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Connecticut election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Connecticut's governor and House races. Democrats won the governor race · House: 5 of 5 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 4.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Connecticut governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 98% and Kalshi 98%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Connecticut House districts
5 of 5 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 4.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CT-01 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Luke Bronin v Amy Chai |
| CT-02 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Joe Courtney v George Austin |
| CT-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 96% | Rosa DeLauro v Christopher Lancia |
| CT-04 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Jim Himes v Michael Goldstein |
| CT-05 | Democrats won | D 100% | – |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.