Tesla Unveils Flying Roadster Prototype and Sets Cybercab Launch for Year-End
The company showcased a prototype with air thrusters at a SpaceX facility while announcing it will begin selling the autonomous Cybercab by year-end despite regulatory scrutiny.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by WIRED, 1h 45m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 11% |
| 15 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 03:39 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 15:35 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 6% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2027 respond.
The story so far
27 publishers have covered this in 71 articles since 14 Oct 2026. WIRED published first, on 14 October at 09:15 UTC; The Verge followed 1h 45m later. The most recent article, from Inc., appeared on 23 October at 13:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Science Latest (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), Quartz, Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews and 15 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 1%, with $62 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Tesla Semi truck for the relevant vehicle, but only the Roadster counts.
- At least $250,000 — the market puts it at 75%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces a starting price of at least $250,000 for the second-generation Roadster. The resolution depends solely on the first official price stated by Tesla. Readers often mistake the actual delivery date or third-party estimates for the decisive factor.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 4%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk ceases to be Tesla's CEO before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in that role through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the release date of the linked documentary for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- WIREDTesla’s Roadster 2 Is Late—and Entering a Different EV World6%
- The VergeThe Tesla Roadster could have stayed vaporware6%
- The New York TimesTesla Debuts 2026 Roadster, an EV Sports Car at Least $200,0005%▼1 points since the previous source
- QuartzTesla will unveil its Roadster 2 on Thursday night after years of delays5%
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsTesla Roadster reveal live: Updates from the launch of the next-gen sportscar11%▲6 points since the previous source
- MarketWatchTesla may finally debut a flying car today, after testing fans’ patience for nearly a decade11%
- All Content from Business InsiderPeople who paid $50K to reserve a Roadster would have made bank investing that into Tesla stock instead13%▲2 points since the previous source
- QuartzTesla will livestream its delayed Roadster event Thursday after years of postponements13%
- All Content from Business InsiderElon Musk just unveiled a Tesla Roadster that flies — take a look12%▼1 points since the previous source
- TechCrunchTesla reveals SpaceX-powered Roadster that flies and falls with style12%
Show 61 later sources
- WIREDThe Tesla Roadster 2 Is Here—and It Flies12%
- The VergeThe Tesla Roadster flew, drove upside down, and hit 60mph in under a second12%
- RSS 2.0Tesla's redesigned Roadster has a cold-gas thruster option, but you'll need $250,000 just to reserve it12%
- theinformation.comTesla Unveils its Next Generation Roadster in Acrobatic Demo2%▼10 points since the previous source
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsRelive Tesla's ridiculous(ly fun) Roadster stunt show2%
- Bloomberg MarketsTesla Showcases Long-Awaited Roadster With Aerial Tricks2%
- News FeedTesla unveils ‘flying’ sports car with SpaceX rocket thrusters2%
- WIREDA Tesla Flying Car? I Don’t Know, Man2%
- All Content from Business InsiderTesla's flying Roadster is a weapon in the talent wars2%
- Hacker NewsTesla makes cars that fly? [video]2%
- Times of IndiaWatch: Musk's Tesla unveils Roadster with flying-car-like features2%
- All Content from Business InsiderTesla's flying car is here, and so are the memes2%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTesla unveils car that can drive upside down and jump through the air2%
- All Content from Business InsiderThe world reacts to Elon Musk’s flying car2%
- Times of IndiaTesla's 'flying car' Roadster stuns in demo: How high can it fly & what will it cost?2%
- Times of IndiaAs Elon Musk shows 'flying Tesla', Meta AI head asks: Who is driving the tesla2%
- Hacker NewsTesla's new Roadster makes a flying debut, hitting 60 MPH in under a second2%
- CoinDeskTokenized Tesla surges as Elon Musk unveils SpaceX-powered flying Roadster prototype2%
- QuartzTesla’s Roadster jumped five cars at its unveiling, with no one inside2%
- The Guardian BusinessElon Musk reveals ‘world’s first flying car’ at Tesla event3%▲2 points since the previous source
- All Content from Business InsiderTesla's new flying Roadster did exactly what Elon Musk said it would in a post 8 years ago3%
- Bloomberg MarketsTesla Showcases Roadster, China Moves to Prop Up Stocks3%
- Inc.With the Flying Roadster, Tesla Just Did the Most Elon Musk Thing Yet3%
- All Content from Business Insider3 fine-print disclaimers from Musk and Tesla about the new flying Roadster you should probably know about3%
- BBC NewsWatch: Did Tesla really just unveil a flying car?3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyTesla Unveils Roadster With a Nod to SpaceX Merger3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyTesla Reveals Flying Roadster Built With SpaceX Tech3%
