DR Congo Ebola Cases Surpass 10,000 as Death Toll Tops 5,000

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republic of the Congo at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 13 Oct, 19:39Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraDR Congo Ebola cases pass 9,000 as efforts to curb transmission falter20%
2. 14 Oct, 08:27WHO | Regional Office for AfricaEBOLA BUNDIBUGYO VIRUS DISEASE OUTBREAK Democratic Republic of the Congo Weekly External Situation Report 15, Data as of 23 August 202619%▼1 points since the previous source
3. 14 Oct, 14:17MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansCongo's Confirmed Ebola Cases Exceed 9,000 as Containment Efforts Falter19%
4. 14 Oct, 16:20ABC NewsKenya confirms second Ebola case, a relative of first patient19%
5. 14 Oct, 16:23BBC NewsKenya confirms second Ebola case as relative of country's first victim19%
6. 14 Oct, 17:03Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya’s health ministry confirms second Ebola case19%
7. 14 Oct, 20:32Breaking news from AFRICA, Maghreb and Sub-Saharan AfricaKenya reports second Ebola case19%
8. 15 Oct, 02:45Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya’s Ebola cases test preparedness beyond Nairobi19%
9. 15 Oct, 10:39France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesKenya reports second Ebola case, family member of first patient19%
10. 15 Oct, 11:55STATKenya reports second Ebola case19%
11. Show 90 later sources

    1. 15 Oct, 17:38The New York TimesSecond Ebola Infection Announced in Kenya19%
    2. 16 Oct, 10:41Deutsche WelleHow prepared is Kenya for an Ebola outbreak?18%▼1 points since the previous source
    3. 16 Oct, 18:34ABC NewsKenya confirms third Ebola case, a relative of the first patient who died18%
    4. 16 Oct, 18:57Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya records third Ebola case, linked to first patient who died18%
    5. 16 Oct, 20:25Breaking news from AFRICA, Maghreb and Sub-Saharan AfricaKENYA CONFIRMS THIRD EBOLA CASE18%
    6. 17 Oct, 10:56France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesKenya reports third Ebola case, contact tracing continues18%
    7. 17 Oct, 16:48Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya confirms four more Ebola cases, bringing total to seven15%▼3 points since the previous source
    8. 17 Oct, 19:41The New York TimesKenya Confirms Four New Ebola Cases15%
    9. 18 Oct, 18:36South China Morning PostDR Congo’s fast-moving Ebola outbreak spreads to eighth province25%▲10 points since the previous source
    10. 18 Oct, 22:04Deutsche WelleEbola: Kenya cases rise to 8, spreads to 8th Congo province27%▲2 points since the previous source
    11. 18 Oct, 22:48ABC NewsCongo’s fast-moving Ebola outbreak spreads to eighth province25%▼2 points since the previous source
    12. 19 Oct, 01:07Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya confirms eighth Ebola case amid widening regional outbreak25%
    13. 19 Oct, 01:47Times of IndiaKenya reports 8th Ebola case as Congo outbreak expands across borders25%
    14. 19 Oct, 03:38ABC NewsKenya’s Ebola cases hit 8, with no community transmission yet25%
    15. 19 Oct, 12:00The GuardianThird Ebola case in Kenya highlights US failures amid Trump cuts to key services25%
    16. 19 Oct, 22:38NPR HealthThe Ebola crisis is far outpacing the response, Congo's IRC director says25%
    17. 20 Oct, 04:45Latest News from Science MagazineAs Ebola epidemic rages, Congo bets on high-stakes ‘hope’ vaccine trial25%
    18. 20 Oct, 06:32WHO | Regional Office for AfricaEbola posters for Kenya in English and Kiswahili25%
    19. 20 Oct, 17:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya confirms ninth Ebola case amid concerns about regional spread23%▼2 points since the previous source
    20. 20 Oct, 18:16ABC NewsNigeria confirms Ebola case in Abuja as woman who arrived from Uganda tests positive23%
    21. 20 Oct, 19:08Deutsche WelleNigeria records its first Ebola case, in capital Abuja23%
    22. 20 Oct, 20:19NPR HealthNigeria confirms an Ebola case in Abuja as a woman arriving from Uganda tests positive23%
    23. 20 Oct, 21:02The New York TimesNigeria Announces First Case of Ebola in Current Outbreak23%
    24. 20 Oct, 21:28Breaking news from AFRICA, Maghreb and Sub-Saharan AfricaNigeria confirms first Ebola case23%
