trump targets Ilhan Omar at rally following raid on her home – US politics live—
23. 13 Oct, 10:55The Guardian First Thing: Democratic leaders condemn federal raid on Ilhan Omar as she vows not to be silenced—
24. 13 Oct, 11:00The Hill 4 takeaways from the pre-election raid on Omar's home—
25. 13 Oct, 11:08NPR Politics Government spent millions on Trump ads. And, federal agents raid Ilhan Omar's home—
26. 13 Oct, 12:41Fox News Politics Trump rally crowd chants 'deport' as president rips Ilhan Omar after federal raid—
27. 13 Oct, 12:46Fox News Politics Omar raid outrage goes from bad to worse when internet notices her past 6-word claim: 'Couldn't agree more'—
28. 13 Oct, 13:55The Hill Omar fundraising off federal investigation—
29. 13 Oct, 14:35National Review What to Make of the Trump DOJ’s Investigation of Ilhan Omar—
30. 13 Oct, 14:41Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Why has search of Ilhan Omar’s home before US midterms caused controversy?—
31. 13 Oct, 15:02The Hill News Jeffries: Nothing to merit ‘extraordinary raid’ on Omar home—
32. 13 Oct, 16:22National Review Who Is Ilhan Omar?—
33. 13 Oct, 16:24The Guardian US ‘I will not be silenced’: Trump critic Ilhan Omar defiant after home raided - The Latest—
34. 13 Oct, 17:28Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar home raid sparks online firestorm: ‘This is what authoritarians do’—
35. 13 Oct, 19:38Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's wealth scandal takes a turn just one day after raid of her DC home—
36. 13 Oct, 20:04Axios Rep. Ilhan Omar under investigation by Jeanine Pirro's office—
37. 13 Oct, 20:21The Hill Axelrod questions timing of Omar raid weeks before election—
38. 13 Oct, 21:01Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar’s embattled husband appears at scene of the HSI raid in midst of criminal fraud investigation—
39. 13 Oct, 23:25Axios Democrats fear "more October surprises" after "bullshit" raid on Ilhan Omar's home—
40. 13 Oct, 23:28Roll Call Omar home search raises fears about election-season probes—
41. 14 Oct, 00:23The Hill News Legal group files Hatch Act complaint over Omar search—
42. 14 Oct, 00:54Fox News Politics Rep Ilhan Omar's immigration history faces new scrutiny as federal investigators subpoena relatives—
43. 14 Oct, 09:00Fox News Politics Omar raid draws ominous warning from Vance as he blasts progressive rep's 'rage' toward America—
44. 14 Oct, 09:00Fox News Politics Democrats have ‘dirty hands’ over complaints about Omar raid weeks before election, ex-prosecutor says—
45. 14 Oct, 10:00The Guardian US The raid on Ilhan Omar’s house is dangerous political theater | Moira Donegan—
46. 14 Oct, 13:00The Hill Trump's authoritarian raid on Ilhan Omar is an attack on the rule of law—
47. 14 Oct, 13:33The Hill Omar on Vance saying DOJ is investigating her: 'That man is delusional'10%
48. 14 Oct, 14:20Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar’s husband insists he has ‘no concerns’ amid federal immigration investigation10%
49. 14 Oct, 22:07CBS News Politics Ilhan Omar's relatives subpoenaed as part of immigration probe10%
50. 14 Oct, 22:22The Guardian Ilhan Omar’s phone seized and relatives subpoenaed in criminal inquiry, source says10%
51. 14 Oct, 23:18Fox News Politics Federal agents seize phone of Rep. Ilhan Omar in raid tied to immigration fraud probe10%
52. 15 Oct, 03:03Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump administration seeks to strip Ilhan Omar of US citizenship: WSJ10%
53. 15 Oct, 11:29Roll Call Homeland Security investigative unit in spotlight in Omar probe10%
54. 15 Oct, 13:12The Hill Greene labels Trump administration's Omar investigation 'bulls---'10%
55. 15 Oct, 14:27The Hill Omar phone seized, relatives subpoenaed: AP source14%▲5 points since the previous source
56. 15 Oct, 15:49africa.businessinsider.com From a refugee camp in Kenya to US Congress, Ilhan Omar faces citizenship-threatening fraud probe after 31 years in America14%
57. 15 Oct, 16:00africa.businessinsider.com Somali-born US congresswoman and former refugee in Kenya Ilhan Omar faces citizenship-threatening fraud investigation after 31 years in America14%
58. 15 Oct, 16:07Fox News Politics Somalis in Minnesota unleash fury on Trump after feds raid Ilhan Omar's DC home16%▲1 points since the previous source
59. 15 Oct, 16:20Mother Jones Inside the Latest Pursuit of Ilhan Omar16%
60. 15 Oct, 18:10National Review Podcasts Ilhan Omar’s Naturalization Mystery16%
61. 15 Oct, 19:30The Hill Noem ‘confident Ilhan Omar will finally be held accountable’16%
62. 15 Oct, 20:10Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's husband snaps over rumors she fled US after federal immigration fraud raid16%
63. 15 Oct, 21:46The Hill CNN legal analyst: Biden-era inquiry into Omar hurts her case against Trump16%
64. 16 Oct, 14:45Times of India Ilhan Omar's husband breaks silence after FBI raid on home; denies concerns over immigration probe16%
65. 16 Oct, 15:48Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's sister skips book tour event amid week of chaos following raid on progressive's DC home16%
66. 16 Oct, 22:16CBS News Politics DHS Secretary Mullin calls Ilhan Omar probe a "strong case"16%
67. 17 Oct, 01:43Just In News Federal agents searched Omar's trash for DNA before raid: Sources16%
68. 17 Oct, 08:00Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar raid sparks ominous prediction from watchdog: 'They probably got the goods'16%
69. 17 Oct, 11:00Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's turbulent week explained: The dueling probes that threw the Somali-born progressive into chaos16%
70. 17 Oct, 13:00Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar should be jailed, deported if citizenship fraud proven, Top House Republican says16%
