Democrat David Crowley Wins Wisconsin Governor Race Hot: Odds moved 38 points in 24 hours
Crowley defeats Republican Tom Tiffany to become the state's first Black governor, succeeding Tony Evers.
Kalshi Crowley, 4+ pts 99% +38Wisconsin
3 stories · 8 markets · RSS
Email me new stories on Wisconsin
Markets on Wisconsin
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Wisconsin each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 60% |
Stories
Iowa Stuns No. 18 Michigan With Last-Second Touchdown to Win 20-19
The Hawkeyes defeat the Wolverines in a close contest while Iowa State secures an upset win over Oklahoma State.
Kalshi Iowa and Iowa St. both make the Round of 16 14%Wisconsin small businesses could help turn Trump ally's district blue
Economic struggles among local entrepreneurs in Wisconsin's third district may shift the House race toward Democrats.
Resolved Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 3d ago