- Ars TechnicaTesla turns to 50-year-old stunt technology as it tries to Roadster again3%
- Hacker NewsTesla Unveils 'Flying' Roadster with SpaceX Thrusters [video]3%
- The VergeThe incredible flying Tesla Roadster is just for show3%
- Inc.With the New Tesla Roadster, Elon Musk Just Pulled off a Magic Trick3%
- Inc.Elon Musk Made a Tesla Roadster Fly. Here’s How to Engineer Your Own Million-View Moment3%
- All Content from Business InsiderTesla's vision for the future: Manually driving your own car will be a luxury for the rich2%▼1 points since the previous source
- cnet.comTesla Roadster Fires Up SpaceX Tech for ‘Flying Car’ Demo2%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesElon Musk unveils Tesla's 'flying' car2%
- WIREDHere’s Exactly How Tesla Made Its New 230-Mph Car ‘Fly’2%
- MarketWatchElon Musk may have just taken a major step toward consolidating his empire2%
- Bloomberg.comBloomberg Intelligence: Tesla Launches Roadster (Podcast)2%
- Rolling StoneIf You Take Elon Musk at His Word, Tesla Just Debuted a ‘Flying Car’2%
- South China Morning PostElon Musk unveils Tesla’s ‘flying’ car3%▲1 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg TechnologyChip Rout Intensifies and Tesla Showcases Flying Roadster3%
- decrypt.coTesla Roadster Rocket Is the Cool 'Flying' Car You Can’t Have3%
- EngadgetA 'flying' Tesla Roadster sounds impossible, until you see what Lockheed Martin built decades ago2%▼1 points since the previous source
- EngadgetThe Tesla Roadster should go into production in 2028, but don't get your hopes up2%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera11-year old flying car company mocks Tesla Roadster1%▼1 points since the previous source
- All Content from Business InsiderHere's how Tesla's new Roadster is a completely different car from the 2017 version1%
- FortuneTesla is taking $250,000 deposits for a Roadster with SpaceX thrusters. The FAA says it isn’t an aircraft2%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoMarco Robles: "El Roadster es más para mostrar que Tesla tiene la tecnología, no para la utilidad"2%
- Mother JonesWhen Teslas Fly2%
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsThe Tesla Roadster is far from the first car to use fans for downforce2%
- Hacker NewsTesla 'Cannot Guarantee' Roadster Reservation Holders Will Ever Get a Car1%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoElon Musk presenta su nuevo Tesla Roadster, un auto "volador"1%
- Science LatestThe Physics Behind Tesla’s Flying Roadster2%▲1 points since the previous source
- South China Morning PostTesla’s ‘flying car’ draws public concern in China – and an official response2%
- QuartzFerrari CEO rated Tesla's Roadster launch 10 out of 10 on technology and presentation2%
- QuartzFerrari-CEO bewertete den Start des Tesla Roadsters in Bezug auf Technologie und Präsentation mit 10 von 10.2%
- The VergeFlying Roadsters can’t lift Tesla’s flat Q3 revenues2%
- All Content from Business InsiderTesla posted a highlight reel of its robotaxi avoiding collisions with rivals Waymo and Avride2%
- TechCrunchTesla says it will start selling Cybercabs by end of year2%
- South China Morning PostChinese public urged to stay confident in domestic innovation after Tesla flying-car debut2%
- Inc.A Startup Spent 11 Years Building Flying Cars. Now Tesla Is Paying Attention1%▼1 points since the previous source
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Tesla says it will start selling Cybercabs by end of year TechCrunch ·
- Flying Roadsters can’t lift Tesla’s flat Q3 revenues The Verge ·
- The Physics Behind Tesla’s Flying Roadster Science Latest ·
- 11-year old flying car company mocks Tesla Roadster Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Chip Rout Intensifies and Tesla Showcases Flying Roadster Bloomberg Technology ·
- Bloomberg Intelligence: Tesla Launches Roadster (Podcast) Bloomberg.com ·
Show 65 more sources
- Here’s Exactly How Tesla Made Its New 230-Mph Car ‘Fly’ WIRED ·
- The incredible flying Tesla Roadster is just for show The Verge ·
- Tesla turns to 50-year-old stunt technology as it tries to Roadster again Ars Technica ·
- Tesla Reveals Flying Roadster Built With SpaceX Tech Bloomberg Technology ·
- Tesla Unveils Roadster With a Nod to SpaceX Merger Bloomberg Technology ·
- Tesla Showcases Roadster, China Moves to Prop Up Stocks Bloomberg Markets ·
- Elon Musk reveals ‘world’s first flying car’ at Tesla event The Guardian Business ·
- Tokenized Tesla surges as Elon Musk unveils SpaceX-powered flying Roadster prototype CoinDesk ·
- Tesla unveils car that can drive upside down and jump through the air Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- A Tesla Flying Car? I Don’t Know, Man WIRED ·
- Tesla unveils ‘flying’ sports car with SpaceX rocket thrusters News Feed ·
- Tesla Showcases Long-Awaited Roadster With Aerial Tricks Bloomberg Markets ·
- The Tesla Roadster flew, drove upside down, and hit 60mph in under a second The Verge ·
- The Tesla Roadster 2 Is Here—and It Flies WIRED ·
- Tesla reveals SpaceX-powered Roadster that flies and falls with style TechCrunch ·
- Tesla Debuts 2026 Roadster, an EV Sports Car at Least $200,000 The New York Times ·
- The Tesla Roadster could have stayed vaporware The Verge ·
- Tesla’s Roadster 2 Is Late—and Entering a Different EV World WIRED ·
- A Startup Spent 11 Years Building Flying Cars. Now Tesla Is Paying Attention Inc.