71. 17 Oct, 14:21The Guardian Ilhan Omar’s attorneys say federal search of her home was ‘neither justified nor lawful’16%
72. 17 Oct, 15:20Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Ilhan Omar’s lawyers demand the return of property seized in house raid16%
73. 17 Oct, 18:23CBS News Politics Attorneys for Rep. Ilhan Omar accuse DOJ of violating judge's orders17%▲1 points since the previous source
74. 17 Oct, 19:17Deutsche Welle Ilhan Omar: The US Democrat targeted by Donald Trump17%
75. 18 Oct, 14:26The Hill News Homan says investigators have a ‘strong case’ against Omar12%▼5 points since the previous source
76. 18 Oct, 14:38Fox News Politics Obama backs Ilhan Omar amid probe, accuses Trump admin of 'appalling' targeting in lengthy statement13%▲1 points since the previous source
77. 18 Oct, 16:04Axios Trump once questioned Obama's citizenship. Now Obama is speaking out for Ilhan Omar.13%
78. 18 Oct, 16:35Just In News Obama: Omar investigation should ‘outrage all Americans’13%
79. 18 Oct, 17:16The Guardian Trump ‘border czar’ says Ilhan Omar could be ‘of course’ denaturalized and deported13%
80. 19 Oct, 13:34Fox News Politics Obama's lengthy reaction to Omar investigation triggers instant backlash: 'Spare me'13%
81. 19 Oct, 16:16BBC News Obama blasts federal probe of congresswoman Ilhan Omar as 'so appalling'13%
82. 20 Oct, 09:00Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's sister questioned by feds after dramatic DC home raid8%▼5 points since the previous source
83. 20 Oct, 11:22The Hill Inside the monthslong federal investigation of Rep. Ilhan Omar8%
84. 20 Oct, 14:56The Guardian US Trump’s obsession with Ilhan Omar has reached a dangerous new level | Arwa Mahdawi8%
85. 20 Oct, 15:51Fox News Politics Winery owned by Ilhan Omar's husband shuttered due to fraud, James Comer says8%
86. 20 Oct, 15:52The Hill Former Minnesota GOP governor sees 'political layer' to Omar probe8%
87. 20 Oct, 20:08Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar's daughters show up at scene of DC raid as rumors swirl about embattled rep's whereabouts9%▲1 points since the previous source
88. 20 Oct, 20:32Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump: Ilhan Omar could be deported, slams Somalia as a ‘s—house’9%
89. 20 Oct, 21:11Fox News Politics Trump says Ilhan Omar could go to jail or be deported, calls her ‘a disgrace to our country’9%
90. 21 Oct, 08:45politico.com The House GOP’s imminent decision on the Omar raid9%
91. 21 Oct, 15:14Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar finally emerges after DC raid with video pleading for cash to fight Trump9%
92. 22 Oct, 01:38The Hill Omar said she will have to move due to threats following federal raid9%
93. 22 Oct, 01:54The Guardian US Ilhan Omar says US agents seized 17 items in raid designed to ‘freak’ her out9%
94. 22 Oct, 13:36BBC News Ilhan Omar says 'bizarre' pre-dawn raid on her home is forcing her to leave9%
95. 22 Oct, 13:51Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar issues stunning admission when confronted with brother marriage rumors9%
96. 22 Oct, 15:35CBS News Politics Omar says she can't keep living in home federal agents searched18%▲10 points since the previous source
97. 22 Oct, 17:56The Hill Omar says raid was trying to ‘freak her out,' 17 items including phones taken20%▲2 points since the previous source
98. 22 Oct, 18:54Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar is not the Minnesota congresswoman’s 'real name': sources21%▲1 points since the previous source
99. 23 Oct, 02:09Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Ilhan Omar plans to move out of her Washington DC home after federal raid22%▲1 points since the previous source
100. 23 Oct, 03:25Times of India 'Fraud': Trump demands Ilhan Omar’s resignation over ‘fake name’ claim22%
101. 23 Oct, 11:24The Hill News What did federal agents take from Ilhan Omar’s home?26%▲5 points since the previous source
102. 23 Oct, 13:02The Hill News Trump suggests Omar resign ‘immediately’ over ‘fake name’26%
103. 23 Oct, 13:27Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar hit with expulsion threat as GOP lawmaker vows to boot her from Congress over DOJ probe26%
104. 23 Oct, 19:02The Hill GOP lawmaker says he will move to expel Omar20%▼6 points since the previous source
105. 23 Oct, 19:33Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar calls Trump ‘creep’ as president revives ‘fake name,’ marriage allegations20%▼1 points since the previous source
106. 23 Oct, 20:37Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Why is Trump questioning Ilhan Omar’s name?18%▼1 points since the previous source
107. 23 Oct, 20:56Fox News Politics Ilhan Omar doubles down on ‘real name’ when confronted at Mall of Somalia18%
108. 24 Oct, 09:16Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Ilhan Omar votes as Trump renews attacks amid federal probe19%▲1 points since the previous source
NowCurrent odds19%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

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Related prediction markets

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Polymarket Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? 19% −2 $765 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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Polymarket Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? 31% −2 $4k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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Kalshi Ilhan Omar 34% +10 $1k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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In this story

Ilhan Omar
Donald Trump
James Michael Johnson
Randy Fine
Tim Pawlenty

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