Four US states approve ballot measures affirming only citizens can vote
South Dakota, West Virginia, Arkansas, and Kansas have approved constitutional amendments to explicitly require U.S. citizenship for voting in state elections.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 92% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Yes respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 5 articles since 4 Nov 2026. Just In News published first, on 4 November at 04:55 UTC. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 4 November at 07:39 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Yes — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Citizenship Requirement for Voting Amendment passes in Kansas. It resolves to No if the amendment fails or does not pass. Readers often mistake the passage of a related bill for the specific constitutional amendment required here.
- Citizens Only Voting Amendment — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Citizens Only Voting Amendment passes in Arkansas. It resolves to No if it does not pass or fails. Readers often mistake this for a national measure, but it applies only to Arkansas.
- Constitutional Measure 1 — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Constitutional Measure 1 passes in North Dakota. The outcome depends solely on whether this specific measure is approved in that state. Readers often mistake approval in other states for a resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Yes at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Just In NewsKansas approves language reaffirming citizenship voting requirement92%
- The HillArkansas approves citizenship voting requirement97%▲5 points since the previous source
- Just In NewsWest Virginia approves citizenship voting ballot measure99%▲2 points since the previous source
- The HillSouth Dakota approves ballot measure affirming only citizens can vote in elections99%
- The HillAlaska approves citizenship voting requirement99%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Alaska approves citizenship voting requirement The Hill ·
- South Dakota approves ballot measure affirming only citizens can vote in elections The Hill ·
- West Virginia approves citizenship voting ballot measure Just In News ·
- Arkansas approves citizenship voting requirement The Hill ·
- Kansas approves language reaffirming citizenship voting requirement Just In News ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Yes Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Citizens Only Voting Amendment Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Constitutional Measure 1 No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- South Dakota
- West Virginia
- Arkansas
- Kansas