Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?
Implied probability 9%−3
24-hour volume$38
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$377
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 45% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves based on Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of October 2026. The outcome is Yes if this value falls between $1.75 trillion and $2.00 trillion, and No otherwise.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 92%
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