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Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?

Resolved: Yes 21d ago

The market favoured No at 91% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$353k
Total volume$488k
Liquidity$50k
Resolved1 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +63 points at 17:29 UTC, after Fox News Politics: Trump casts doubt on new press secretary's future after rocky White House debut — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
0%50%100%100%13 Oct, 16:26 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
16 Oct, 23:30 UTC100%
16 Oct, 22:55 UTC100%
16 Oct, 21:56 UTC100%
16 Oct, 20:48 UTC100%
16 Oct, 20:02 UTC100%
16 Oct, 19:48 UTC100%
16 Oct, 19:13 UTC100%
16 Oct, 18:52 UTC99%
16 Oct, 18:24 UTC99%
16 Oct, 17:55 UTC96%
16 Oct, 17:29 UTC76%
16 Oct, 16:53 UTC14%
16 Oct, 16:13 UTC12%
16 Oct, 15:59 UTC13%
16 Oct, 15:24 UTC12%
16 Oct, 14:59 UTC11%
16 Oct, 14:23 UTC11%
16 Oct, 13:38 UTC10%
16 Oct, 12:49 UTC10%
16 Oct, 12:12 UTC10%
16 Oct, 11:44 UTC10%
16 Oct, 10:21 UTC11%
16 Oct, 09:54 UTC10%
16 Oct, 09:26 UTC10%
16 Oct, 08:59 UTC10%
16 Oct, 08:20 UTC10%
16 Oct, 07:53 UTC11%
16 Oct, 07:16 UTC11%
16 Oct, 06:43 UTC11%
16 Oct, 06:29 UTC11%
16 Oct, 05:55 UTC10%
16 Oct, 05:21 UTC10%
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16 Oct, 04:15 UTC10%
16 Oct, 03:43 UTC10%
16 Oct, 03:22 UTC10%
16 Oct, 02:48 UTC8%
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16 Oct, 01:42 UTC9%
16 Oct, 00:41 UTC9%
16 Oct, 00:02 UTC9%
15 Oct, 23:28 UTC9%
15 Oct, 22:56 UTC9%
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15 Oct, 21:27 UTC9%
15 Oct, 20:59 UTC10%
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15 Oct, 19:56 UTC11%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC10%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC10%
15 Oct, 18:27 UTC10%
15 Oct, 17:53 UTC9%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC9%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC8%
15 Oct, 16:22 UTC8%
15 Oct, 15:52 UTC8%
15 Oct, 15:19 UTC8%
15 Oct, 14:57 UTC8%
15 Oct, 14:27 UTC7%
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15 Oct, 12:44 UTC7%
15 Oct, 11:53 UTC8%
15 Oct, 11:27 UTC8%
15 Oct, 10:45 UTC8%
15 Oct, 10:13 UTC8%
15 Oct, 09:58 UTC8%
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15 Oct, 08:49 UTC8%
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15 Oct, 07:55 UTC7%
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15 Oct, 06:46 UTC8%
15 Oct, 06:21 UTC8%
15 Oct, 05:48 UTC8%
15 Oct, 05:16 UTC7%
15 Oct, 04:22 UTC7%
15 Oct, 03:36 UTC8%
15 Oct, 03:25 UTC8%
15 Oct, 02:43 UTC7%
15 Oct, 02:29 UTC7%
15 Oct, 01:25 UTC8%
15 Oct, 00:58 UTC8%
15 Oct, 00:02 UTC7%
14 Oct, 23:55 UTC7%
14 Oct, 23:28 UTC7%
14 Oct, 22:45 UTC7%
14 Oct, 22:24 UTC7%
14 Oct, 21:27 UTC7%
14 Oct, 20:59 UTC7%
14 Oct, 20:18 UTC8%
14 Oct, 19:57 UTC8%
14 Oct, 19:29 UTC7%
14 Oct, 18:55 UTC7%
14 Oct, 18:20 UTC7%
14 Oct, 17:39 UTC7%
14 Oct, 17:10 UTC7%
14 Oct, 16:49 UTC7%
14 Oct, 16:23 UTC7%
14 Oct, 15:46 UTC7%
14 Oct, 15:13 UTC8%
14 Oct, 14:23 UTC9%
14 Oct, 13:55 UTC8%
14 Oct, 13:26 UTC9%
14 Oct, 12:40 UTC9%
14 Oct, 12:26 UTC8%
14 Oct, 11:52 UTC9%
14 Oct, 11:24 UTC9%
14 Oct, 10:57 UTC9%
14 Oct, 10:12 UTC10%
14 Oct, 09:51 UTC8%
14 Oct, 09:23 UTC7%
14 Oct, 08:57 UTC6%
14 Oct, 08:16 UTC8%
14 Oct, 07:43 UTC10%
14 Oct, 07:23 UTC11%
14 Oct, 06:56 UTC11%
14 Oct, 06:29 UTC10%
14 Oct, 05:56 UTC11%
14 Oct, 05:08 UTC11%
14 Oct, 04:54 UTC10%
14 Oct, 04:27 UTC8%
14 Oct, 03:48 UTC8%
14 Oct, 02:49 UTC10%
14 Oct, 02:29 UTC8%
14 Oct, 01:55 UTC9%
14 Oct, 01:21 UTC9%
14 Oct, 00:54 UTC9%
14 Oct, 00:07 UTC10%
13 Oct, 22:52 UTC9%
13 Oct, 22:25 UTC9%
13 Oct, 21:44 UTC8%
13 Oct, 21:24 UTC8%
13 Oct, 20:56 UTC8%
13 Oct, 20:28 UTC7%
13 Oct, 19:58 UTC6%
13 Oct, 19:18 UTC7%
13 Oct, 18:57 UTC6%
13 Oct, 18:29 UTC6%
13 Oct, 17:21 UTC4%
13 Oct, 16:47 UTC4%
13 Oct, 16:26 UTC4%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Katie Zacharia stops being Press Secretary, resigns, or has her appointment withdrawn by October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if she remains in the role for the entire period without any such change. Readers often mistake the deadline, forgetting that the cutoff is strictly 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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