Election odds › Oregon
Oregon election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Oregon's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 98% · Democrats won the governor race · House: 6 of 6 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 4.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Oregon Senate race
Democrats favoured (98%, average of the exchanges)
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Oregon governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 85% and Kalshi 82%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Oregon House districts
6 of 6 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 4.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 1.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR-01 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Suzanne Bonamici v Barbara Kahl |
| OR-02 | R 98% | D 0% | D 4% | Chris Beck v Cliff Bentz |
| OR-03 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Maxine Dexter v Loran Ayles |
| OR-04 | D 98% | D 100% | D 95% | Val Hoyle v Monique DeSpain |
| OR-05 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| OR-06 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Andrea Salinas v David Russ |
Oregon in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.