NewsMarkets
Live

Election odds › Kansas

Kansas election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Kansas's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · governor: Democrats 99% · House: 4 of 4 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Kansas Senate race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 62% and Kalshi 63%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +39
Republicans 0% −38

Kalshi

Roger Marshall (R) <1% −39
0%25%50%75%100%100%100%19 Sept4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Kansas governor race

Democrats favoured (99%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 99% +1

$11k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

No market for this race.

0%25%50%75%100%99%21 Oct7 Nov
PolymarketChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Kansas House districts

4 of 4 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.

Kansas House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
KS-01 R 97% D 0% D 6% Lauren Reinhold v Tracey Mann
KS-02 Republicans won D 0% D 20% Don Coover v Derek Schmidt
KS-03 D 98% D 100% D 96% Sharice Davids v Eric Jenkins
KS-04 Republicans won D 0% D 4% Katy Tyndell v Ron Estes

Kansas in the news

All Kansas stories →

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.