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Washington election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Washington's House race. House: 10 of 10 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 8.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Washington House districts

10 of 10 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 8.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 8, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 2.

Washington House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
WA-01 D 98% – D 98% Suzan DelBene v Mary Silva
WA-02 D 98% D 100% D 96% Rick Larsen v Edwin H. Feller
WA-03 Democrats won D 100% –
WA-04 Republicans won D 0% D 1% John Duresky v Amanda McKinney
WA-05 R 93% D 1% D 13% Carmela Conroy v Michael Baumgartner
WA-06 Democrats won D 100% D 97% Emily Randall v Teresa Fox
WA-07 D 99% – D 99% Pramila Jayapal v Nirav Sheth
WA-08 Democrats won D 100% –
WA-09 Democrats won D 100% D 98% Adam Smith v Doug Basler
WA-10 D 99% D 100% D 99% Marilyn Strickland v Chris D. Chung

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.