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Election odds › Maine

Maine election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Maine's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Democrats won the governor race · House: 2 of 2 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Maine Senate race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 74% and Kalshi 74%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +27
Republicans 0% −27

Kalshi

Troy Jackson (D) 100% +27
Susan Collins (R) <1% −27
0%25%50%75%100%97%100%21 Sept4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Maine governor race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 96% and Kalshi 96%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +3
Republicans 0% −3

Kalshi

Also priced: Rick Bennett 1%

0%25%50%75%100%100%96%15 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Maine House districts

2 of 2 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 1.

Maine House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
ME-01 Democrats won D 100% D 97% Chellie Pingree v Ronald Russell
ME-02 R 99% D 1% –

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.