NewsMarkets
Live

Weekly report card

Week of 19 Oct 2026

19 Oct – 25 Oct 2026

Markets resolved12,304
Favourite won73%
On contested calls 69% 7028 of 10220

Biggest stories

  1. AI-Discovered PHP Flaws Spark Global Cybersecurity Scramble 37 publishers · 21 Oct
  2. SpaceX to Get Under 10% of Revenue From US Government, Musk Says 31 publishers · 19 Oct
  3. New Mexico Orders Meta to Pay $25 Billion Fine Over Cambridge Analytica Privacy Violations 29 publishers · 21 Oct
  4. US Lawmakers Summon Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Over Alleged Spy Ties 26 publishers · 20 Oct
  5. Israel’s President Tasks Candidate to Form Government After Inconclusive Election 25 publishers · 21 Oct
  6. Supreme Court Rejects DOJ Bid to Set Aside California Ballots 24 publishers · 19 Oct
  7. Trump Lifts Some Canadian Tariffs Amid Trade Tensions and Midterm Politics 22 publishers · 20 Oct
  8. DOJ Expands Probe Into Alaska Senate Race as Recount Fund Forms 21 publishers · 23 Oct

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

Close calls the market got right

Favourites that lost

  • MissedTampa Bay: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
  • MissedKentucky Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
  • MissedWisconsin Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
  • MissedSal Frelick: 1+ Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
  • MissedLiam Hicks: 1+ Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 25 Oct 2026
  • MissedAbove 4M Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026
  • MissedAbove 1104.17 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026
  • MissedAbove 1114.17 Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 24 Oct 2026

By category

Category Resolved Favourite won Contested calls Won when contested
Sports 10246 71% 9209 68%
Weather 299 86% 178 78%
Crypto 298 89% 108 76%
Economy 172 84% 138 80%
Culture 129 79% 82 67%
Politics & world 88 90% 47 87%
Tech & science 33 100% 13 100%