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Wisconsin election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Wisconsin's governor and House races. Democrats won the governor race · House: 8 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 4.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Wisconsin governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 86% and Kalshi 83%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Wisconsin House districts
8 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 4.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 4, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 4.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| WI-02 | D 98% | – | D 98% | |
| WI-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| WI-04 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Gwen Moore v Tim Rogers |
| WI-05 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Andrew Beck v Scott Fitzgerald |
| WI-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 9% | Brad Smith v Glenn Grothman |
| WI-07 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 6% | Fred Clark v Michael Alfonso |
| WI-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 13% | Rick Crosson v Tony Wied |
Wisconsin in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.