19 Oct – 25 Oct 2026
Markets resolved12,304
Favourite won73%
On contested calls 69% 7028 of 10220
Biggest stories
- AI-Discovered PHP Flaws Spark Global Cybersecurity Scramble
- SpaceX to Get Under 10% of Revenue From US Government, Musk Says
- New Mexico Orders Meta to Pay $25 Billion Fine Over Cambridge Analytica Privacy Violations
- US Lawmakers Summon Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Over Alleged Spy Ties
- Israel’s President Tasks Candidate to Form Government After Inconclusive Election
- Supreme Court Rejects DOJ Bid to Set Aside California Ballots
- Trump Lifts Some Canadian Tariffs Amid Trade Tensions and Midterm Politics
- DOJ Expands Probe Into Alaska Senate Race as Recount Fund Forms
Biggest swings
Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?
- Above 4.2600
- Above 4.2800
Close calls the market got right
- Called itWashington Favourite a day out: No at 78% · Result: No · 20 Oct 2026On: Giants Visit Commanders in Week 5 NFL Matchup Amid Weather Concerns
- Called itSan Francisco Favourite a day out: Yes at 79% · Result: Yes · 20 Oct 2026On: Commanders RB Croskey-Merritt Out vs. 49ers With Groin Injury
- Called itBarcelona Favourite a day out: No at 60% · Result: No · 20 Oct 2026On: PSG struggle against Le Mans as Luis Enrique rests stars for Champions League
- Called itMichigan Favourite a day out: No at 71% · Result: No · 24 Oct 2026On: Michigan Benches Bryce Underwood for Tommy Carr Ahead of Indiana Game
- Called itCleveland Favourite a day out: No at 94% · Result: No · 20 Oct 2026
- Called itIndiana Favourite a day out: Yes at 73% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026On: Ohio State Beats Indiana on Last-Second Ruling
- Called itArsenal Favourite a day out: No at 72% · Result: No · 21 Oct 2026On: Arsenal win Champions League match amid injury concerns and player criticism
- Called itLiverpool Favourite a day out: Yes at 64% · Result: Yes · 20 Oct 2026On: Villarreal owner Fernando Roig admits he never enjoys watching his team play
Favourites that lost
- MissedTampa Bay: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
- MissedKentucky Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
- MissedWisconsin Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
- MissedSal Frelick: 1+ Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
- MissedLiam Hicks: 1+ Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
- MissedAbove 4M Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026
- MissedAbove 1104.17 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026
- MissedAbove 1114.17 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026
By category
| Category | Resolved | Favourite won | Contested calls | Won when contested |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 10246 | 71% | 9209 | 68% |
| Weather | 299 | 86% | 178 | 78% |
| Crypto | 298 | 89% | 108 | 76% |
| Economy | 172 | 84% | 138 | 80% |
| Culture | 129 | 79% | 82 | 67% |
| Politics & world | 88 | 90% | 47 | 87% |
| Tech & science | 33 | 100% | 13 | 100% |