Constitutional Measure 1
The market favoured No at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 06:31 UTC | 25% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Constitutional Measure 1 passes in North Dakota. The outcome depends solely on whether this specific measure is approved in that state. Readers often mistake approval in other states for a resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%