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Nebraska election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Nebraska's Senate, governor and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 3 of 3 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Nebraska Senate race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats <1% and Kalshi 1%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Republicans 100% +33

Kalshi

Also priced: Dan Osborn 34%

0%25%50%75%100%0%1%12 Oct3 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Nebraska governor race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 11% and Kalshi –. Polymarket called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −11
Republicans 100% +10

Kalshi

No market for this race.

0%25%50%75%100%8%22 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Nebraska House districts

3 of 3 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 2.

Nebraska House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
NE-01 Republicans won D 0% D 24% Chris Backemeyer v Mike Flood
NE-02 Democrats won D 100% –
NE-03 R 99% – D 1% Becky Stille v Adrian Smith

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.