    25. 20 Oct, 23:18France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNigeria records first Ebola case as outbreak spreads across Africa23%
    26. 20 Oct, 23:41BBC NewsIs Ebola under control in Kenya after nine cases confirmed?23%
    27. 21 Oct, 00:14The GuardianNigeria confirms Ebola case as outbreak spreads into western Africa23%
    28. 21 Oct, 00:39Sky NewsNigeria confirms Ebola case as outbreak continues to spread23%
    29. 21 Oct, 06:44businessinsider.comAnother African country confirms Ebola case, becoming fifth affected by regional outbreak23%
    30. 21 Oct, 10:23News FeedWHO issues alert as Ebola spreads to west Africa23%
    31. 21 Oct, 11:54STATNigeria identifies travel-related Ebola case23%
    32. 21 Oct, 12:39BBC NewsNigeria confirms Ebola case linked to East Africa23%
    33. 21 Oct, 13:28France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNigeria records its first Ebola case amid rapid regional spread23%
    34. 21 Oct, 13:29MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansOutbreak Hospitalizes 5 Across 12 States; Ob/Gyns Under Pressure; Ebola in Nigeria23%
    35. 21 Oct, 13:33WHO | Regional Office for AfricaEBOLA BUNDIBUGYO VIRUS DISEASE OUTBREAK Democratic Republic of the Congo | Uganda Weekly External Situation Report 23, Data as of 19 October 202623%
    36. 21 Oct, 14:06WHO | Regional Office for AfricaWeekly Bulletin on Outbreak and other Emergencies: Week 41: 05 to 11 October 202623%
    37. 21 Oct, 14:34WHO | Regional Office for AfricaRespiratory virus surveillance in the WHO African Region Epidemiological Week 41 October 5 to 11 202623%
    38. 21 Oct, 19:29BBC NewsNigeria's first Ebola patient holidayed in Uganda, officials say23%
    39. 21 Oct, 20:42France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoNigeria confirma el primer caso de ébola en el país23%
    40. 21 Oct, 23:20Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraNigeria’s first Ebola case matches DR Congo strain, health officials say23%
    41. 22 Oct, 04:42ABC NewsAfrica CDC calls an Ebola crisis summit as Nigeria records its first case23%
    42. 22 Oct, 08:16Deutsche WelleAfrica CDC calls crisis meeting as Ebola spreads23%
    43. 22 Oct, 16:09The New York TimesEbola Outbreak in Africa Reaches Widest Expansion Ever23%
    44. 22 Oct, 19:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWHO warns ‘more complex’ Ebola outbreak now present in 3 African countries23%
    45. 22 Oct, 21:47The HillCDC pushes Ebola requirements for international passengers traveling to US23%
    46. 23 Oct, 04:01The New York TimesHow Pastors Mobilize Communities in Congo’s Fight Against Ebola20%▼3 points since the previous source
    47. 23 Oct, 04:37Latest articlesAfrica faces ‘complex’ Ebola outbreak after spread to Nigeria, WHO warns20%
    48. 23 Oct, 04:46businessinsider.comUS introduces new Ebola travel declaration as Africa’s most populous nation confirms case for first time in over a decade20%
    49. 23 Oct, 04:54BBC NewsNigeria and Kenya Ebola patients may have crossed paths at Uganda airport, officials say20%
    50. 23 Oct, 06:49News - South China Morning PostWHO warns Africa faces ‘complex’ Ebola outbreak as virus reaches Nigeria20%
    51. 23 Oct, 08:28France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAfrica faces 'complex' Ebola outbreak after spread to Nigeria: WHO20%
    52. 23 Oct, 12:11Deutsche WelleUganda says it has no active Ebola cases, but infections in Kenya and Nigeria are prompting fresh scrutiny20%
    53. 23 Oct, 12:36africa.businessinsider.comSwitzerland confirms Nigeria’s latest Ebola patient is a Swiss diplomat’s wife who returned from her native Uganda, denies DR Congo visit20%
    54. 23 Oct, 12:41NPR WorldAuthorities investigating whether first Kenyan and Nigerian Ebola cases crossed paths20%
    55. 23 Oct, 13:37MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians4,687 Dead in Outbreak; Marshall Faulk Has Parkinson's; $2 Billion Healthcare Scheme20%
    56. 23 Oct, 13:43The GuardianEbola patient in Nigeria did not visit DR Congo, escalating concern over spread of virus20%
    57. 23 Oct, 21:09Deutsche WelleEbola: Kenya announces second death20%
    58. 23 Oct, 21:19News - South China Morning PostKenya reports second Ebola death, a close relative of first patient20%