- Chinese public urged to stay confident in domestic innovation after Tesla flying-car debut South China Morning Post
- Tesla posted a highlight reel of its robotaxi avoiding collisions with rivals Waymo and Avride All Content from Business Insider
- Ferrari-CEO bewertete den Start des Tesla Roadsters in Bezug auf Technologie und Präsentation mit 10 von 10. Quartz
- Ferrari CEO rated Tesla's Roadster launch 10 out of 10 on technology and presentation Quartz
- Tesla’s ‘flying car’ draws public concern in China – and an official response South China Morning Post
- Elon Musk presenta su nuevo Tesla Roadster, un auto "volador" France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- The Tesla Roadster is far from the first car to use fans for downforce Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- When Teslas Fly Mother Jones
- Marco Robles: "El Roadster es más para mostrar que Tesla tiene la tecnología, no para la utilidad" France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- Tesla is taking $250,000 deposits for a Roadster with SpaceX thrusters. The FAA says it isn’t an aircraft Fortune
- Here's how Tesla's new Roadster is a completely different car from the 2017 version All Content from Business Insider
- The Tesla Roadster should go into production in 2028, but don't get your hopes up Engadget
- A 'flying' Tesla Roadster sounds impossible, until you see what Lockheed Martin built decades ago Engadget
- Tesla Roadster Rocket Is the Cool 'Flying' Car You Can’t Have decrypt.co
- Elon Musk unveils Tesla’s ‘flying’ car South China Morning Post
- If You Take Elon Musk at His Word, Tesla Just Debuted a ‘Flying Car’ Rolling Stone
- Elon Musk may have just taken a major step toward consolidating his empire MarketWatch
- Elon Musk unveils Tesla's 'flying' car Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Tesla Roadster Fires Up SpaceX Tech for ‘Flying Car’ Demo cnet.com
- Tesla's vision for the future: Manually driving your own car will be a luxury for the rich All Content from Business Insider
- Elon Musk Made a Tesla Roadster Fly. Here’s How to Engineer Your Own Million-View Moment Inc.
- With the New Tesla Roadster, Elon Musk Just Pulled off a Magic Trick Inc.
- Watch: Did Tesla really just unveil a flying car? BBC News
- 3 fine-print disclaimers from Musk and Tesla about the new flying Roadster you should probably know about All Content from Business Insider
- With the Flying Roadster, Tesla Just Did the Most Elon Musk Thing Yet Inc.
- Tesla's new flying Roadster did exactly what Elon Musk said it would in a post 8 years ago All Content from Business Insider
- Tesla’s Roadster jumped five cars at its unveiling, with no one inside Quartz
- As Elon Musk shows 'flying Tesla', Meta AI head asks: Who is driving the tesla Times of India
- Tesla's 'flying car' Roadster stuns in demo: How high can it fly & what will it cost? Times of India
- The world reacts to Elon Musk’s flying car All Content from Business Insider
- Tesla's flying car is here, and so are the memes All Content from Business Insider
- Watch: Musk's Tesla unveils Roadster with flying-car-like features Times of India
- Tesla's flying Roadster is a weapon in the talent wars All Content from Business Insider
- Relive Tesla's ridiculous(ly fun) Roadster stunt show Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- Tesla Unveils its Next Generation Roadster in Acrobatic Demo theinformation.com
- Tesla's redesigned Roadster has a cold-gas thruster option, but you'll need $250,000 just to reserve it RSS 2.0
- Elon Musk just unveiled a Tesla Roadster that flies — take a look All Content from Business Insider
- Tesla will livestream its delayed Roadster event Thursday after years of postponements Quartz
- People who paid $50K to reserve a Roadster would have made bank investing that into Tesla stock instead All Content from Business Insider
- Tesla may finally debut a flying car today, after testing fans’ patience for nearly a decade MarketWatch
- Tesla Roadster reveal live: Updates from the launch of the next-gen sportscar Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- Tesla will unveil its Roadster 2 on Thursday night after years of delays Quartz
- Tesla 'Cannot Guarantee' Roadster Reservation Holders Will Ever Get a Car Hacker News
- Tesla Unveils 'Flying' Roadster with SpaceX Thrusters [video] Hacker News
- Tesla's new Roadster makes a flying debut, hitting 60 MPH in under a second Hacker News
- Tesla makes cars that fly? [video] Hacker News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2027 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least $250,000 75%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 4% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls