New Mexico Orders Meta to Pay $25 Billion Fine Over Cambridge Analytica Privacy Violations
A judge imposed the penalty after a jury found the company misled users about data access, marking its largest fine for privacy violations linked to the scandal.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 15 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 19 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 20:08 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 17:41 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 4% |
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| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 10:43 UTC | 4% |
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| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 5% |
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| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 6% |
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| 29 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 6% |
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| 29 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 7% |
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| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 7% |
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| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 7% |
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| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 7% |
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| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 6% |
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| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 11:16 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 63% |
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| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 36% |
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| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 37% |
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| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 45% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? respond.
The story so far
29 publishers have covered this in 36 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 21 October at 17:25 UTC; Quartz followed 16 min later. The most recent article, from Feed: All Latest, appeared on 23 October at 15:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Variety Australia (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Feed: All Latest (major outlet) and 17 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? — resolved “No” on 30 Oct 2026. The market resolves based on Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of October 2026. The outcome is Yes if this value falls between $1.75 trillion and $2.00 trillion, and No otherwise.
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October? — resolved “No” on 30 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Meta's stock reaches $860 or higher during regular trading hours between October 1 and October 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a fine as relevant, but only the actual stock price movement matters. The final decision relies strictly on Pyth data for 1-minute candles, ignoring pre-market or after-hours activity.
- Above 3.72 billion — the market puts it at 33%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Meta Platforms Inc. reports more than 3.72 billion family daily active users in 2026. It resolves to No if that number is 3.72 billion or lower. Readers often mistake the linked headline about capital expenditure for the actual metric being measured.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyMeta to Pay Historic $25 Billion in New Mexico Deception Case—
- QuartzMeta ordered to pay $25 billion over Cambridge Analytica data privacy—
- Hacker NewsMeta ordered to pay $25B penalty in New Mexico Cambridge Analytica case—
- BBC BusinessMeta fined $25bn for 'lies' over user data privacy—
- All Content from Business InsiderMeta ordered to pay $25 billion penalty over the Cambridge Analytica case—
- The HillJudge orders Meta to pay New Mexico $25B in Cambridge Analytica case—
- theinformation.comMeta Faces $25 Billion New Mexico Penalty—
- Times of IndiaMeta ordered to pay $25 billion in fine linked to 8-year-old data privacy scandal—
- FortuneNew Mexico took on Meta alone and won a $25 billion judgment over Facebook’s privacy violations—
- The Guardian USMeta ordered to pay $25bn to New Mexico in Cambridge Analytica data-privacy case—
Show 26 later sources
- VarietyMeta Ordered to Pay $25 Billion in New Mexico Data Privacy Case—
- The New York TimesMeta Ordered to Pay $25 Billion for Deceiving Users on Privacy—
- The VergeMeta ordered to pay $25 billion in penalties over the Cambridge Analytica scandal—
- South China Morning PostMeta to pay New Mexico a historic US$25 billion in Cambridge Analytica case—
- AxiosMeta hit with $25 billion penalty for misleading Facebook users—
- Hacker NewsMeta hit with $25B penalty for deceiving users about privacy on Facebook—
- Deutsche WelleMeta ordered to pay $25 billion in Cambridge Analytica case—
- The A.V. ClubMeta settles multi-billion-dollar lawsuit for harming, deceiving users—
- TechCrunchMeta ordered to pay $25 billion in case related to Cambridge Analytica scandal—
- VarietyMeta’s $18 Billion Legal Costs Take Huge Toll on Q3 Earnings, Wall Street Shrugs45%
- RSS 2.0Meta ordered to cough up $25 billion in New Mexico privacy case45%
- The VergeMeta says it would’ve made over $22 billion if it didn’t have to pay a child safety settlement45%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraJudge orders Meta to pay $25bn in fines for Facebook privacy violations45%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMeta fined $25 billion in New Mexico over Cambridge Analytica scandal45%
- Variety AustraliaMeta’s Almost $10 Billion Legal Costs Take Huge Toll on Q3 Earnings45%
- Inc.Meta Was Just Ordered to Pay $25 Billion for Misleading Users. It’s a Warning for Every Business45%
- Latest articlesMeta ordered to pay $25 billion penalty to New Mexico in data privacy case45%
- DeadlineMeta Ordered To Pay New Mexico $25 Billion For Deceiving Facebook Users About Privacy45%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMeta’s $25 Billion Penalty Is Massive Win for AG in Small State45%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera‘Facebook’s wrongdoing’: Why has Meta been fined $25bn in New Mexico?45%
- EntrepreneurFace Booked: Meta Must Pay $25 Billion for Duping Users About Their Privacy45%
- Ars TechnicaMeta whines New Mexico is “impossible” to please after historic $25 billion fine45%
- RSS 2.0Rhode Island sues Meta over its approach to scam ads45%
- politico.com‘Just the beginning’: New Mexico AG warns AI industry after $25B Meta ruling17%▼28 points since the previous source
- cnet.comWill Meta’s $25 Billion Court Loss Change Its Ways? (Spoiler: Probably Not)17%
- Feed: All LatestHow Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable?15%▼2 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- How Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable? Feed: All Latest ·
- ‘Just the beginning’: New Mexico AG warns AI industry after $25B Meta ruling politico.com ·
- Meta whines New Mexico is “impossible” to please after historic $25 billion fine Ars Technica ·
- ‘Facebook’s wrongdoing’: Why has Meta been fined $25bn in New Mexico? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Meta’s $25 Billion Penalty Is Massive Win for AG in Small State Bloomberg Technology ·
- Meta’s Almost $10 Billion Legal Costs Take Huge Toll on Q3 Earnings Variety Australia ·
Show 30 more sources
- Judge orders Meta to pay $25bn in fines for Facebook privacy violations Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Meta says it would’ve made over $22 billion if it didn’t have to pay a child safety settlement The Verge ·
- Meta’s $18 Billion Legal Costs Take Huge Toll on Q3 Earnings, Wall Street Shrugs Variety ·
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion in case related to Cambridge Analytica scandal TechCrunch ·
- Meta hit with $25 billion penalty for misleading Facebook users Axios ·
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion in penalties over the Cambridge Analytica scandal The Verge ·
- Meta Ordered to Pay $25 Billion for Deceiving Users on Privacy The New York Times ·
- Meta Ordered to Pay $25 Billion in New Mexico Data Privacy Case Variety ·
- Meta ordered to pay $25bn to New Mexico in Cambridge Analytica data-privacy case The Guardian US ·
- Judge orders Meta to pay New Mexico $25B in Cambridge Analytica case The Hill ·
- Meta to Pay Historic $25 Billion in New Mexico Deception Case Bloomberg Technology ·
- Will Meta’s $25 Billion Court Loss Change Its Ways? (Spoiler: Probably Not) cnet.com
- Rhode Island sues Meta over its approach to scam ads RSS 2.0
- Face Booked: Meta Must Pay $25 Billion for Duping Users About Their Privacy Entrepreneur
- Meta Ordered To Pay New Mexico $25 Billion For Deceiving Facebook Users About Privacy Deadline
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion penalty to New Mexico in data privacy case Latest articles
- Meta Was Just Ordered to Pay $25 Billion for Misleading Users. It’s a Warning for Every Business Inc.
- Meta fined $25 billion in New Mexico over Cambridge Analytica scandal France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Meta ordered to cough up $25 billion in New Mexico privacy case RSS 2.0
- Meta settles multi-billion-dollar lawsuit for harming, deceiving users The A.V. Club
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion in Cambridge Analytica case Deutsche Welle
- Meta to pay New Mexico a historic US$25 billion in Cambridge Analytica case South China Morning Post
- New Mexico took on Meta alone and won a $25 billion judgment over Facebook’s privacy violations Fortune
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion in fine linked to 8-year-old data privacy scandal Times of India
- Meta Faces $25 Billion New Mexico Penalty theinformation.com
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion penalty over the Cambridge Analytica case All Content from Business Insider
- Meta fined $25bn for 'lies' over user data privacy BBC Business
- Meta ordered to pay $25 billion over Cambridge Analytica data privacy Quartz
- Meta hit with $25B penalty for deceiving users about privacy on Facebook Hacker News
- Meta ordered to pay $25B penalty in New Mexico Cambridge Analytica case Hacker News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? No 7d ago
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October? No 8d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 3.72 billion 33% −22
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Meta
- New Mexico
- Raúl Torrez
- Cambridge Analytica