    59. 23 Oct, 22:33Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKenya announces second Ebola death, says ‘no evidence’ of community spread20%
    60. 24 Oct, 00:05BBC NewsWoman, 65, becomes second patient to die of Ebola in Kenya20%
    61. 24 Oct, 00:27Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWHO announces start of Ebola vaccine clinical trial in DR Congo20%
    62. 24 Oct, 04:41Bloomberg MarketsKenya Records Second Ebola Death, a Close Relative of First Case20%
    63. 25 Oct, 10:28South China Morning PostCongo begins Ebola vaccine trial despite embedded outbreak24%▲4 points since the previous source
    64. 25 Oct, 18:20Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUganda orders 21-day Ebola quarantine for citizens returning from DR Congo24%
    65. 26 Oct, 04:21Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAttackers kill nurse, injure health worker responding to DRC Ebola case24%
    66. 26 Oct, 10:41WHO | Regional Office for AfricaTravel route of Kenya’s first Ebola case21%▼3 points since the previous source
    67. 27 Oct, 02:56Sky NewsEbola cases in DRC surpass 10,000 as nurse treating patients is killed by machete-wielding mob19%▼2 points since the previous source
    68. 27 Oct, 11:15Deutsche WelleDR Congo reports over 10,000 Ebola cases as the outbreak spreads abroad, with no approved vaccine or specific treatment for the Bundibugyo virus19%
    69. 27 Oct, 12:06Bloomberg MarketsCongo Ebola Cases Top 10,000 as Violence Hits Health Workers19%
    70. 27 Oct, 12:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEbola cases in DR Congo surpass 10,000 in fastest-growing outbreak19%
    71. 27 Oct, 14:39MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansCongo's Ebola Outbreak Tops 10,000 Cases as Authorities Race to Slow the Spread23%▲4 points since the previous source
    72. 27 Oct, 15:16France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoEl ébola salta a Nigeria: ¿puede frenarse su expansión transfronteriza?23%
    73. 27 Oct, 15:45Breaking news from AFRICA, Maghreb and Sub-Saharan AfricaAfrica's Ebola outbreak tops 10,000 cases, mainly in DR Congo23%
    74. 27 Oct, 19:53NPR WorldThe Ebola outbreak is breaking records -- and just marked a grim milestone23%
    75. 28 Oct, 09:37The GuardianAfrica’s ‘unprecedented’ Ebola outbreak could reach UK, says top health official21%▼2 points since the previous source
    76. 28 Oct, 11:28NPR WorldIsrael's election too close to call. And, the Ebola outbreak reaches grim milestone21%
    77. 28 Oct, 15:50Fortune‘Every life saved is worth celebrating’: Congo suffers over 10,000 cases of the fastest-growing and farthest-reaching Ebola outbreak in history21%
    78. 28 Oct, 18:16The New York TimesNigeria’s Ebola Patient Evacuated as Investigators Press for Answers21%
    79. 29 Oct, 03:39Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIncredible celebrations as last patient leaves a DRC Ebola centre21%
    80. 29 Oct, 05:21ABC NewsA village chief in Congo works to overcome Ebola prejudice even as the disease kills his relatives21%
    81. 29 Oct, 08:02WHO | Regional Office for AfricaWHO Kenya Newsletter | October 202621%
    82. 29 Oct, 16:55The HillAirline groups push back on Ebola declaration requirements21%
    83. 29 Oct, 17:13Breaking news from AFRICA, Maghreb and Sub-Saharan AfricaDR Congo: A centre celebrates the discharge of last Ebola patients21%
    84. 30 Oct, 09:16businessinsider.comMajor US airlines challenge Ebola rule barring recent DRC travellers from America21%
    85. 30 Oct, 22:47Sky NewsEbola outbreak kills more than 5,000 people in Democratic Republic of Congo21%
    86. 31 Oct, 02:51Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEbola death toll in DR Congo passes 5,00025%▲4 points since the previous source
    87. 31 Oct, 12:40QuartzDer Ebola-Ausbruch im Kongo hat 5.026 von 10.351 infizierten Menschen getötet.23%▼2 points since the previous source
    88. 31 Oct, 15:14South China Morning PostDR Congo Ebola deaths top 5,000, cases recorded in other African nations23%
    89. 31 Oct, 15:16BBC NewsMore than 5,000 die from Ebola in DR Congo's deadliest outbreak23%
    90. 31 Oct, 21:01Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHealth authorities probe two suspected Ebola cases in northeast Nigeria23%
12. NowCurrent odds24%