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Louisiana election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Louisiana's Senate and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · House: 6 of 6 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.2. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Louisiana Senate race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 13% and Kalshi 11%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −13
Republicans 100% +13

Kalshi

Julia Letlow (R) 89% −2
0%25%50%75%100%5%11%21 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Louisiana House districts

6 of 6 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.2 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.

Louisiana House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
LA-01 R 97% – D 3%
LA-02 D 97% – D 97%
LA-03 Republicans won D 0% D 3%
LA-04 Republicans won D 0% D 4%
LA-05 R 92% D 7% D 10%
LA-06 R 91% D 8% D 10%

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.