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Election odds › Rhode Island

Rhode Island election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Rhode Island's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Democrats won the governor race · House: 2 of 2 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Rhode Island Senate race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 99% and Kalshi 99%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +1
Republicans 0% −1

Kalshi

Jack Reed (D) 99% −1
0%25%50%75%100%100%99%21 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Rhode Island governor race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 98% and Kalshi 97%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +2

Kalshi

Also priced: Ken Block 4%

0%25%50%75%100%99%97%21 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Rhode Island House districts

2 of 2 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.

Rhode Island House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
RI-01 Democrats won D 100% D 97% Gabe Amo v Kellie Keenan
RI-02 Democrats won D 100% D 92% Seth Magaziner v Victor Mellor

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.