Election odds › New Mexico
New Mexico election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for New Mexico's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Democrats won the governor race · House: 3 of 3 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 3.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
New Mexico Senate race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 98% and Kalshi 99%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
New Mexico governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 95% and Kalshi 95%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
New Mexico House districts
3 of 3 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 3.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 3, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.
New Mexico in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.