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Alabama election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Alabama's Senate, governor and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 7 of 7 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.8. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Alabama Senate race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats – and Kalshi 3%. Kalshi called it.
Alabama governor race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 7% and Kalshi 8%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Alabama House districts
7 of 7 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.8 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL-01 | R 96% | – | D 4% | Clyde Jones v Jerry Carl |
| AL-02 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 43% | Shomari Figures v Rhett Marques |
| AL-03 | R 98% | – | D 2% | Lee McInnis v Mike Rogers |
| AL-04 | R 99% | – | D 1% | Amanda Pusczek v Robert Aderholt |
| AL-05 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Andrew Sneed v Dale Strong |
| AL-06 | R 98% | D 0% | D 3% | Maurice Mercer v Gary Palmer |
| AL-07 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 99% | Terri Sewell v Ammie Akin |
Alabama in the news
- College Football Playoff Projections and Rankings Evolve Midway Through the 2026 Season 4 publishers
- LSU Coach Lane Kiffin Laments End of Annual Rivalry Game With Alabama in 2027 4 publishers
- Week 10 College Football Matches Could Reshape Playoff Race 3 publishers
- SEC Scheduling Model Ends Annual LSU-Alabama Football Rivalry After This Season 3 publishers
- Alabama Trio Including Coleman-Williams Set to Return for LSU Matchup 2 publishers
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.