Citizens Only Voting Amendment
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved2 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 06:31 UTC | 98% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Citizens Only Voting Amendment passes in Arkansas. It resolves to No if it does not pass or fails. Readers often mistake this for a national measure, but it applies only to Arkansas.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%